Corporate Financial Management: IPO Valuation for No Regrets Inc.

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This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the Initial Public Offering (IPO) process for No Regrets, Inc., focusing on the valuation of shares and the implications of ownership changes. It begins with an introduction to IPOs, highlighting the regulatory framework and the importance of valuation. The report then delves into the impact of an IPO on existing and future ownership, including changes in management processes, privacy considerations, and short-term financial reporting requirements. The core of the report centers on share valuation, employing the PE Range Valuation Model and the Constant Growth Model to determine an appropriate price range for the company's shares. The report includes detailed financial statements and calculations, and compares the valuation results with the company's proposed IPO price. Ultimately, the report recommends an IPO price and discusses the importance of the existing owners retaining a significant portion of the shareholding to maintain control over the company's management and future direction. The analysis considers factors such as industry norms and the need to present an attractive price to potential investors.
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CORPORATE FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT REPORT
2/19/2020
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Contents
Introduction...........................................................................................................................................2
IPO and Significant areas in context of ownership................................................................................2
Valuation of the shares of the company.................................................................................................4
Other considerations..............................................................................................................................9
Bibliography........................................................................................................................................11
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Introduction
The prime aim behind the initiation of the Initial Public Offering is the capitalization on the
varied and large base of the investors, and also on the liquid capital markets. It is significant
to note that the IPO process is regulated by the US Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC), and the legislative rules and regulations must be mandatorily followed. The aim of the
following report is to guide the management of the entity No Regrets, Inc. on the various
aspects of security valuation and going public process.
IPO and Significant areas in context of ownership
Some of the key aspects of the IPO in relation to the impact on the existing and the future
ownership would be described in the following segment.
Change in the management processes
It has been assessed that the current owners of the above mentioned company wish to retain
20% to 25 % ownership in the company. Thus, the existing owners would be required to sell
their shares to public, to raise the capital in the company. It is to be noted that there would be
significant changes in the management processes if the new public owners would have a
75%- 80% shareholding in the company. Further to note, there would be enhanced
management processes in the newly formed public company which were absent in the case of
a private limited company. Some of the key changes in the management processes are listed
as follows.
On becoming a part of the Security Exchange regulations, the public company would be
required to file the financial statements and the annual returns on a periodic basis. In addition,
these financial statements must be audited by the independent auditors. The owners must be
careful of retaining the non-public information so as the same may not be used for the insider
trading purposes. Since the existing owners want to retain the 20% - 25% shareholding in the
company, there lies a duty to file a report relating to the disclosure of the shares possessed,
changes and transactions during the year in the said shareholding during the fiscal period, as
it is mandatory for the owners possessing more than 10 per cent of shareholding
("International Legal Business Solutions - Global Legal Insights"). The existing owners
would be still be liable for the acts of the company in the light of being the control person for
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the violations of the requirements as mentioned in the section 11, section and section 15 of
the act. These are in addition to the requirement relating to the appointment of the directors,
holding of the meetings of the shareholders, and other statutory processes as guided in the
act. In addition, it is significant to note that there is enhancement in the expenses on account
of finance and reporting, information technology and investor relations, internal controls and
others.
Public company and the issues of privacy
It is important to be noted that the yet other prime change on the conversion of the private
company into a public company is in the form of the loss of privacy. While the most of the
information of a private company is not available in the public domain, the case is opposite in
the case of the public company, because of the statutory guidelines on the same. Some of the
key aspects that must be disclosed mandatorily are as follows, and the same would be
available not only to the stakeholders of the company, but also the competitors as well.
Financial information in the form of the financial position, related-party transactions,
data on business segments, key customers, sustainability and governance approach
and others ("SEC.Gov | Going Public").
Compensation or remuneration structure of the directors and other officers of the
company, which not only includes the compensation in cash but also deferred
compensation plans, and the stock option plans, if any.
Shareholding patterns and the changes therein for the officers, directors, and key
shareholders.
Short term financial reporting requirements
As stated in the previous parts, there are significant changes in the various business aspects
out of the conversion of the private owned company to a public listed company, including the
management processes and privacy. There are several other aspects that makes the public
company different from a private company. The short term reporting requirements are a
complex and lengthy affair for the management of an enterprise, however there is an
enhanced transparency in the reporting and business management from the point of view of
stakeholders such as regulators, investors, suppliers, customers and others. The risk is spread
by widening of the shareholder base, and not only the profits are distributed, but so the losses
as against in the private companies. The public companies are further advantageous in
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context of increased confidence and public trust, because of the transparent public
information of the key aspects (Korchak). Thus, there lies a greater opportunity of attracting
investments in future as well.
Valuation of the shares of the company
One of the significant activities of the Initial Public Offering is the valuation of the company
as a whole that is trying to go to public. The reason for the said significance is that there are
various methods involving various assumptions that are used to value the price of a single
share and eventually to determine the number of shares to be issued for the desired amount of
capital. Some of the key methods that are used for the valuation are that of the “Discounted
cash flow analysis method,” “comparable company analysis,” “constant growth model,” “PE
Range Valuation,” and others. The valuation models that are used in the following report are
the PE Range Valuation Model and the Constant Growth Model. The analysis of the
valuation methods, the price derived from each and the comparison is provided as follows.
PE Range Valuation Model
The model involves the valuation of the business based on the PE multiple, and the forecasted
Earning Price per Share. It is significant to note that it is vital to prepare the forecasted
financial statements taking into considerations various factors such as the inflation rates,
changes in the industry of operation, the consumer preferences, and others. It has been
assessed in the case of the company New Regret Inc. that the company is contemplating to
expand its operations from 6 stores to 30 stores. Accordingly, taking into consideration the
factor of inflation and the expansion rate, it is estimates that the sales of the company would
grow by 5 times on account on expansion, and an additional 11 percent on account of
external environment changes. The forecasted financial statements of the organization are
presented as follows, which would form the base for the PE Valuation Model.
New Regret Inc.
Forecasted Income Statement (For the years ended on… )
Description Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22
Sales
$
67,80,000.00
$
72,20,000.00
$
79,00,000.00
$
4,03,69,000.00
$
4,48,09,590.00
$
4,97,38,644.90
Cost of sales
$
44,07,000.00
$
47,65,200.00
$
53,72,000.00
$
2,66,43,540.00
$
2,95,74,329.40
$
3,28,27,505.63
Cost of sales percentage 65% 66% 68% 66% 66% 66%
Other Operating costs
$
14,00,000.00
$
15,00,000.00
$
16,00,000.00
$
1,02,00,000.00
$
1,12,20,000.00
$
1,23,42,000.00
EBIT (Net operating
income)
$
9,73,000.00
$
9,54,800.00
$
9,28,000.00
$
35,25,460.00
$
40,15,260.60
$
45,69,139.27
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Interest Expense
$
2,00,000.00
$
2,00,000.00
$
2,00,000.00
$
2,00,000.00
$
2,00,000.00
$
2,00,000.00
EBT
$
7,73,000.00
$
7,54,800.00
$
7,28,000.00
$
33,25,460.00
$
38,15,260.60
$
43,69,139.27
Tax
$
2,31,900.00
$
2,26,440.00
$
2,18,400.00
$
9,97,638.00
$
11,44,578.18
$
13,10,741.78
Net Income
$
5,41,100.00
$
5,28,360.00
$
5,09,600.00
$
23,27,822.00 $26,70,682.42
$
30,58,397.49
EPS
$
1.80
$
1.76
$
1.70
$
7.76 $ 8.90
$
10.19
EPS GROWTH RATE -2% -4% 357% 15% 15%
As evident from the financial statements prepared above, it is evident that the EPS is
estimated to grow drastically, based on the forecasted revenues. It is to be noted that the cost
of sales is estimated to be reduced down, and the rest of the expenses are in the same ratio to
the sales. Thus, while there is not much change in the expenses, the growth of earnings led to
the increase in the Earning Per Share. It must be noted that as the EPS has increased
drastically, so the share price per share has been computed to be quite high, using the PE
multiple range of the industry. The valuation of the share is computed as follows. The
valuation is followed by the expected dividends on the basis of the dividend yield in the
industry.
PE RANGE VALUATION OF THE SHARES OF NO REGRETS INC.
Computation of the approximate price range (based on 2020 data)
Low PE range 15
High PE range 20
Share Price = PE Multiple * EPS
Lowest price = $ 116.39
Highest price = $ 155.19
Price range = 116.3911- 155.1881
Average market price based on PE Multiple = $ 135.7896
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Value ranges
Number of shares = 300000
Lowest price = $ 116.39
Highest price = $ 155.19
Minimum Value = $ 3,49,17,330.00
Maximum Value = $ 4,65,56,440.00
Computation of the expected dividends
Dividend Yield = Annual dividend/Current Stock Price
Annual dividend =
Dividend yield/Current stock
price
Annual dividend = 1.5%/135.7896
Annual dividend = 0.0110465
Annual dividend = $ 1.1046
Thus, based on the PE Multiple, the maximum value of the business is $ 46556440 and the
minimum value of the business is $ 34917330. The said values are derived from the price
range that is $ 116.39 - $ 155.19.
The above valuation based price range is in contrast to the proposed price of the management
for the IPO has been decided to be at $ 50 per share. The value of $ 116.39 to $ 155.19
cannot be stated to be a credible value either, because it is dependent on a numerous
assumptions, such as constant inflation rate, constant product mix, absence of changes in the
consumer preferences, constant interest rates in the market and others. As the price range
determined is much higher, the same may not be accepted by the group of fresh group of
equity investors, and the values may be denoted as quite overrated.
As per the analysis as conducted above, the proposed price of $ 50 is not a credible price, in
contrast to the price range determined by the PE multiple valuation. This is because the price
range determined is much higher than that. This means, had the $ 50 would have been fixed
as the IPO price, the dilution in the ownership would have been more because of the higher
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number of shares to be issued by the company to raise the additional amount for expansion of
$ 48000000. Taking into consideration, the other factors, the IPO price suggested to the
management of the entity is $ 116 that is the lowest price in the price range. According to
this price, the number of shares to be issued to raise the amount of expansion of $ 48000000
is 413793 shares ($48000000/$116). It is to be noted that it is reasonable to further hold a 25
per cent of shareholding in the company. However, it is suggested that the owners must opt to
hold more shares so as to retain the control over the activities, objectives and other aspects of
the company management. This is because if 413793 shares are issued to the new investors
and that the same account for 75 – 80 percent of the total holding, the existing shareholders
may not have any say in the company management, as a special resolution requires minimum
of 75 percent of voting which would already be composed of the new shareholders itself.
Apart from this, there are number of factors that have led to the suggestion of a price that is
not on the higher side of the valuation range. These factors are that of industry norms,
presenting an attractive price to the potential investors and other legislative and industrial
aspects. It must be noted that the IPO price proposed must be such that the same not only
satisfies the current owners, but also the prospective owners (Bell, Igor and Ruth 303). In
addition, the current industry norms must be considered as well, which would be available on
analyzing the recent IPOs in the industry of operation.
The pros and cons for the price point that is selected for the company, that is $ 116 are stated
as follows. It is important to note that the suggested price is the lowest minimum price that
must be accepted by the company. The rationale behind the said price being suggested is that
it has been assumed that the market is a bearish market, in the light of the US China Trade
Tensions, Brexit, and the other political and economic disturbances in the exchange market.
The result of the same would be that the market window would tend to close and there is
slowness in the IPO activity. The pros of the chosen price would be that the same would not
only be attractive to the new and existing investor groups, but also would be an attractive
choice in the light of the declining market. The yet another benefit is that the company can
take advantages of its existing goodwill because of existing stores, and can avail the cash
needed form this price, by generating investor demand at low price range. The cons of the
said price can be stated to be that the same may still seem to be on a higher side, as per the
industry norms and the current market sentiments, and the investors may not invest in the
company at such a price too. The control may be diluted more as the price suggested is on
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low range and number of shares to be issued would be more unlike in case of price on a
higher side.
It is further to be noted that as the amount needed for the expansion is even more than higher
range of the total valuation based on PE Multiple, the giving up of 75 – 80 percent of the
control is legitimate. However, risk of completed dilution of the control on the affairs of the
company still remains.
Constant Growth Valuation Model
In addition to the above valuation, the constant growth model has also been used to analyze
the value of the firm and the various aspects of the IPO, as this being one of the most
renowned valuation models. The valuation is conducted as under.
P0 = Div1/(r-g)
Div 1 = 0.85
r = 20%
g = 15%
P0 = 0.85/ (20%-15%)
P0 = 17
The said model works on an assumption that a company would exist forever and that the
dividend would be paid, and be increasing at a constant rate (Pinto). Thus, the model tells the
fair value of a stock considering the factors of the dividend payout and the expected returns in
the market, and does not pays attention to the market conditions prevailing currently. It must
be noted that if the above model leads to a value which is higher than the current trading price
of stock in the market, then the share is stated to be undervalued and vice versa. Thus, if the
share is undervalued, it must be bought and vice versa in case of the over valuation.
According to the constant growth model, the idle price per share of the business is $ 17. A
wide variation can be seen in the idle price as per the PE Based valuation and the constant
growth model based valuation. It can be concluded based on the comparison of the results of
the above two models that the share of the company is “overvalued”, and would not qualify
for a good buy from the point of view of investors, and the prices for IPO must be set taking
into consideration other factors.
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Other considerations
Apart from the financial aspects of valuation of the business and the fixation of the price for
the IPO, there are several other factors that must be considered by the management of the
entity No Regrets Inc. It is suggested to the management to avail a professional evaluation of
the following factors at length before deciding on the execution of the IPO.
(Source: "Roadmap For An IPO - A Guide To Going Public")
Thus, it is vital to get a professional review done of the above aspects as well, before
deciding to convert to a public limited company.
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Bibliography
"International Legal Business Solutions - Global Legal Insights". GLI - Global Legal
Insightsinternational Legal Business Solutions, 2020,
https://www.globallegalinsights.com/practice-areas/initial-public-offerings-laws-and-
regulations/02-going-public-in-the-usa-an-overview-of-the-regulatory-framework-and-
capital-markets-process-for-ipos. Accessed 19 Feb 2020.
"Roadmap For An IPO - A Guide To Going Public". Pwc.Com, 2017,
https://www.pwc.com/hu/hu/szolgaltatasok/konyvvizsgalat/szamviteli-tanacsadas/
kiadvanyok/roadmap_for_an_ipo.pdf. Accessed 19 Feb 2020.
"SEC.Gov | Going Public". Sec.Gov, 2020, https://www.sec.gov/smallbusiness/goingpublic.
Accessed 20 Feb 2020.
Bell, R. Greg, Igor Filatotchev, and Ruth V. Aguilera. "Corporate governance and investors'
perceptions of foreign IPO value: An institutional perspective." Academy of Management
Journal 57.1 (2014): 301-320.
Pinto, Jerald E. Equity asset valuation. John Wiley & Sons, 2020.
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