System Dynamics Modeling and Simulation of Energy Supply Analysis

This report applies a system dynamics approach to analyze and model energy supply systems, with a specific focus on decentralized energy sources. It begins by highlighting the significance of energy in terms of its environmental and economic impacts, and then introduces the concept of decentralized energy systems as a means to address sustainability targets and ecological requirements. The report provides detailed explanations and illustrations of power supply units and decentralized energy systems, including stock-flow diagrams related to thermal and electrical power flow, and energy conversion processes. The report also reviews the history of energy systems, from pre-industrialization to the industrial revolution, and discusses various plant technologies for thermal and electrical energy generation. The modeling concept, developed by Jay W. Forrester, is introduced, emphasizing the advantages of system dynamics in energy engineering, such as intuitive system modules and feedback loops. The report details the modeling of a cogeneration plant, including resource scheduling logic and simulation feedback, and proposes a new system model incorporating various aspects of energy generation. The primary objective of the models is to evaluate the ecological and technical potential of decentralized energy supply systems.