Business Economics Assignment: Inflation, Unemployment, GDP Analysis

This document presents a comprehensive solution to a business economics assignment. It begins by defining and illustrating demand-pull and cost-push inflation, including their causes. The assignment then explores the Consumer Price Index (CPI), outlining its advantages and disadvantages as a measure of prices, and discusses the gains and losses associated with inflation. The analysis extends to the Australian measure of unemployment, highlighting its perceived inaccuracies. Further, the document examines how government expenditure, consumption, exports, imports, and investment affect GDP. Fiscal and monetary policies are evaluated, including their impacts on public spending, time lags, and forecasting difficulties. Frictional and structural unemployment are also addressed. Finally, the solution analyzes the effects of monetary policy tools such as open market operations and tax cuts on the economy, detailing their impact on monetary base, interest rates, aggregate demand, and inflation.

Running Head: BUSINESS ECONOMICS 1
BUSINESS ECONOMICS
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Question 3
a.
Demand-pull inflation
Demand-pull inflation in an economy occurs when the aggregate demand increases more
than the aggregate supply (Kawasaki, Yamaguchi & Yanagida, 2010). This inflation occurs as
the overall economy grows on the other hand. In this situation, it is said that much money in the
economy chases only a few available goods and services. The increased aggregate demand
results due to increased employment by firms in order to increase the output. A maximum point
is reached in the economy where no more output can be produced to cater for the rising demand
as all the factors of production are fully occupied/utilized. As a result, further increase in
aggregate demand at the constant output supply shifts the aggregate demand curve from AD1 to
AD2 hence raising the price from P1 to P2. This price increase is the demand-pull inflation and
is illustrated in the diagram below:
Cost-push inflation
Cost-push inflation in an economy occurs when the aggregate supply of goods and
services decreases. This occurs due to an increase in the production cost when the maximum

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productivity has been reached. High production costs at maximum production companies’ level
makes the companies unable to realize profits. As a result the higher production costs are passed
on to the final consumer hence increasing the price of goods and services and the aggregate
supply curve shifts from AS1 to AS2 as the prices increase from P1 to P2. This is illustrated
below:
b.
Causes of demand-pull inflation
1. Future inflation expectations: expectation of future prices of goods and services
to rise increases the aggregate demand as the aggregate supply decreases. As the
aggregate demand outdoes the aggregate supply in the economy, the general price
of goods and services increase leading to demand-pull inflation
2. Increase in consumer level of disposable income: As the consumer level of
disposable income increases as a result of decreased government taxes and more
money in the economy, consumer expenditure rises. This increases the aggregate

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supply in the economy which eventually raises the price of goods and services
hence resulting to demand-pull inflation.
Causes of cost-push inflation
1. Wage rise: Trade unions may demand for increment in salaries paid to employees
by companies. The companies in order to achieve the increased wages and
maintain their profitability may increases the general price of goods and services
hence resulting to cost-push inflation.
2. Increased profit margin: companies may become more powerful and raise their
profit margins so as to make more profits. This is mostly the case whereby the
market moves towards monopoly or oligopoly markets. As a result the overall
price of goods and services is raised resulting to cost-push inflation.
Question 6
a.
Advantages of using Consumer Price Index (CPI) to measure prices
i. The CPI enables the federal government to determine the extent for the adjustment of the
social security and other programs funded by the government. CPI indicates the level of
consumer’s income in a nation and hence enables the government to determine the level
at which to assist its citizens by involving itself in consumer support programs.
ii. CPI enables the determination of the level of inflation (Bryan & Cecchetti, 2013). A
higher increase percentage in the annual level of CPI is an indication of higher level of

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inflation while a lower increase in the annual percentage of CPI indicates a lower
inflation rate.
Disadvantages of using Consumer Price Index (CPI) to measure prices
i. CPI overstates the rate of inflation: when CPI is used to measure prices, it does not
consider any improvements in the level of technology that may have occurred between
different periods of time. As a result, the inflation rate shown may not be accurate.
ii. CPI does not consider the quality of goods and services: an item included in the fixed
basket of goods and services may change its quality. This is not reflected by the CPI and
hence may give false information about the prices of the unmatched quality of goods.
b.
i. A gain from inflation: some people particularly the producers can predict the future
with great certainty. As a result they prepare to adjust for any future changes and
hence end up being winners. The borrowers also benefit from inflation as they repay
the borrowed funds at a lower rate of interest than the inflation rates.
ii. A lose from inflation: some people particularly those who depend on fixed income
such as the money lenders and fixed wage employees. The money lenders receive
their borrowed funds from borrowers at lower rates of interests which are not adjusted
for inflation. Fixed wage employees continue to earn their fixed salary irrespective of
inflation rate and hence end up being losers.
c.
The Australian measure of unemployment is considered to be absurd. This means that
the Australian real unemployment and under-employment is under-reported. For instance, more

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than 10% of the Australian population are under-employed yet considered to be employed. This
inaccuracy in unemployment measurement has misled the Australian government and the reserve
bank in making important economic decisions and needs to be addressed as soon as possible.
Question 7
a. G (Government Expenditure) is affected. A town council funding a new library
increases the government expenditure and hence increases the GDP.
b. C (consumption) is affected. When the federal Government raises the tax free
threshold, consumption increases due to increased consumer income and hence
the GDP increases.
c. X (exports) is affected. Fewer tourists visiting Australia decreases the exports
value hence decreasing the GDP.
d. M (imports) is affected. The increase in demand for domestically produced goods
decreases imports consumption and hence increase the GDP.
e. I (investments) is affected. The purchase of banks’ bonds increases investment in
the economy and hence increases the GDP.
f. I is affected. The borrowing of funds by manufacturing firms due to low interest
to rates finance to finance the building of new factories increases investment and
hence increases the GDP.
g. X is affected. Higher price for the Australian dollar by abroad customers reduces
the purchase of its exports and hence reduces the GDP.

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h. C, I, X and M are affected by tax reduction. Tax reduction increases consumption,
investment and exports and reduces imports. This therefore increases GDP.
Reduction of government expenditure affects G. it reduces the GDP.
i. C is affected. More savings by individuals reduces consumption and hence
decreases the GDP.
j. X and M are affected. Trading partners recovering from recession reduces exports
and increases imports. GDP is reduced.
Question 8
e.
i. Negative impact on public spending: the government may decide to reduce its
expenditure in order to reduce inflation and improve GDP. This will adversely affect the
nation’s public services such as the public transport and may end up causing problems in
the market.
ii. Time lags: the government may decide to adjust its spending depending on the set goals.
However, this may take too long since government expenditure is determined only once
per year.
iii. Forecasting difficulties: fiscal policy depends much on accurate future economic
forecasting (Blanchard & Leigh, 2013). The government if faced with false future
forecasting information may make wrong fiscal policy decision which may adversely
affect the country’s economy in future.

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f.
Frictional unemployment occurs as employees search for new jobs or as they move from
their current job to another. A country with imperfect job information and non-zero job-search
time adversely faces frictional employment. Employees may enter a job which they had no
correct information about only to end up realizing it was not what they wanted. This makes them
to continue searching for more correct job opportunities hence increasing frictional
unemployment.
g.
Macroeconomic policymakers should be concerned about structural unemployment
which occurs due to a mismatch in skills that workers have and skills demanded by the industry.
Structural unemployment can last for long if not well addressed hence prolonging unemployment
rate in a country, even if recession ends. If an industry technology changes, workers should be
trained to adapt to the changes rather than firing them. Structural unemployment differs from
cyclical unemployment due to the fact it is caused by industry forces rather than business cycles
(Wagner, 2014). Cyclical unemployment may end after recession period but structural
unemployment can last for years if not well addressed.
Question 9
h.
i. The economy’s monetary base decreases. This is due to the fact that the money available
in the economy is used in the purchase of the RM800 million government securities.

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ii. The short-term money market interest rates rise. The selling of the RM800 million
government securities reduces money supply in the economy. As only little cash is
available it outdoes the money demand in the overall economy and as a result short term
interest rates increase (Axilrod & Wallich, 2009).
iii. The long-term maturity interest rates decrease. In future the Bank Negara will purchase
the government securities at maturity interest rates in order to increase money supply in
the economy. The long-term maturity interest rates will be low and consequently the rate
at which money will be sold in the private money market will be low.
iv. The aggregate demand and the economic activity decrease since only little cash in the
economy is available for expenditure and investment. Inflation will also decrease as the
aggregate demand decreases and hence commodities price in the economy decrease.
i.
The economies monetary base in terms of the local currency decreases as the bank uses
the local currency to purchase the RM800 million foreign currency. The domestic price rises.
Much of the foreign currency will be available in the economy and as a result its demand will
decrease and hence the exchange rates will decrease.
j.
RM200 billion cut in taxes policy is more expansionary. Tax reduction influences the
economy in numerous ways as compared to government expenditure. The tax reduction increases
consumer level of expenditure as more money is available and also fosters investment in the
economy. Tax reduction also reduces price of goods and services in the economy reducing the

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overall inflation. It also increases exports since they can be sold at affordable prices to customers
abroad. Therefore due to various economic sectors which are influenced by tax reduction, a tax
cut of RM200 billion is more expansionary.
References
Axilrod, S. H., & Wallich, H. C. (2009). Open-Market Operations. In Money (pp. 288-293).
Palgrave Macmillan, London.
Blanchard, O. J., & Leigh, D. (2013). Growth forecast errors and fiscal multipliers. American
Economic Review, 103(3), 117-20.
Bryan, M. F., & Cecchetti, S. G. (2013). The consumer price index as a measure of inflation (No.
w4505). National Bureau of Economic Research.
Kawasaki, M., Yamaguchi, M., & Yanagida, T. (2010). Natural chaotic inflation in
supergravity. Physical Review Letters, 85(17), 3572.
Wagner, B. (2014). Types of Unemployment. Montana Department Of Labour And Industry,
Research And Analysis Bureau.