Financial Analysis of Woolworths Company for Financial Management
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This report assesses the financial performance of Woolworths Company using various financial analysis tools such as ratio analysis, top down analysis, du pont analysis, share price valuation analysis and capital budgeting tools. It also includes trend analysis and recommendations for investors.
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Woolworths Company Financial Management Financial analysis PC-AS0197 [Pick the date]
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Executive Summary With the ramified economic changes, and complex business activities, every investor needs to take imperative financial decisions to create value on their invested capital. There are several financial analysis tools such as ratio analysis, top down analysis, du pont analysis, share price valuation analysis and capital budgeting tools which could be used to evaluate the financial performance of company.
Table of Contents Executive Summary...............................................................................................................................1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................................................2 Description of Woolworths Company...............................................................................................3 Task-1....................................................................................................................................................3 Assess the company’s performance over the last three years.................................................................3 LIQUIDITY RATIOS.......................................................................................................................3 PROFITABILITY RATIOS..............................................................................................................3 EFFECIENCY RATIO OR ACTIVITY RATIO...............................................................................6 CAPITAL STRUCTURE RATIOS...................................................................................................7 Long -term solvency of the company over the last three years..............................................................8 Trend analysis of Woolworths Company...............................................................................................8 Recommendation to investors............................................................................................................11 Conclusion...........................................................................................................................................12 References...........................................................................................................................................13 INTRODUCTION This report reveals the key information and financial analysis of company which could strengthen the financial investment decisions of company. In this report, financial performance of Woolworths has been assessed which will help in determining whether the invested capital could be used to create value on the investment. The ratio analysis and shareholdervalueanalysisisthemosteffectivetoolwhichcouldbeusedtoassess profitability, liquidity, efficiency and share price fluctuation of company in long run. In the starting, financial performance analysis is made. After that share price value analysis has been done by using the share price valuation tool. Afterward, CAPM method is used to identify the cost of capital and weighted average cost of capital of company. It will assist organization to determine whether it has performed well in market. After that, discussion about the share valuation and financial position of company has been made by analysing the data.Investors needs to assess the financial performance of company before investing their
money so that they could identify whether the invested capital will provide return to company or not. Description of Woolworths Company It is an Australian company which is engaged in providing the super market services to clientssotheycouldgetalltypesofgoodsfromonlysingleonestorechain.The headquartered of company is in Bella, Vista, Australia. The share price value of company has increased by 14% since last three years which reflects higher amount of business growth and sustainability in long run (Woolworths Limited, 2017). Task-1 Assess the company’s performance over the last two years The ratio analysis of company is made to establish the relation between two financial factors. It would assist in assessing the profitability, liquidity, efficiency and share price fluctuation of company (Woolworths Limited, 2017). LIQUIDITY RATIOS The liquidity ratio is used to analysis whether company is able to meet its short term and long term liabilities. It is analyzed that company has good amount of cash blockage in its current assets (Delen, Kuzey, &Uyar, 2013).This company has decreased its cash blockage in its current assets with a view to lower down its cost of capital. It is analysed that company has reduced its investment in its current assets which might negatively impact the business growth of the organization. It is analyzed that company could easily reduce the cost of capital if it effectively manages its liquid assets. With the changes in time, it has lower down its cash blockage but it might negatively impact the business functioning of organization if there is high demand in market (Goldmann, 2017). As compared to market industry ratio, it has maintained higher liquidity in its business. PROFITABILITY RATIOS Thisratiodivulgestheprofitearningcapacityof companyinlong run.Itmeasures company’searningcapacitywhichwillassistin determininghowwellcompanyhas
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performed throughout the time. It is analyzed that Woolworths Company has increased its net profit margin to 8% in 2017. It has increased due to the increase in its overall turnover. It has been reflected that company has improved its profitability by increasing the overall sales. In context with the gross margin, Woolworths has faced high decrease in its gross profit margin and resulted to 22% GP margin in 2017. It has decreased its gross profit margin by 20% since last three years (Goldmann, 2017). The returns on assets have been stable since last three years. However, company did not increase its investment amount and maintained stable return on its investment.As compared to market industry ratio, it has maintained higher equal profitability in their net profit and return on earning, capital investment is higher. DescriptionFormulaWOOLWORTHS HOLDINGS LTD (WHL) 2013 -08 2014 -08 2015 -08 2016 -08 2017 -08 Average industry ratio Net profit Margin Net profit/revenues7%7%6%7%8%8% Grossprofit MarginGross profit/ Sales38%39%41%41%40%22% Administrative expenses ratio Administrative expenses/ Sales29%29%31%30%30%85% Return on equityNet profit/Equity46%44%22%22%29%24% Return on assets Netprofit/Total sales7%7%6%7%8%8%
Earningsper share Netprofit/Share outstanding0.500.25.1.50.650.450.85 The return on equity of company has increased to 24% which is 2% higher since last three years. This reflects that company has more earning available to distribute to its equity shareholders(Woolworths Limited, 2016).The earning per share of company has also decreased with the decrease in its overall profit. These all things have reflected that company has lower down its profitability. In order to improve the profitability, company must lower down its operating expenses and increase its overall revenue (Goel, Chadha, and Sharma, 2015).
EFFECIENCY RATIO OR ACTIVITY RATIO The efficiency ratio divulges the way company has invested its capital in the business activities. It is analyzed that receivable turnover ratio of company has increased to 35 times which is 20 times higher as compared to last three year. It is the negative indicator and may reflect the negative impact on the cost of capital.The assets turnover ratio has also gone up to 243.6 times in 2017 which is 20 points higher if it is compared with the last three year data (Woolworths Limited, 2017). The inventory turnover ratio of company has increased to 112.21 times which is 30 times higher since last three years. This reflects that company has more blocked more of its capital in its business activities. It is further analyzed that receivable turnover ratio of Woolworths has been marked as zero. The main reason of zero receivable turnovers is based on the zero blocked funds in its receivable in its books of account. It is evaluated that company will have low amount of cost of capital in its business due to befewer blockages of funds in its business (Goldmann, 2017). The market industry ratio, is quite higher and due to its zero receivables it has maintained effective use of resources and it does not have to wait for the cash conversion cycle. Descrip tion Formul aWOOLWORTHS HOLDINGS LTD (WHL) 2013- 082014-08 2015- 08 2016- 08 2017- 08 Average industry ratio Efficien cy ratio Receiva ble turnove r Receiva bles/ Total sales*36 5-----55.55 InventoInventor466645.25
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ry turnove r y / cost of goods sold *3658.8551.804.357.272.63 Accoun ts Payabl e ratio Payable s/Total sales*36 5 3 9.7642.51 4 9.73 2 7.77 2 4.1732.55 Debt to equity ratio Debt to capital ratio The debt to equity ratio shows the relation between the debt and equity of company. Woolworths needs to manage its debt and equity in its business effectively so that it could manage its financial leverage and cost of capital. If company have high debt capital in its capital structure then it will also result to higher financial leverage. The debt to equity of Woolworths is 1.36 which is .60 points higher as compared to last three year data. It shows that company needs to reduce its debt portion in its business for some time as it is facing downfall in its profitability. The downfall in its profitability will destruct the business if it fails to cover the financial leverage (Hunjra, and Bashir, 2014). Time interest ratio Time interest ratio is used to measure the how well company has managed its interest payment. The interest payment of company should not be more than the profit earning capacity. If company fails to pay off its interest payment then it will destruct its business and result to loss of business in long run (Maina, and Sakwa, 2017).
Long -term solvency of the company over the last three years The long term solvency of the Woolworths could be measured by evaluating the debt and equity of company and it’s gearing ratio which could be available to cover up its interest payment. The long term solvency of company is good. However company has kept 36% debt portion and 64% part of the capital is equity. Nonetheless, due to the low profitability, it might negatively impact the financial leverage and may result to destruction of the business (Meena, and Dhar, 2016). Trend analysis of Woolworths Company The trend analysis is used to analysis the financial performance of company in the future. It is used to analysis the trend of the company and how it has been increasing its net profit and revenue (Miller-Nobles, Mattison, and Matsumura, 2016). Trend analysis of the Revenue The trend analysis is used to analysis the changes in the revenue of the Woolworths Company (Ehiedu, 2014).However, as per the basis of the last year data, company has it has been analysedthatcompanyhasbeenincreasingitsoverallrevenuethroughoutthetime (Woolworths Limited, 2017). Trend analysis of Woolworth Company Part icul ar2013201420152016201720182019202020212022 Rev enu e $ 35,22 7.00 $ 39,70 7.00 $ 56,50 6.00 $ 65,00 4.00 $ 67,41 1.00 $ 79,67 0.50 $ 88,63 7.00 $ 97,60 3.50 $ 106,57 0.00 $ 115,53 6.50
2013201420152016201720182019202020212022 $- $20,000.00 $40,000.00 $60,000.00 $80,000.00 $100,000.00 $120,000.00 Trend analysis of Reveune Revenue This graph reflect that Woolworths Company has increasing revenue in its business which reflects that it could have increased business outcomes if it consistently perform like its previous year. However, there might be possible changes which could have faced throughout the time (Mwangi, and Murigu, 2015). Trend analysis of the net profit Trend analysis of Woolworth company Parti cula r2013201420152016201720182019202020212022 Net Prof it $ 2,597. 00 $ 2,888. 00 $ 3,116. 00 $ 4,344. 00 $ 5,446. 00 $ 5,824. 40 $ 6,539. 80 $ 7,255. 20 $ 7,970. 60 $ 8,686. 00 This analysis reveals that Woolworths would have increasing profit earing capacity which reflects positive indicator for the future growth and sustainable business practice (Rani, Yadav, and Jain, 2015).
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This trend analysis has reflected how well company has created value on its investment and increased its business outcomes. It is further analyzed that company will also have increased revenue which will eventually impact positively on the business outcomes throughout the time. 2013201420152016201720182019202020212022 $- $1,000.00 $2,000.00 $3,000.00 $4,000.00 $5,000.00 $6,000.00 $7,000.00 $8,000.00 $9,000.00 Trend analysis of Net Profit Net Profit Share price analysis of Woolworths The share price analysis is used to identify the ups and down related to financial performance of Company. It is analyzed that the share price value of company has been increasing throughout the time (Sujan, Islam, Azad, and Rayhan, 2017).Nonetheless, the increasing share price movement has reflected that Woolworths will grow effectively with the increase in the movement of the capital outcomes. The share price analysis of the Woolworths company could be made by using the below given graph. This graph has been prepared on the basis of the share price changes of the company since last three years. However, after analysing the historical changes in the share price of the company it is found that Woolworths Company has faced high loss in its business in 2017 and faced downfall in its share price movement (Woolworths Limited, 2017). It is analyzed that company has increased its share price in 2016 and after ending of the 2016 the share price of company started to go down. This reflects how well company has been performing. In 2017 due to the downfall in its profitability, low business efficiency, it has faced high loss in its business and resulted to decreased business outcomes (Vogel, 2014).
8/31/2015 12/1/2015 3/2/2016 6/2/2016 9/2/2016 12/3/2016 3/5/2017 6/5/2017 9/5/2017 12/6/2017 3/8/2018 6/8/2018 9/8/2018 -1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 Woolworths PlcAdj Close (All ordinary share index) null 4947.899902 5151.799805 5316 5447.799805 5310.399902 5644 5529.399902 5525.200195 5402.399902 5502.399902 5719.100098 5675 5761 5903.799805 5947.600098 5761.299805 5764 5773.899902 5776.299805 5744.899902 5976.399 Recommendation to investors After analysing the financial performance and business digits of Woolworths, it could be inferred that due to the strengthen sustainability and strong financial performance, investors may have good amount of value creation if they invest their capital in long run.There are several recommendations given as below for the betterment of the investment decision made by the investors (Waemustafa, and Sukri, 2016). ï‚·The financial leverage of company is high it might be risky for the investors to get back their money if company fails to earn profit and goes into liquidation. It is advised that those investors who are afraid to take risk should not invest their capital in Woolworths. ï‚·Investors should invest their capital in Woolworths only for long run. If they invest their capital in Woolworths for short term then they will end up having high amount of business loss in their business. Nonetheless, there are some chances when investors could invest their money in short run and could create value on their investment. ï‚·The share price fluctuation of Woolworths is high. It could be beneficial for the organization as if they uses the proper investment tool then they could find out some of the situation when the share price of company will rise and down. Investors should wait for the right moment and right financial tools to create value on its investment (Woolworths Limited, 2017).
ï‚·The ratio analysis of company is made to establish the relation between two financial factors and reflects that company will have sustainable busienss practice and more return on capital employed in future. ï‚·The assets turnover ratio has also gone up to 243.6 times in 2017 which is 20 points higher if it is compared with the last three year data (Woolworths Limited, 2017). This is the good indicator which will positively impact the future growth and increased business outcomes of organization (Delen, Kuzey, &Uyar, 2013). ï‚·The increasing profitability and return on capital employed is the positive indicator for the investors to create value on their investment. ï‚·The capital structure of company is the main critical point which helps organization to determine how well it could manage its cost of capital and financial leverage. After evaluating the annual report of company, it is analyzed that company has kept high debt toequityratiowhichmay negativelyimpactthe businessif thereisno profitability throughout the time (Woolworths Limited, 2016). ï‚·As compared to other rivals such as Wesfarmers, Tesco and Morrison, It has maintained high liquidity which might be negative indicator in context with high cost of capital. Conclusion AfteranalysingthefinancialdetailsofWoolworths,itcouldbeinferredthat Woolworths Company has increasing revenue in its business which reflects that it could have increasedbusinessoutcomes.Inadditiontothis,investorscouldcreatevalueonits investment if they invest their capital in long run instead of short term investment. Investing money in short term will result to reduced investment value and may destruct the capital investment by them. In the end, it could be inferred that Investors should use invest their capital in Woolworths only after assessing the financial trend. The above given trend reflects that investors should invest their capital in Woolworths if they want to create value on their investment.
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References Delen, D., Kuzey, C. and Uyar, A., 2013. Measuring firm performance using financial ratios: A decision tree approach.Expert Systems with Applications,40(10), pp.3970-3983. Ehiedu, V.C., (2014). The impact of liquidity on profitability of some selected companies: Thefinancialstatementanalysis(FSA)approach.ResearchJournalofFinanceand Accounting,5(5), pp.81-90. Goel, U., Chadha, S. and Sharma, A.K., (2015). Operating liquidity and financial leverage: evidences from Indian machinery industry.Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences,189, pp.344-350. Goldmann, K., (2017). Financial liquidity and profitability management in practice of polish business. InFinancial Environment and Business Development(pp. 103-112). Springer, Cham. Hunjra,A.I.andBashir,A.,(2014).ComparativeFinancialPerformanceAnalysisof ConventionalandIslamicBanksinPakistan.BulletinofBusinessandEconomics (BBE),3(4), pp.196-206. Maina, F.G. and Sakwa, M.M., (2017). Understanding financial distress among listed firms in Nairobi stockexchange:Aquantitativeapproachusingthe Z-score multi-discriminant financial analysis model.3(4), pp.196-206. Meena, A. and Dhar, J., (2016). An empirical analysis and comparative study of liquidity ratios and asset-liability management of banks operating in India.International Journal of Social,Behavioral,Educational,Economic,BusinessandIndustrialEngineering,8(1), pp.342-348. Miller-Nobles, T.L., Mattison, B. and Matsumura, E.M., (2016).Horngren's Financial & Managerial Accounting: The Managerial Chapters. Pearson. Mwangi, M. & Murigu, J.W., (2015). The determinants of financial performance in general insurance companies in Kenya.European Scientific Journal, ESJ,11(1).
Mwangi, M. and Murigu, J.W., (2015). The determinants of financial performance in general insurance companies in Kenya.European Scientific Journal, ESJ,11(1). Rani, N., Yadav, S.S. and Jain, P.K., (2015). Financial performance analysis of mergers and acquisitions:evidencefromIndia.InternationalJournalofCommerceand Management,25(4), pp.402-423. Sujan, M.H.K., Islam, F., Azad, M.J. and Rayhan, S.J., (2017). Financial profitability and resource use efficiency of boro rice cultivation in some selected area of Bangladesh.African Journal of Agricultural Research,12(29), pp.2404-2411. Vogel, H.L., (2014).Entertainment industry economics: A guide for financial analysis. Cambridge University Press. Waemustafa, W. and Sukri, S., (2016). Systematic and unsystematic risk determinants of liquidity risk between Islamic and conventional banks. Woolworths,(2017),Annualreport.[Online].,Availableat https://www.woolworthsgroup.com.au/page/investors/our-performance/reports/Reports/ Annual_Reports, , ,[Accessed 20thSeptember 2018]
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Appendix Financial Data of WOOLWORTHS HOLDINGS LTD (WHL) Descriptio n WOOLWORTHS HOLDINGS LTD (WHL)(AUD $M) 2013 -082014-08 2015 -08 2016 -08 2017 -08 Revenue 3522 739707 5650 6 6500 4 6741 1 Cost of goods sold 2167 424209 3335 6 3861 8 4073 9 Gross profit 1355 315498 2315 0 2638 6 2667 2 Operating profit34693943558769566198 Adminstrati ve expenses 1008 411555 1756 3 1943 0 2047 4 Net profit25972888311643445446 Interest00012341256 Inventory29013436588171176990 Current assets5410140778281 1034 0 1028 7 Cash and cash equivalents1562954289115251787 Receivables00000 Current liabilities4376133999086 1097 8 1059 1 Payables38374625769949454464 Shares outstadning10 1080 200 Equity56196629 1425 1 1982 6 1903 8 Total liabilities656915640 2720 4 2956 4 2595 5 Total assets 1218 822269 4145 5 4939 0 4499 3 Market share price2223242526 Descriptio nFormulaWOOLWORTHS HOLDINGS LTD (WHL) 2013 -082014-08 2015 -08 2016 -08 2017 -08 Average industry ratio Profitabilit
y Net profit MarginNet profit/revenues7%7%6%7%8%8% Gorss profit MarginGross profit/ Sales38%39%41%41%40%22% Administrat ive expenses ratio Adminsitraitve expenses/ Sales29%29%31%30%30%85% Return on equityNet profit/Equity46%44%22%22%29%24% Return on assets Net profit/ Total sales7%7%6%7%8%8% Earning per share Net profit/ Share outstanding0.500.25.1.50.650.450.85 Financial leverage EBIT / EBIT - Interest1.01.01.01.21.31.6 Asset turnover total assets / total sales *365126.3204.7267.8 277. 3243.6375 Liquidity Working capital Current Assets- Current Liabilities1034678-805-638-304425 cash ratio cash equivalents + cash / current liabilities0.360.710.100.140.170.77 Current ratio Current assets/current liabilities1.241.050.910.940.971.25 Quick Ratio Current assets- Inventory/current liabilities0.570.790.260.290.310.89 Receivable turnover Receivables/ Total sales*365-----55.55 Inventory turnover Inventory / cost of goods sold *36548.8551.8064.35 67.2 762.6345.25 Accounts Payble ratio Paybles/ Total sales*36539.7642.5149.73 27.7 724.1732.55 Market based ratios Price / earings ratio Market value per share / earnings per share44.0092.0027.00 38.4 657.78122 Dividend yield ratio dividend / current share price(0.03(0.01)(0.02(0.00(0.00 -0.45