This article provides a step-by-step guide on how to calculate the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) for L Brand. It covers the calculation of Cost of Equity, Stock Beta, and Implied Equity Premium using various methods and sources. The article also includes an excel solver spreadsheet for easy calculations.
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1 Weighted Average cost of capital of L Brand
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2 2.1: Cost of Equity 2.1.1: Risk free rate of return In order to select the risk free rate of return, it has been decided to choose 10 years US Treasury bond rate as the risk free rate return. The 10 years US T-Bond rate has been chosen from website of US treasury department (Link:https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data- chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yieldYear&year=2018) and it has taken on January, 2 , 2018. The 10 years US T-Bond rate was2.46 %(U.S. Department of the Treasury) and it is taken as the proxy for risk free rate of return. 2.1.2: Market equity premium In this part there is need to calculate two measures of market equity premium: (A) Historical Premium:It is calculated as average of market premium for last ten years The market index chosen for the purpose this assignment is S&P 500 and to calculate the average historical market premium, historical price of last 10 years has been taken from January, 01, 2008 to December, 31, 2017. Data can be found in excel sheet and calculation of historical market premium has been shown here. Historical data of S&P 500 has been taken from Yahoo Finance (Source: Yahoo Finance: S&P 500, 2018). Market index price is given below: DateAdjusted Close 01/01/20081378.55 01/02/20081330.63 01/03/20081322.70 01/04/20081385.59 01/05/20081400.38 01/06/20081280.00 01/07/20081267.38 01/08/20081282.83 01/09/20081166.36 01/10/2008968.75 01/11/2008896.24 01/12/2008903.25 01/01/2009825.88 01/02/2009735.09 01/03/2009797.87 01/04/2009872.81
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5 01/07/20162173.60 01/08/20162170.95 01/09/20162168.27 01/10/20162126.15 01/11/20162198.81 01/12/20162238.83 01/01/20172278.87 01/02/20172363.64 01/03/20172362.72 01/04/20172384.20 01/05/20172411.80 01/06/20172423.41 01/07/20172470.30 01/08/20172471.65 01/09/20172519.36 01/10/20172575.26 01/11/20172584.84 01/12/20172673.61 01/01/20182823.81 (Source: Yahoo Finance) In order to calculate the historical market premium there is need to make three important decisions and they have taken as below: ď‚·Estimation period: 10 years estimation are preferred (January, 01, 2008 to December, 31, 2017) ď‚·Choice of risk free rate of return: In order to choose risk free rate of return, 10 years US T-Bond rate has been chosen and it has been taken from the link (https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/ TextView.aspx?data=yieldYear&year=2017). As there is need to calculate risk free rate of return for last 10 years, it has been decided to use T-Bond rate of December, 31 of every year and it can be found in excel sheet and also in calculation shown below (U.S. Department of the Treasury). ď‚·Arithmetic or Geometric Averages:As the period use for estimating the T-Bond rate was larger than 1 year it is decided to usegeometric meanto estimate the historical market premium. Calculation of Market Premium YearsJan-0131-DecMarket Return in % Risk Free Rate of Return Market Premium 20081378.551347.00-2.34%2.25%-4.59% 2009825.881073.8723.09%3.85%19.24%
6 20101073.871286.1216.50%3.30%13.20% 20111286.121312.412.00%1.89%0.11% 20121312.411498.1112.40%1.78%10.62% 20131498.111782.5915.96%3.04%12.92% 20141782.591994.9910.65%2.17%8.48% 20151994.991940.24-2.82%2.27%-5.09% 20161940.242278.8714.86%2.45%12.41% 20172278.872823.8119.30%2.40%16.90% Average mean of market premium for last 10 years8.42% Geometric Mean market premium for the last 10 years8.10% (Note: Source of Market Return is yahoo finance and that of risk free rate of return is US Treasury Department) B: Implied (Forward Looking) Equity market premium:This method uses constant growth model also known as Gordon growth model for estimating the implied equity market premium. Information Required to calculate the Implied equity premium ComponentsValuesSourcesReferences Price – value of S&P500 index as of January 2, 2018 2,695.81 (Source: https://in.finance.yahoo.com/qu ote/%5EGSPC/history?p= %5EGSPC) (Source: Yahoo Finance: S&P 500) Dividend and buyback yield on S&P 500 firms (Yield of year 2017) 4.12% (Source: https://asia.spindices.com/searc h/? query=dividend+and+buybacks &Search=Go&sortType=Date& resultsPerPage=25&ContentTy pe=Announcement)(Source:Spindices) Expected growth rate in earnings for next 5 years for S&P Index 11% (Source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote /LB/analysis?p=LB)(Source:Yahoo Finance: L Brands, Inc. (LB)) 10 year treasury rate on January 2 2018 2.46% (Source: https://www.treasury.gov/resour ce-center/data-chart-center/inter est-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx? data=yieldYear&year=2018)(Source:U.S. Department of the Treasury)
7 (Note: Please refer excel solver spreadsheet for calculation of implied equity premium) Implied (Forward Looking) Equity market premium is: 6.06% 2.1.3: Stock Beta Beta using the regression SUMMAR Y OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R0.25511 R Square0.06508 Adjusted R Square0.05153 Standard Error0.08706 Observation s71.00000 ANOVA
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8 dfSSMSF Significanc e F Regression1.000000.03641 0.0364 1 4.8033 10.03178 Residual69.000000.52300 0.0075 8 Total70.000000.55941 Coefficient s Standar d Errort Stat P- valueLower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept0.003960.01106 0.3577 4 0.7216 3-0.01810 0.0260 1 - 0.0181 0 0.0260 1 X Variable 10.825140.37649 2.1916 4 0.0317 80.07406 1.5762 3 0.0740 6 1.5762 3 Beta under Regression 0.825 Beta directly from the Reuters Beta value has been taken directly from the Reuters as it is not available on Bloomberg. The current beta of L Brand is 0.50 (Source: Reuters). 2.2: Cost of Debt It has been decided to estimate the cost of debt through financial statement of L Brand available on Web link:http://investors.lb.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=94854&p=irol-sec. Calculation of Cost of Debt of L Brand ItemsValue at end of year 2017Source Amount in million $ Gross interest expense$406.00 Income Statement of L Brand(Annual Report) Long term Debt$5,705.00 Balance Sheet of L Brand (Annual Report) Short term debt$87.00 Balance Sheet of L Brand (Annual Report)
9 Cost of DebtInterest/Total Debt Cost of Debt of L Brand7.01% 2.3 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) It is important to estimate the cost of equity before estimating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) Formula used calculate the cost of equity is Capital assets pricing model (CAPM) Formula: Risk free rate of return + Beta (Market risk premium) There are two values of market risk premium. Therefore, cost of equity will be calculated two times, one by using historical equity premium and other one through using the implied equity premium. Cost of Equity using beta value from Reuters Risk Free RateBeta Historical Equity premium Implied Equity premium Cost of Equity 2.46%0.508.10%6.51% 2.46%0.506.06%5.49% Cost of Equity using beta value from Regression Analysis Risk Free RateBeta Historical Equity premium Implied Equity premium Cost of Equity 2.46%0.8258.10%9.14% 2.46%0.8256.06%7.46% As all the values for calculating the cost of equity and cost of debt has been on January 2, 2018, therefore, it has been decided to take value of debt and value of equity as on starting of January, 2018. Financial data in latest annual report of L Brand has been considered as it shows data as on February 3, 2018. For estimating the value of debt it has been decided to use book value of long term debt and short term debt. To estimate the value of equity market price of as on January 2, 2018 has been multiplied by number of shares issued by L Brand. Calculation of Weight of equity and debt capitalSource
10 Debt Capital $ in millions except market price Long term Debt $ 5,705.00 Financial Statement (Annual Report) Short term debt $ 87.00 Financial Statement (Annual Report) Book value of total debt $ 5,792.00 Equity Capital Market price as on January 2, 2018 $ 57.09Yahoo Finance Total number of share issued284 million Notes of accounts of L- Brand Annual report (Annual Report) Market value of Equity capital $ 16,213.56 Information Gathered from past results Cost of debt 7.01 % Cost of Equity (Historical data) and Beta (Reuters) 6.51 % Cost of Equity (Implied data)and Beta (Reuters) 5.49 % Cost of Equity (Historical data) and Beta (Regression) 9.14 % Cost of Equity (Implied data)and Beta (Regression) 7.46 % Calculation of WACC using the Historical market equity premium and beta from Reuters CapitalValueWeightsCost of Capital Weighted cost of capital Equity Capital$ 16,213.560.746.51%4.80% Debt Capital$5,792.000.267.01%1.84% $ 22,005.56WACC6.64% Calculation of WACC using the Implied market equity premium and beta from Reuters CapitalValueWeightsCost of Capital Weighted cost of capital
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11 Equity Capital$ 16,213.560.745.49%4.04% Debt Capital$5,792.000.267.01%1.84% $ 22,005.56WACC5.89% Calculation of WACC using the Historical market equity premium and beta from Regression Analysis CapitalValueWeightsCost of Capital Weighted cost of capital Equity Capital$ 16,213.560.749.14%6.74% Debt Capital$5,792.000.267.01%1.84% $ 22,005.56WACC8.58% Calculation of WACC using the Implied market equity premium and beta from Regression Analysis CapitalValueWeightsCost of Capital Weighted cost of capital Equity Capital$ 16,213.560.747.46%5.50% Debt Capital$5,792.000.267.01%1.84% $ 22,005.56WACC7.34%
12 Major business Segment and revenue of most recent years L Brand Business SegmentsRevenue in February 3, 2018 Revenue in January 28, 2017 Victoria’s Secret$7,387.00$7,781.00 Bath & Body Works$4,148.00$3,852.00 Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Works International $502.00$423.00 Other$595.00$518.00 (Annual Report)
13 References Annual Report. L Brand. Web. 2018. 27 October 2018. <http://investors.lb.com/phoenix.zhtml? c=94854&p=irol-sec> Reuters. L Brands Inc (LB.N). 2018. Web. 27 October 2018. < https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/overview/LB.N>. Spindices. S&P Dow Jones Indices. Web. 27 October 2018. <https://asia.spindices.com/search/? query=dividend+and+buybacks&Search=Go&sortType=Date&resultsPerPage=25&ContentType =Announcement>. U.S. Department of the Treasury. Resource Center: Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates, 2018. Web. 27 October 2018. <https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest- rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yieldYear&year=2017>. Yahoo Finance. L Brands, Inc. (LB). Analysis, 2018. Web. 27 October 2018. <h https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LB/analysis?p=LB>. Yahoo Finance. S&P 500 (GSPC) Historical Data, 2018. Web. 27 October 2018. < https://in.finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history? period1=1199125800&period2=1517337000&interval=1d&filter=history&frequency=1d>.