Weighted Average Cost of Capital Analysis for BHP Billiton Ltd
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This analysis focuses on evaluating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) for BHP Billiton Ltd, a multinational mining company. It includes calculations, interpretations, and recommendations based on WACC, gearing ratios, and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
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WACC BHP BILLTON 1
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INTRODUCTION BHP Billiton Ltd is a multinational company, which is Anglo Australian and involved in mining metals and petroleum. It is a dual listed public company whose headquarters are in Melbourne, Australia.The CEO of BHP Billiton Ltd is Andrew Stewart Mackenzie. It is the second largest mining company in the world in terms of revenue with 69.4 billion US dollars. It has many subsidiaries including BHP Billiton Finance B. V., BHP Billiton Finance Plc and many more. The weighted average cost of capital through dividend growth model and capital asset pricing model will be evaluated for BHP Billiton Ltd. Also, the gearing ratios will be calculated so that the long-term debt of the company can be compared to its capital employed or equity capital. The weighted average cost of capital is a rate that a company expects to pay to all the shareholders so that its assets can be financed. 2
WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Weighted average cost of capital is the rate which is required on the investment of the company. The funds of the company can be raised by equity, debt and other stocks. The calculation of the weighted average cost of capital involves the average cost of the sources of funds, which are assigned different weights as per their use(Fernandez, 2015). The total cost or interest is calculated which is to be paid by the company for the fund it borrows. It is calculated to interpret the position of the company and if any changes are required in the capital structure of the company, the changes are proposed accordingly. If any new project is undertaken by the company, then the calculation of the weighted average cost of capital is very helpful. The after- tax costs of each component of the company's capital structure are calculated and weight is assigned to them as per their use. The formula for calculating WACC is as follows: WACC =(E V)RE+(D V)(1−TC)RD+(D V)RP Where: E = market value of equity = number of outstanding shares times price per share D = market value of debt = number outstanding bonds times bond price V = market value of the firm = D + E WE=(E V)= percentage financed with equity WD=(D V)= percentage financed with debt RE= Cost of equity RD= Cost of debt RP= Cost of Preference Shares TC= Cooperate Tax rate CALCULATION OF WACC FOR BHP BILLITON LTD WACC= (E/V) * (RE) + (D/V)* (1-TC) * (RD) 3
Market Cap/ Total Equity= Equity (E) = number of shares * outstanding price (P0) = 57258 million USD Total Debt= Long-term Debt + Short Term Debt =30474 million USD Total Market Value (V)= Equity (E) + Debt (D) = 57258 + 30474 = 87732 million USD Cost of Equity (RE)=(D1/P0) D1= Expected dividend in a single period P0= market value of equity = 2921 / 57258 = 5.10 % approximately Cost of Debt (RD)= net income / total debt =2686 / 30474 = 8.81% approximately WACC=(E/V) * (RE) + (D/V)* (1-TC) * (RD) = (57258 / 87732) * 5.10% + (30474 / 87732) * 8.81% * (1-30%) = 3.33 + 2.142 4
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WACC= 5.47% The weighted average cost of capital for BHP Billiton is 5.47%, which can be useful information for the investors as well as company for making the investing decisions. It has to be used very carefully as the components of capital are expressed in the terms of market value. The investments decisions are directly affected by the calculation of the weighted average cost of capital, therefore it should not be faulty (MARKET PORTFOLIO, 2016). BHP Billiton works with a WACC of 5.47%, which means that the investments which give a higher return than 5.47%, only those investments should be made. Weighted average cost of capital is thus the after-tax cost of capital which takes into account the weightings of the relative market value of each debt and equity. In the model of dividend growth, the value of equity of the company is linked with the market cost of equity and same is done with the debt element of the company. TOTAL MARKET VALUE OF EQUITY The market value of equity is the total value of outstanding shares or stocks of the company, measured by their market price. It can include share capital, treasury shares, various types of reserves and retained earnings. All types of outstanding shares should be taken into calculation whether they are common stock or preferredstock (Campbell, et al. 2016). It is the value of the company which is available to the owners or shareholders. The total market value of equity as per the balance sheet of the company is 57258 million USD. TOTAL MARKET VALUE OF DEBT The total market value of debt of any company can be defined as the total fund which is borrowed by the company whether it is commercial paper, bonds, debentures or other debts. A commercial paper is a short-term debt which is issued by the company to cover its short-term finance needs. Bonds can be of short-term as well as long-term that is issued by a government company or a public company (BHP Billiton, 2017). As per the balance sheet of BHP Billiton Ltd, for the year 2017, the total debt amounts to 30,474 million USD. 5
TOTAL MARKET VALUE Total market value of the company is calculated by adding the total debt and total equity of the company. Total debt includes the long-term debt and short-term debt of the company and total equity as given in the balance sheet of the company. TOTAL DEBT + TOTAL EQUITY = 57258 + 30474 = 87732 million USD In the total debt of the company, both long term and short term debts are included. In the total equity of the company, the common stock, retained earnings and treasury stock are included. COST OF EQUITY The cost of equity is the rate of return equalise the value of expected dividends present value and the share price of the market. It is the return that shareholders require for investment in the shares and stocks of a particular company(Billett, et al. 2015). The cost of equity can be calculated as follows: RE= (D1/P0) in whichRE= Cost of equity D1= Expected dividend in a single period P0= market value of equity = 2921 / 57258 = 5.10 % approximately COST OF DEBT Cost of debt is the rate at which the company pays interest on its borrowings. A debt can be in the form of bond or debenture. Bond is a long-term instrument which does not carry any type of risk as they are issued by Government Company or a public company. Debentures are also 6
long-term instruments which carry a risk as the rate of interest on them is also not fixed. With the evaluation of the cost of debt, the investors come to know about the risk in investing in the company when compared to other companies (Goh, et al. 2017). The cost of debt can be calculated as follows: COST OF DEBT = NET INCOME / TOTAL DEBT = 2686 / 30474 = 8.81% approximately The cost of debt is 8.81%, which means for every dollar which investors lend to BHP Billiton Ltd, they expect a return of 8.81. This cost of debt is calculated on the after-tax income of the company. 7
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GEARING RATIOS When analysing BHP Billiton this is a fundamental ratio that is used for analysis portion so as to analyse the level of the long-term debt that it has as compared to the equity of the firm. This ratio will give the investors an idea of the survival of the company at economic downturns. It will help in depicting the leverage of the BHP Billiton and will represent the quantity of the business funds that come from the creditors and stockholders. The gearing ratios include the calculation of the interest earned ratio, debt ratio, debt-to-equity ratio and the equity ratio (Rosemary Peavler, 2018). These all ratios will help to know the suitability of capitalisation of BHP Billiton. CALCULATIONS Debt-to-equity ratio= Total debt / Total Equity = (30474 / 57258) = 0.5326 Total debt to total asset ratio = Total debt/ Total Assets =(30474 / 117006) = 0.2604 Capitalisation ratio= Long-Term Debt / (Long-Term Debt + Shareholder’s Equity) = 29233/ (29233 + 57258) = 0.3380 INTERPRETATIONS From the above calculations performed and the data gathered BHP Billiton has a current ratio of 1.85 (Market Watch, 2018) that shows the strong liquidity of the firm that in case of issues it has sufficient assets that can be converted to cash within 90 days to pay off the current liabilities in future. The gearing ratios calculated above for NHP Billiton will be useful for the 8
investors and will help in maintaining the consistent dividend policies. Together with this, it can be drawn out that it will also attract more risk towards the firm as the capital structure of the firm is highly geared. The debt-to-equity ratio is that key ratio that is set as a financial standard used to judge BHP Billiton's financial standing. An ideal ratio should be near to 1 but in case of BHP Billiton, it is 0.53 which depicts that this company is not successful in taking advantage of the increased profits from the financial leverage of the firm. Whereas the total debt to total asset ratio is less than 0.5 i.e. it is 0.26 in case of BHP Billiton that depicts that the majority of the assets are financed by equity. And this ratio is low which indicates that there is the availability of opportunity with BHP Billiton to borrow at no significant risk involved in future. The capitalisation ratio defines the capital structure of BHP Billiton that compares the total debt with that to the total capitalisation. This ratio depicts the risk such as the risk of insolvency. A high ratio creates difficulties for the companies to get more loans in future. We have a lower capitalisation ratio which shows that BHP Billiton can access more loans in future. But this may not be always true as sometimes a high capitalisation ratio can render an opportunity to reap high return s on a shareholder's investment due to the tax advantages on borrowings (Morning Star, 2017). 9
CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL It represents a relationship between the required rate of return and the systematic risk associated with an investment. This model is used to describe the linear relationship between return and risk for securities (Barberis, et al. 2015). This model is widely used for pricing of the securities which carries higher risk. The formula for calculating the cost of equity through capital asset pricing model is as follows: RE= RF+ βE(RM– RF) in which RE= Cost of equity RF= Risk-free rate βE= Beta i.e. asset’s exposure to systematic risk (RM) – RF= Market risk premium The risk-free rate of return is the rate when the investment is done with no risk at all. There is no risk of loss of the risk-free rate of return and these instruments can be treasury bills, government bonds etc. (BHP STOCKS, 2017). The rate of risk-free is important for the capital asset pricing model as it sets an aim or benchmark, above which the assets of the company have to perform, only those who carry risk. In practical terms, the risk-free rate of return is not possible for any market, as this rate is definitely affected by the rate of inflation. The market risk premium is the difference between the risk-free rate of return and the rate of return which is expected from the market portfolio (Fama, and French, 2017). It is the additional rate of return which the investor gets over and above for not investing in the risk- free asset and for taking the risk. Market risk premium can be calculated as follows: Market risk premium = expected market return – risk-free rate of return 10
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[Source: https://www.slideshare.net/anicalena/capital-asset-pricing-model-capm-business- diagram] The beta of any company is the measurement of the level of being unpredictable. It compares the value of changes in the market with the systematic risk. The beta of the company never remains constant and the factors by which it keeps changing are the revenue of the companies operating in the same industry and the operating leverage of the company (Schorfheide, et al. 2014). The cost of equity of BHP Billiton Ltd through capital asset pricing model is as follows: Estimated Risk-free rate of return = 2.85% Company beta = 1.14 EstimatedMarketriskpremium=expectedmarketreturn–risk-freerateofreturn = 12.92 – 2.85 11
= 10.07% Estimated cost of equity by capital asset pricing model – = 2.85 + (1.14 * 10.07) = 14.33% The estimated cost of equity is 14.33% as derived by using capital asset pricing model. There can be many shortcomings of following this approach as the company beta may be unrealistic because of the historical nature of data (BHP RATIOS, 2017). The imperfections of the market may mislead the investors and cause unsystematic risk. But when the company is suffering from losses, this approach proves to be very helpful. 12
RECOMMENDATION It is recommended for BHP Billiton Ltd that its debt should be reduced to improvise the weighted average cost of capital. By this, they will be able to increase the shareholder's wealth and thus the value of the company. With the changes to be done in the total debt and total equity of the firm, the total value of the company will also increase, it will be seen that the debt financing is lowered and the equity financing is increased (BHP RATIOS, 2017). But the financing through equity should not be increased to a very high level as the higher weighted average cost of capital denotes the higher amount of risk regarding the operations of the company. The gearing ratios of the companies signify the level of debt in the capital structure of the company, the debt to equity ratio is 53.26%, which is really high and not a good sign for the company. It should reduce its debt and increase the financing through equity. 13
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CONCLUSION From this assignment, it can be concluded that the BHP Billiton Ltd is a strong competitor in its business of mining. Through the calculations in the assignment, it can be said that the financial position of the company is relatively stronger when compared to the other companies within the same industry. By the evaluation of the weighted average cost of capital, it can be said that the company is operating at a risk because the level of debt financing is high in the capital structure, which needs to be reduced. In the capital asset pricing model, the estimated cost of equity is evaluated and the market risk premium was also understood. 14
REFERENCES MARKETPORTFOLIO,2016[onlineavailableat: https://www.stock-analysis-on.net/NYSE/Market-Risk-Premium] BHPBilliton,2017[onlineavailableat: https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/overview/BHP.AX] BHP RATIOS, 2017 [online available at:https://au.investing.com/equities/bhp-billiton- limited-ratios] BHPSTOCKS,2017[onlineavailableat: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/bhp/profile] Fernandez, P., 2015. WACC: Definition, Misconceptions and Errors. Campbell, T.C., Galpin, N. and Johnson, S.A., 2016. Optimal inside debt compensation and the value of equity and debt.Journal of Financial Economics,119(2), pp.336-352. Billett, M.T., Hribar, P. and Liu, Y., 2015. Shareholder-manager alignment and the cost of debt. Goh, B.W., Lim, C.Y., Lobo, G.J. and Tong, Y.H., 2017. Conditional conservatism and debt versus equity financing.Contemporary Accounting Research,34(1), pp.216-251. Barberis, N., Greenwood, R., Jin, L. and Shleifer, A., 2015. X-CAPM: An extrapolative capital asset pricing model.Journal of Financial Economics,115(1), pp.1-24. Fama, E.F. and French, K.R., 2017. International tests of a five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics,123(3), pp.441-463. Schorfheide, F., Song, D. and Yaron, A., 2014.Identifying long-run risks: A bayesian mixed-frequency approach(No. w20303). National Bureau of Economic Research. Rosemary Peavler, (2018), The Balance- What Does Gearing Ratio Mean, and How is it Calculated? Online available at (https://www.thebalance.com/calculating-gearing-ratio- 393228)Last accessed January 24, 2018. MorningStar,(2017),BHPBillitonPLC-BLTOnlineavailableat (http://tools.morningstar.co.uk/uk/stockreport/default.aspx? 15
id=0P00007O0M&SecurityToken=0P00007O0M%5D3%5D0%5DE0EXG %24XLON&ClientFund=0&LanguageId=en-GB&CurrencyId=GBP&UniverseId=E0EXG %24XLON&BaseCurrencyId=GBP)last accessed January 24, 2018. MarketWatch,(2018),BHPBillitonLtdADRonlineavailableat (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/bhp/profile) last accessed January 24, 2018. Investing.com, (2017) BHP Billiton Ltd (BHP) income statement. Online available at (https://au.investing.com/equities/bhp-billiton-limited-income-statement)lastaccessed January 24, 2018. 16
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