Analysis of Financials: Cost of Capital, Valuation, and Foreign Exchange Issues
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This document provides an analysis of financials for Vodafone, including the methods of estimating cost of capital, valuation of the company, and foreign exchange issues related to finance raised bonds in different currencies.
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Vodafone Analysis of financials
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2 Contents Ans (a) Cost of capital..................................................................................................................................3 Methods of estimating cost of capital.....................................................................................................3 Calculation of cost of equity as per published financial statements........................................................4 Calculation of cost of debt as per published financial statements..........................................................4 Ans (b) Valuation of the company...............................................................................................................5 Ans (c). Foreign exchange issues related to finance raised bonds in different currencies...........................7 References.................................................................................................................................................10
3 Ans (a) Cost of capital Methods of estimating cost of capital A company is a combination of projects. Hence overall cost of capital as the acceptance criterion is not suitable under all circumstances as the investment proposals varying widely in risk profile also have widely varying returns. However for the ease of calculations we use the overall cost of capital. The overall cost of capital is a proportionate average of the cost of different modes of financing. The overall cost of capital consists of three components-cost of debt, cost of equity and cost of preferred stock (Investinganswers.com, 2019). The cost of capital is actually the rate of return that satisfies all capital providers. Cost of Capital is the expected rate of return on various modes of financing. The overall cost of capital is calculated as the weighted average of the individual rates of return. Cost of Equity- The expected rate of return on investments by the common shareholders of the company.Thecost of equity is the minimum rate of return that the entity must earn on the equity investment in order to maintain the market price of the share. If the firm invests in projects in projects with a rate of return less than the expected return the share price will suffer in the long run. Cost of Debt- The rate of return of the on amount invested by the lenders of the company. This mainly takes into consideration the long term debt of the company like term loan, bonds etc. Other current liabilities including seasonal increase in current liabilities, working capital is generally ignored. We assume that the firm is following a hedging strategy i.e. capital projects are being funded by sources that are long term in nature. Cost of Preferred Stock- Rate of return of the preference shareholders of the company. This is calculated as the dividend paid divided by the market price of the share. The cost of equity can be measured as the expected return on investment to keep the equity shareholders satisfied. As per the dividend discounting model the cost of equity is calculated as K(E)=D/P +g where D is the dividend declared, P is the market price of the stock, g is the expected growth rate of the company. We have assumed a constant growth model for the company. There are other models for calculating the cost of equity. One is the Capital Asset Pricing Model which calculates the cost of equity as the risk free rate of return plus something additional for the risk premium depending on the sensitivity of the stock.
4 Calculation of cost of equity as per published financial statements Asper thepublishedfinancialstatementsfor thefinancialyearended31.3.18 D=15.07 cents/share, P=196 per share, g=10% estimated. From the above data the cost of equity capital can be estimated at K(E)=15.07/196+10=17.69%. This is the cost of capital of equity investors. Calculation of cost of debt as per published financial statements The cost of debt is calculated as K(T)=K(D)(1-T) where K(T) is the post tax cost of debt, K(D) is the before tax cost of debt, and T is the tax rate. Here K(D) = 5.9%, T=20.6% from annual report. Hence K(T)=5.9%(1-0.206)=4.68%. This is the cost of capital for bond investors. WACC=K(E) X V(E) + K(D) X V(D)/(VE+VD) X 100 where VE is the value of equity and VD is the value of debt. Here VE= 68607 million Euro, VD= 32908 million Euro Hence WACC= (68607 X 17.69%) + (32908 X 4.68%)/(68607+32908) X 100 = 13677/101515 X 100 = 13.47% A company is a combination of projects. Hence overall cost of capital as the acceptance criterion is not suitable under all circumstances as the investment proposals varying widely in risk profile also have widely varying returns. However for the ease of calculations we use the overall cost of capital. The overall cost of capital is a proportionate average of the cost of different modes of financing. The overall cost of capital consists of three components- cost of debt, cost of equity and cost of preferred stock (Investopedia, 2019). The cost of capital is actually the rate of return that satisfies all capital providers.
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5 Ans (b) Valuation of the company In the free cash flow valuation technique we value the company by discounting the expected future cash flows at the required rate of return. There are two values to estimate which are given below. Firm Value= FCFF discounted at WACC where FCFF is the free cash flow to the firm From the cash flow statement of the firm, FCFF=Cash inflow from operating activities + Cash inflow from investing activities= Euro(13600-9841) million=Euro 3759 million Considering that the business will continue into the foreseeable future the we calculate the value as V=FCFF/WACC=Euro (3759/13.47%) million= Euro 27906 million Equity Value= FCFE discounted at K(E) where FCFE is the free cash flow attributable to equity shareholders. From the cash flow statement FCFE= Cash flow from operating activity + Cash flow from investing activity + Cash flow from financing activity – Dividend paid to equity shareholders = Euro (13600-9841-7234+4230) million= Euro 755 million Hence Equity Value= Euro (755/17.69%) million= Euro 4268 million The difference between FCFF and FCFE is due to the difference in capital structure and reflect the viewpoints of the different providers of capital. Valuation using FCFE is more useful when the company’s capital structure is stable. On the contrary if the FCFE is negative and there is significant debt outstanding we generally use the FCFF model. Here the firm is considered as a cash processor. Cash flows in to the business in the form of sales revenue. Cash flows out of the business in the form of payment of various expenses, investments in working capital, purchase of fixed assets etc. The cash that is left is available for payment to it’s investors like shareholders and bond holders. This is the free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) and is discounted to calculate the firm value. The cash that is left after interest payment to lenders is the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) and is used in paying dividend to equity shareholders and retained in the business. This is discounted to arrive at the equity value of the firm(Schmidle, 2006). The free cash flow based valuation is considered better than the dividend based valuation because of the following reasons: 1.Many firms pay low dividend or no dividend at all. 2.Dividend payment is the discretion of the board of directors. This may reflect poorly on the firm’s valuation in the long run.
6 3.If the company is viewed as a potential takeover target free cash flow based valuation is more suitable as the free cash will be at the disposal of the acquirer. The difference between FCFF and FCFE is due to the difference in capital structure and reflect the viewpoints of the different providers of capital. Valuation using FCFE is more useful when the company’s capital structure is stable. On the contrary if the FCFE is negative and there is significant debt outstanding we generally use the FCFF model. Here the firm is considered as a cash processor. Cash flows in to the business in the form of sales revenue. Cash flows out of the business in the form of payment of various expenses, investments in working capital, purchase of fixed assets etc. The cash that is left is available for payment to it’s investors like shareholders and bond holders. This is the free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) and is discounted to calculate the firm value. The cash that is left after interest payment to lenders is the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) and is used in paying dividend to equity shareholders and retained in the business. This is discounted to arrive at the equity value of the firm. A company is a combination of projects. Hence overall cost of capital as the acceptance criterion is not suitable under all circumstances as the investment proposals varying widely in risk profile also have widely varying returns. However for the ease of calculations we use the overall cost of capital. The overall cost of capital is a proportionate average of the cost of different modes of financing. The overall cost of capital consists of three components- cost of debt, cost of equity and cost of preferred stock. The cost of capital is actually the rate of return that satisfies all capital providers-equity, preferred stock as well as bond.
7 Ans (c). Foreign exchange issues related to finance raised bonds in different currencies The euro currency market is different from the euro bond market. The latter market traditionally depends on underwriters for placing securities. An issue of bonds though denominated in a one currency is reflected in more than one country. After issue, it is traded over the counter in many countries by many security dealers. There is a difference between a euro bond and a foreign bond, which is issued by a foreign government or corporation in any local market. A foreign bondabides by the security regulations of that country in which it is issued. Foreign bonds have different nicknames e.g. Yankee bonds issued in the American market by non-Americans, and Samurai bonds issued in the Japanese market by non-Japanese. Euro bonds, foreign bonds, and domestic bonds belonging to different countries have varying terminology, interest computation, and in other features. Many debt instruments in the global market are floating-rate notes (FRNs). These instruments have various features, and often involve more than one currency. Some instruments may be indexed with levels of prices or certain prices of commodity. Remaining are indexed with interest rate, like LIBOR. The interest reset tenure can be annual, biannual, monthly, quarterly or any other. Remaining instruments can also have other option features. There are some bonds which provide the buyer the right to choose the currency of payment, at the time of each interest or principal payment. Usually, this option is restricted to more than one currencies. For instance, a company can issue bonds of $1,000 par value having an interest rate of 7 percent. Every bond may have the option to earn interest or principal payment in any currency be it US dollars or be it British pounds. The rate of exchange is fixed at the issue time of the bond. Bonds may sometimes be issued in which the interest and principal are weighted average in the different currencies. These are known as currency cocktail bonds. These bonds provide greater exchange-rate stability which is not there in any single currency. Moreover the purchase price and coupon payments of dual-currency bonds are denominated in one currency, whereas the principal payment is made in a different currency. For example, a British bond may make interest payments in British pounds with principal repayments in Swiss francs. Islamic banking and finance as we see it today started in the 1960 to combine business and personal investment practices with law of Islamic. But, the rising prices of oil in the 1970 gave the actual boost to the movement. Sharia’h based on the teachings of the Koran bans receiving or paying interest (riba) and investment in “unethical/improper” industries, like alcohol, tobacco, gambling, and defence. The ban on receiving and paying interest is a practice considered as borrower exploitation and this eliminates pure debt securities as investments. Islamic bonds (or sukuk) are based on property or other assets to which generate return equal to interest that would have been paid on debt instruments. Structuring Islamic bonds is difficult and approval of the same if required for Sharia’h advisors/scholars in order to ensure conformity with rules and principles of Islamic. The interest prohibition creates a view of finance which is different in the West. Till a few years back, the sukuk market was a niche market and was confined to Muslim
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8 countries. However, it was expanding rapidly and estimated to be in the range of $50 to $70 billion at the end of 2006. Foreign bonds have risk and return profiles that are different from domestic bonds. Both their prices and their values change with changes in forex rates. For example if the Canadian $ has moved up 10% in US $ terms this would cause price change of 10% in Canadian $ which completely upsets the coupon income of the bond. Longer term risk-return characteristics of a foreign bond in domestic currencies are closer to domestic equity returns than domestic bond returns. The euro currency market is different from the euro bond market. The latter market traditionally depends on underwriters for placing securities. A bond issue though denominated in a one currency is placed in more than one country. After issue, it is traded over the counter in many countries by many security dealers. There is a difference between a euro bond and a foreign bond, which is issued by a foreign government or corporation in any local market. A foreign bondabides by the security regulations of that country in which it is issued. Foreign bonds have different nicknames e.g. Yankee bonds issued in the American market by non-Americans, and Samurai bonds issued in the Japanese market by non-Japanese. Euro bonds, foreign bonds, and domestic bonds belonging to different countries have varying terminology, interest computation, and in other features. Many debt instruments in the global market are floating-rate notes (FRNs). These instruments have various features, and often involve more than one currency. Some instruments are indexed with price levels or certain commodity prices. Others are indexed with interest rate, like LIBOR. The reset interval may be annual, semiannual, quarterly, or even more frequent. Other instruments may also have option features (Black, Fabozzi and Modigliani, 1992). There are some bonds which provide the buyer the right to choose the currency of payment, at the time of each interest or principal payment. Usually, this option is restricted to more than one currencies. For instance, a company can issue bonds of $1,000 par value having an interest rate of 7 percent. Every bond may have the option to earn interest or principal payment in any currency be it US dollars or be it British pounds. The rate of exchange is fixed at the issue time of the bond. Bonds may sometimes be issued in which the interest and principal are weighted average in the different currencies. These are known as currency cocktail bonds. These bonds provide greater exchange-rate stability which is not there in any single currency. Moreover the purchase price and coupon payments of dual-currency bonds are denominated in one currency, whereas the principal payment is made in a different currency. For example, a British bond may make interest payments in British pounds with principal repayments in Swiss francs. Islamic banking and finance as we see it today started in the 1960 to combine business and personal investment practices with law of Islamic. But, the rising oil prices in the 1970 together with the accumulation of petrodollarsamong Islamic nationsgave the real boost to the movement.
9 References 1.Ang, J., Cole, R. and Lin, J. (2000). Agency Costs and Ownership Structure. The Journal of Finance, 55(1), pp.81-106. 2.Black, H., Fabozzi, F. and Modigliani, F. (1992). Capital Markets: Institutions and Instruments. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), p.2071. 3.Schmidle, S. (2006). Cash Flow Valuation. SSRN Electronic Journal. 4.Investinganswers.com. (2019). Cost of Capital -- Best Definition | InvestingAnswers. [online] Available at: https://investinganswers.com/financial-dictionary/stock-valuation/ cost-capital-112 [Accessed 28 Mar. 2019]. 5.Investopedia. (2019). Cost of Capital: What You Need to Know. [online] Available at: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/costofcapital.asp [Accessed 28 Mar. 2019].