Financial Management Report: China's Impact on Global Economies

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This report provides a detailed analysis of China's economic influence on the global economy, focusing on its growth, industrial sectors, and international trade relationships. It examines China's position as a major player in global trade, its impact on commodity prices (particularly oil), and its growing export share. The report explores the effects of China's economic decisions, including its entry into the World Trade Organization and subsequent liberalization policies. The report also highlights the implications of China's economic slowdown on other economies, including the potential for falling commodity prices and reduced global trade. Furthermore, the report specifically examines the impact of China's economy on Australia, which has developed strong commercial and political ties with China. The report uses figures and data to illustrate trends and provides insights into China's role in shaping the global economic landscape.
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Running head: FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Financial Management
Name of the Student
Name of the University
Author Note
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Table of Contents
Introduction......................................................................................................................................2
China: A global economy................................................................................................................3
Impact of economy of China on global economy............................................................................4
Impact of Chinese economy on the economy of Australia............................................................11
Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................15
References......................................................................................................................................16
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Introduction
The global economy, over the years, has experienced considerable dynamics and
modifications, owing to changes in both exogenous as well as endogenous factors. In the recent
period, phenomena like Globalization, Liberalizations in different economies and technological
innovations have helped in making the global economic environment more inclusive and
integrated, contributing to greater mobility of goods and services as well as resources for
production. This has, in its turn, has facilitated trade and commerce across the different
countries, thereby making the economies across the world dependent on each other’s productive
and economic activities.
In this context, several economies have gained immense economic impetus and showed
impressive growth trends in all the aspects of economic and industrial sectors. These economies
with their robust growth trends and increasing domain of operations have the power to influence
other economies in the global scenario, as much of the economic and industrial activities of the
latter are subjected to the economic decisions and conditions prevailing in the former countries.
One of such countries, which has grown immensely in terms of economic and industrial aspects
and has emerged as one of the primary globally influencing economies in the contemporary
period is the economy of China (Gopinath, Helpman and Rogoff 2014).
Keeping this into consideration, the concerned assignment tries to discuss the current
dynamics existing in China and the effect of the dynamics in the economy of the country on the
overall global economic scenario. Taking the same into account the assignment also emphasizes
on the effects of the economic conditions prevailing in China on another dominant global
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economies, that is the economy of Australia, which has developed significant commercial,
economic and political relations with China over the years.
China: A global economy
The economy of China, being socialist market economy in nature, has emerged as the
second largest economy in the contemporary global scenario, in terms of the Nominal GDP. The
country has also emerged as the largest global economy in terms of the purchasing power
adjusted GDP. With an annual GDP of 23.1 trillion USD (2017; PPP adjusted), the country
remained as the fastest growing economies in the world until 2015, with the average GDP
growth rate being 10% for last three decades.
Much of this economic growth of the country can be attributed to the immense industrial
growth of the country and the extraordinary technological progress, which has helped
significantly in taking the country on the path of economic progress and long-term sustainability.
The industrial sector of the country contributes nearly 47% to the Gross Domestic Product of the
country in the recent period. The primary industries ruling the industrial sectors of the country
include construction, manufacturing, power and mining sectors. Almost 27% of the total
workforce of the country is absorbed in the industrial and the manufacturing sector of the
country. China being a socialistic economy, the government of the country enjoys more control
on the economy as compared to other market economies.
Over the years, the Chinese economy has emerged as one of the globally influencing
economies, with the consistently increasing international tie-ups of the country with other
economies across the world, both in terms of business, trade and in political and socio-economic
terms. This has been immensely facilitated by the global economic phenomenon like
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Globalization and the liberalization of the economy of the country, which opened the trade sector
of the country, thereby facilitating easy and convenient bi-lateral commercial and industrial
transactions between the country itself and its trading partners. This has benefited the economy
of the country significantly, as it went on exploring newer markets, opportunities and venturing
in new operational domains.
Impact of economy of China on global economy
As can be seen from the above discussion, the impressively growing industrial economy
of China, with its increasing international tie-ups, has played considerably significant role in
influencing the global economy increasingly over the years. One of the primary decisions of the
country which contributed immensely in shaping up the economy of the country as well as in the
global economic development scenario, in the contemporary periods, is that of joining the World
Trade Organization, in 2001 (Burda and Wyplosz 2013). Apart from that the liberalization and
reform policies taken by the government of the otherwise protectionist country, increased its
domain of operations as well as economic and industrial influence on the global economy. The
implementation of the reform policies in 1979 not only benefited the country in terms of
increased economic growth but also helped it to gain the chance of becoming one of the most
significant global economic influencers.
China, in the recent periods contribute nearly 24% of the total economic growth of the
world and enjoys robust and productive trading relations with countries like the United States of
America, Japan , India and Australia. In the current period, China has emerged as the second
largest trading partner of the USA, which in turn is the most influential economy in the global
framework. Apart from that, the country also lists as the largest importing nation of Japan and as
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the potentially largest exporting nation as per the European Union. The country, over the years,
has signed various free trade agreements, one of the most significant ones of these agreements
being the ASEAN-China FTA, which has helped the country considerably to increase their
exports to the ASEAN countries (Breslin 2016). All these factors, together, have contributed in
making the country one of the primary influencing economies in the recent global framework, as
many countries depend on the production and export bundles of China for their necessities and
on the importing habits of the country for their economic and productive prosperity.
Figure 1: Contribution of China in the global economic growth over the years
(Source: Economist.com, 2018)
As is evident from the above figure, the contribution of China, in the global economy, has
increased considerably over the last few years, with the share gradually exceeding the
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contribution of other economies, including the USA as well as the Euro zone with each passing
year. Even, in 2008, when the Financial Crisis affected all the major economies of the world,
thereby decreasing their contribution in the global economic growth, China still contributed
considerably to the global economy. This in turn indicates that with time the influence of China,
on the global economy as a whole is considerably increasing. Of the different sectors in the
world economy, where the influence of Chinese economy is high, the primary ones include the
energy and the oil sector, which can be seen from the following figure:
Figure 2: China’s share of world economy in terms of oil, energy and GDP
(Source: Deloitte.com, 2018)
The consistently rising share of the country in the global demand for oil can be explained
by the increasing gap between the total production of oil in the country and the consumption of
same in the country, which has been continuously increasing owing to the consistently increasing
number of vehicles as well as industrial growth of the country:
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Figure 3: Production and Consumption of oil in China (Over the years)
(Source: OilPrice.com, 2018)
The consumption of oil in the country has been increasing at a rate, which is much higher
than the increase in the production of the same. This in turn has been increasing the gap between
the same. The gap is met by the country by importing the rest from other countries, which
includes Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran, Oman and others. This in turn makes it one of the primary
oil importing economies in the global scenario, which influences many other oil producing
economies in turn (Shambaugh 2013).
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Figure 4: Countries from which China import oil
(Source: OilPrice.com, 2018)
The scenario is similar in the energy sector too, with the country importing a major share
from the other countries, thereby exerting its influence on the production and economic activities
of these countries. On the other hand, the country is also becoming one of the primary exporting
countries in the global scenario over the years, with the share of global exports increasing
continually over the years. The following figure shows the trends of the leading countries in the
global economy in terms of the share of global exports over the years (Wagner 2012):
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Figure 5: Export share of different countries in the world
(Source: Wto.org, 2018)
As can be seen from the figure above, though China started comparatively at a much
lower level, than the other globally influential economies like the USA, Japan and Germany, in
1980s, the country not only caught up with the pace of these countries in terms of the amount of
exports, it actually surpassed the rest by 2009. As can be seen from the empirical evidences from
2010 to 2017, the share of exports of China in the global framework is considerably higher than
the same for the other three countries, with the gap increasing with time, with the share of
exports of China increasing while the same for the others decreasing (McNally 2012).
From the above discussions, it can be asserted that the economy of China and the turmoil
in the same are expected to have considerable implications on the global economy as a whole,
due to the robust trade and commercial relations of the country with almost all the major
economies in the world. Another reason behind the same can be considered the impressive
growth and sustainability trends of the country with time. Due to its growing influence on the
world economy, the currency of the country is expected to become a part of the Special Drawing
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Right of the International Monetary Fund. This makes it the only emerging global market
currency, which would be held by big countries in their Central Bank reserves along with the
currencies like euro and dollar. China’s robust economic policies helped the major economies of
the USA and Europe by keeping their export sector floating during the Financial Crisis of 2008-
2009. The country did that by spending trillions for increasing the aggregate demand in the
economy, thereby catering to the production sectors of the affected countries (Liu, Uchida and
Yang 2012).
However, in the recent periods the economy of China has been slowing down visibly,
much o which can be attributed to the country’s new economic strategy of refraining itself from
stimulating consumption. This Capitalistic approach though may have mixed effects on the
economy of the country itself, is expected to affect the global economies in the following ways:
Falling prices of commodities including oil- With the slowing down of the Chinese economy,
the consumption in the country is expected to reduce substantially. China being the one of the
largest importers of oil, lead, iron ore, copper, investment commodities and many services, this
slowdown of the consumption and aggregate demand is expected to create an excess supply of
these commodities and services in the global markets. This can be thereby leading to a decrease
in the prices of the same, threatening the international economy with an oncoming deflation
(Forbes.com, 2018).
Trade reduction- China being one of the largest exporters in the global scenario, the slowing
down in the economy can also lead to considerable reduction in the production and export of
goods and services by the country to other corners of the world, thereby affecting the welfare of
the global economies considerably.
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Domino effect- China being one of the most influential economies in the global framework, the
recent slowdown of the economy is not only expected to affect its direct partner nations but is
also expected to hamper the economic growth of those nations which are not directly linked to
the same. This can thereby create a domino effect, with the ripples affecting the global economy
as a whole (Eichengreen, Park and Shin 2012).
Taking these effects of the economy of China on the global economic trends as a whole,
the following section tries to analyze the impacts of the dynamics of the Chinese economy on
that of the economy of one of its prolonged trading partners and politically, socially and
economically linked countries, Australia.
Impact of Chinese economy on the economy of Australia
The economy of Australia, over the years, has emerged as one of the leading economies
in the global framework, with robust economic and industrial growth trends. Much of the growth
of the country can be attributed to the highly active international trade and industrial relations of
the country, with almost all the leading economies in the world, which predominantly includes
China. China is not only one of the strongest trading partners of Australia but also accounts for
the highest share of exports of the country, thereby becoming the biggest export market of the
country:
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