Finance Assignment: Shareholder Wealth, Risk, and Returns Analysis

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ACCOUNTING & FINANCE
STUDENT_ NUMBER
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Question 1
(a) FVA = $10,000
R=10 % p .a .
¿
R=5 %half yearly
C=$ 800
N=?
Total size of concluding payment ¿ ?
Formula for FVA:
FVA= C[ ( 1+R ) N1 ]
R
10,000=
800[ ( 1+ 5
100 )
N
1 ]
5
100
N= ( ln 1.625 )
( ln1.05) =9.95
Total number of full payment would be 9.
Total size of concluding payment = 800* 9.95 = $7961.
(b) Initial investment ¿ 20000020000=$ 180,000
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Interest rate R=10 %
Interest amount ( per year ¿ ¿ 18000010 %=$ 18000
Interest amount (for all four years) = 4 * Interest amount ( per year ¿
¿ 180004=$ 72,000
At the end of the 4 year the total amount would be computed as
¿ 180000+72000=$ 252,000
Time = 180 months
Monthly interest rate R=10
12 %
252000=
P
[1 (1+( 10
1200 ) )180
]
( 10
1200 )
P=$ 2697.2
Hence, monthly payment P=$ 2697.2
(c)
FVA=?
C=$ 4000
R=5 % per year
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N=11 Years
FVA= 4000[ ( 1+0.05 )111 ]
0.05 =$ 56,827.2
The total amount which Dr. Ritz would have at the end of December 2017 is $ 56,827.2
(d)
Amount offered to Mary Tune = $150,000
Rate (discount) = 6%
Total cash flows for the ten years = $20,000
Time = 10 years
Present value of cash flows for the respective years is given below:
“Present value of the future cash flow” = $147,202
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It can be seen from the above that present value of future cash flow is smaller than the total
amount offered ($150,000) to Mary Tuna. Hence, it would be profitable to Mary Tuna to sell her
future rights.
(e) Amount of annuity A=$ 1000
R=10 %I=12%
N=10 Years
Total cost of annuity would be computed as
P= A ¿
P=1000 ¿
P=$ 8244.3
Hence, total cost of annuity is ¿ $ 8244.3 .
Question 2
1) Shareholders wealth refers the future value which the business can potentially generate in all
the future years in present terms. Considering the role of time in determination of
shareholders wealth, hence ‘maximization of shareholders’ wealth’ essentially tends to focus
on the long term. This is in sharp contract with maximization of profit which is relatively
static term which lacks two critical dimensions namely risk and time. As a result, the profit
maximization goal by the management can essentially destroy shareholders wealth is the
focus is only short term. This is because the managers may take risky decisions or retort to
unethical practices which may maximize profit in the short term but would detrimental to the
interest of the shareholders in the long run. Thus, shareholder wealth maximization essentially
focuses on sustainable growth and thus is a more holistic concept. The global financial crisis
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appropriately illustrated the perils of profit maximization over shareholder wealth
maximization and hence must be avoided (Brigham and Houston, 2014).
2) According to Markowitz portfolio theory, there is a relation between risk and return. Also, it
is essential that the investment choices taken by the individual should be driven by their
respective risk appetite. Thus, for an investor who is risk averse or does not want to assume
much risk, the appropriate investments or projects would be those which have high certainty
and thus have lower risk. However, it would be inappropriate to assume that corporate
managers who are risk averse would take risk free investments only. For any given
investment, there is some degree of risk and also risk aversion does not mean zero risk. Thus,
a risk adverse investor would invest in blue chip shares which are relatively stable and do not
show wild price swings. However, the risk of failure in such a company also exists, even
though the same would be considerably less. Hence, I am in disagreement with the given
statement (Arnold, 2005).
Question 3
(i) The requisite data from Yahoo Finance for the year 2016, for “Commonwealth Bank
(CBA) and Rio Tinto (RIO) and market (MKT – as proxised by all ordinary index) is
shown below:
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The monthly holding period returns for the year 2016 for “Commonwealth Bank (CBA)
and Rio Tinto (RIO) and market (MKT – as proxised by all ordinary index) is shown
below (Lasher, 2007):
Monthly holding period
¿ ( Monthly closing priceMonthly opening price
Monthly opening price )100
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The line chart to represent the monthly returns for the given shares and market is highlighted
below:
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
-20.00%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Monthly Returns (2016)
CBA Rio Tinto All ordinaries index
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(ii) Average monthly holding period return for each of the investment is computed as
given below:
By considering the average of monthly holding period return for the respective investment
(iii) Annual holding period return for each of the investment is determined as given
below:
For CBA
Opening price (1st trading day i.e. Jan 4, 2016) = 85.53
Closing price (last trading day i.e. Dec 30, 2016) = 82.41
Annual holding period return¿ 82.4185.53
85.53 100=3.65 %
For Rio
Opening price (1st trading day i.e. Jan 4, 2016) = 44.71
Closing price (last trading day i.e. Dec 30, 2016) = 59.90
Annual holding period return¿ 59.9044.71
44.71 100=33.974 %
For All Ordinary index
Opening price (1st trading day i.e. Jan 4, 2016) = 5344.6
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Closing price (last trading day i.e. Dec 30, 2016) = 5719.1
Annual holding period return¿ 5719.15344.6
5344.6 100=7.01%
Final table:
(iv) Standard deviation of the monthly rates of return for each share and market is given
below:
With the help of excel function =STDEV ()
(v) Risk return plot is shown below:
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3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
CBA
Rio Tinto
All ordinaries index
Risk Return Plot
Risk
Returns (%)
Expected returns (with the help of CAPM model)
¿ Risk free rate+ ( Beta )( Expected market returnsrisk free rate)
For RIO Tinto: Beta value = 0.95
For CBA: Beta value = 1.11
Risk free rate for both = 3.25 %
Expected market returns for both = 7%
Now,
Expected returns for RIO Tinto ¿ 3.25+0.95( 73.25 ) =6.81 % ( p . a . )
Expected returns for CBA ¿ 3.25+1.11(73.25)=7.41 %¿.)
(vi) Construction of Security Market Line (SL) where, CBA and Rio Tinto would lie is
shown below:
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0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
CBA
Rio Tinto
Security Market Line (SML)
Systematic risk
Returns (%)
(vii) Construction of portfolio with
CBA=60 %
Rio Tinto=40 %
Estimated return =?
Beta value of portfolio =?
Estimated return of portfolio ¿ wRIORRIO +wCBA RCBA
¿ ( 0.433.97 ) + ( 0.6( 3.65 ) )
¿ 11.40 % per annum
Beta value of portfolio ¿ wRIOβRIO+ wCBAβCBA
¿ ( 0.40.95 )+ ( 0.61.1 )
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¿ 1.046
(viii) As per the above discussion, it can be seen that for the year 2016, returns in case of
CBA is significant lower as compared with the expected returns. On the other hand,
the return for the year 2016, in case of Rio Tinto is significant higher as compared
with the expected returns of the shareholders. Further, Rio Tinto has derived high
returns irrespective of the risk return ratio. Moreover, from the security market line, it
can be seen that Rio Tinto is undervalued as compared with the CBA. Because, from
the line chart, it is apparent that CBA is overvalued. When both the results, SML and
CAPM would be taken into account then it would be fair to conclude that one should
make an investment in the Rio Tinto shares rather than investing in CBA or in
Portfolio.
Reference
Arnold, G. (2005) Corporate Financial Management. 3rd edn. Sydney: Financial Times
Management.
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Brigham, E. F. and Houston, J. F., (2014) Fundamentals of Financial Management. 14th edn.
Boston: Cengage Learning.
Lasher, W. R., (2007) Practical Financial Management. 5th edn. London: South- Western
College Publisher.
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