Investment and Portfolio Management: Share Market and Risk Analysis

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This report provides a detailed analysis of investment and portfolio management, covering key concepts such as risk and return, systematic and unsystematic risk, and different types of securities. It includes calculations for portfolio beta, Sharpe ratio, and Treynor's ratio, along with a discussion on compensation schemes for financial managers. The report also examines venture capital financing, dividend growth models for share valuation, and price-earnings ratios. Furthermore, it delves into bond valuation, the segmented market theory, and the sensitivity of long-term loans to interest rate changes. The document concludes with references to relevant books and journals. Desklib provides this and other solved assignments to aid students in their studies.
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INVESTMENT
AND
PORTFOLIO
MANAGEMENT
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Contents
TASK:..............................................................................................................................................2
Question No 1..................................................................................................................................2
a).............................................................................................................................................2
b).............................................................................................................................................2
c).............................................................................................................................................2
Question No 2..................................................................................................................................2
a).............................................................................................................................................2
b).............................................................................................................................................2
c).............................................................................................................................................2
Question No 3..................................................................................................................................2
a).............................................................................................................................................2
b).............................................................................................................................................2
c).............................................................................................................................................2
Question No 4..................................................................................................................................2
a).............................................................................................................................................2
b).............................................................................................................................................2
c).............................................................................................................................................2
REFERENCES................................................................................................................................3
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TASK:
Question No 1
a)
Risk and return are the two different terminology that are being used in the share market that
indicates the market fluctuations. The returns denote the income that has been generated with the
investment made in the particular security and risk in the deviation that arise when the market
price of the share being collapsed suddenly. Risk return trade off simply means that potential
return arises with the increase in risk
b)
Python is the language that is being used as to support language for the software developers for
building the control and management, testing and in many other ways.
c)
Unsystematic risk is as risk specific to a company or the industry whereas systematic risk is the
risk which has been related to broader market. On the basis of the table below it has been
concluded that Share 1 has more systematic risk and share 2 has more unsystematic risk because
there is the constant increase in the share price of Share 1 and share 2 does not have constant
growth rate. The example of the systematic risk is change in the rate of inflation, risk in the
unemployment rates, the rate of poverty in the country has been increased, changes in the interest
rates. On the other hand the example of unsystematic risk could be higher rate of the employee
turnover, strike made by the employees, cost of operational activities increases and so on.
Question No 2
(a)
In general, there are two type of securities in which a person can make investments, these are
risk free securities and risk associated securities.
Risk free securities are those securities which have no risk involved, for example: - Government
bonds, other Government securities, treasury bills etc.
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Risk associated securities are those securities which have some risk involved for example: -
Market securities, loan bonds, company’s debentures etc.
Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility in relation to the overall market. Beta of the market
securities is 1 that means a stock that swing more than the market over time. Risk free securities
have zero beta since no risk is involved in those securities.
So, if we have a portfolio in which we have invest one third of the total money in a long term US
government bond that is a risk free security and two thirds of the total money in the S&P500
Index that is a market security the beta will be as calculated as under: -
= 0.25* 0+ 0.75*1
= 0.75
That means beta of our portfolio is 0.75.
Sharpe ratio: - It measures the performance of a security in comparison of the risk free security
after adjusting for the risks.
Sa = (Ra – Rf)/S.D. Of Asset
Sharpe's ratio of the Portfolios
Portfolio Return S.D. Risk free rate Sharpe's Ratio
A 0.13 0.06 0.03 1.75
B 0.21 0.12 0.03 1.54
C 0.1 0.04 0.03 1.88
D 0.15 0.05 0.03 2.5
Market 0.11 0.05 0.03 1.89
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Treynor's ratio: - it helps to measure the excess return earned from a risk free investment.
Ta = (Ra-Rf)/Beta of the asset
Treynor's ratio of the Portfolios
Portfolio Return Beta Risk free rate Treynor's Ratio
A 0.13 1.1 0.03 0.1
B 0.21 1.7 0.03 0.11
C 0.1 0.75 0.03 0.1
D 0.15 1.1 0.03 0.11
Market 0.11 1 0.03 0.08
(b)
Ranking on the basis of the Sharpe’s ratio: -
Portfolios having ratio above than 1 is considered good.
Portfolios Ranking
A 4
B 5
C 3
D 1
Market 2
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Ranking on the basis of the treynor's ratio: -
Portfolios having ratio above than 1 is considered good.
Portfolios Ranking
A 2
B 1
C 2
D 1
Market 3
As portfolios B and D having same ratio they both rank as 1 and Portfolios A and C having same
ratio they both rank as 2 similarly and Market Portfolio rank as 3 since it has lower ratio.
(c)
In financial service sector, some organisations prefer to give options to their managers for some
part of their compensation based on the performance of the various portfolios they managed.
Based on the performance of the various funds the managers managed they will get their
compensation. If the performance of the portfolios is positive and increasing they will get higher
compensation but if the performance of the portfolios is not satisfactory or loss making they will
not be eligible for any compensation.
As a compensation scheme it has its own benefits and problems. This arrangement can turn into
a positive one if the compensation scheme is equitable, achievable and the targets given are real
and approachable. It will increase the enthusiasm of the managers to perform more efficiently
and effectively but there is always an another side of the coin.
This arrangement can create the ethical dilemma of the managers to perform but the market is a
volatile and unpredictable term. It can lead managers to work in a rigid manner.
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Question No 3
a)
The private partnership firm is the voluntary association which can be started by the two person
only but not more than 50 members. In case of partnership firm, the transfer of share is limited to
its members only. Further in case of partnership firm the share that are being allotted to the
members are not freely transferable to anyone else. The legal process for registration of the firm
is very limited and easily registered with the government. On the other hand, the venture capital
financing is the form of private equity and the type of financing that has been provided by the
investors to start-up companies and small businesses that are believed to have the long term
growth potential. The examples of venture capital are the investment banks, insurance companies
or the pension funds etc.
b)
The price of the share will be calculated using the dividend growth model which can be
discussed in the following manner:
The present value of all the future dividends is being calculated using the discount factor that and
then such present value is being capitalised using 17 % cost of capital to arrive at the current
market price of the share.
Years Dividend Discount Factor @ 17
%
Present value of
dividend
4 10.46 .485 5.07
5 12.87 .415 5.34
6 15.83 .354 5.60
7 17.97 .303 5.44
I)The present value of all the future dividends will be = 21.45
The present value of dividend during continuity will be = 17.97 / 17% * .303 = .925
Therefore, the total value of the company’s share will be = 22.375
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ii) The value that has been calculated using dividend growth model has been 22.375. However,
its market price is $38.45. Therefore, it has been concluded that the share price is overvalued in
the market therefore it is not worth full for the Lara William to make the investment in the same.
c)
The formula for calculating price earnings ratio:
PE Ratio = (MPS / EPS)
It has been given that company pays the dividend 50 % of its earnings. The recently they have
paid the dividend of $3.35. Therefore, their earning per share would be $6.70. The expectation of
the investor for the company has been 9% as the return from ABC shares.
The earning per share will be = 6.70 and market price per share will be calculated on the basis of
capitalising the dividend that is 3.25 / 9%, therefore MPS arrived to be 36.11
Therefore, PE ratio of the ABC company will be = 36.11 / 6.70 = 5.39 Times
ii) If the return of investment is 7% then MPS will be = 3.25 / 7% = 46.43
Therefore PE ratio will be = 46.43 / 6.70 = 6.93 Times
Question No 4
a)
This theory states that the long term and short-term interest rates are not related to each other. It
also states that the rate of bond for the different time period securities should be considered
separately like items in different market for debt securities. Another name of this theory has been
segmented market theory. This theory is based on the belief that every segment of the bond
securities mainly consists of the investor whose preference is to invest in those securities on
those securities who are having specific duration like short duration, intermediate duration and
long-term duration. This theory further states that the market for the buyer and the seller have the
different characteristics and the motivation. This theory is based on the habits of the investor and
their types such as individual investor are being different from the institutional investor such as
banks, insurance companies and so on. Bank will invest in those securities only whose duration
are being less, on the other hand the insurance companies will invest in those securities whose
duration are more than 1 year.
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b)
Bond valuation is the process for determining the value of the bond so that fair price could be
arrived. This would calculation relating to cash flow in the form of interest that are being
received by the investor when they invest in the bond of the particular company. In order to
calculate the value of the bonds, dividend discount model is to be used accordingly. It is a
financial model that values of bond at the discounted value of the future interest payments.
Under this model, the price of a share that will be traded is calculated by the PV of all expected
future dividend payment discounted by an appropriate risk- adjusted rate. The dividend discount
model price is the intrinsic value of the bond i.e.
Intrinsic value = Sum of PV of future cash flows
The Price of the bond is being calculated below:
40/ (1+.04)1 + 40 / (1.04)2 + 40/ (1.04)3 +1000/ (1.04)9
= 999.99
The bond is being considered to be at PAR value.
c)
The long-term loan is very sensitive to the interest rates changes that has been taken place in the
market. The reason for the same is that the income that has been generated by the bonds is of
fixed nature. The intention of the investor is to purchase the corporate bond as they are willing to
acquire the portion of the debt capital of the company. When the company issues debt, it contains
specific rate of interest attached to it and it is issued for the specific term so that the fund that are
being raised so far will be utilised by the corporate for investment purpose.
There are higher chances that there may be the change in interest rates and if the interest rates
increases then it will create negative effect on the price of bond. In that situation the investor
prefers to invest in long term bonds having the maturity value for more than 5 years. The
duration long term bonds are always higher as compare to short duration of bonds.
The changes in the interest rate has the deep impact on the price of the bonds. The rate of interest
changes when there is an absolute level of interest rate fluctuates. The risk that has been attached
interest rate directly affects the value that has been hold by fixed income securities.
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REFERENCES
Books and Journals
Abinzano, I., Campion, M.J., and Raventós-Pujol, A., 2021. Sports Betting and The Black-
Litterman Model: A New Portfolio-Management Perspective. International Journal of
Sport Finance, 16(4).
Al Janabi, M.A., 2020. Multivariate portfolio optimization under illiquid market prospects: a
review of theoretical algorithms and practical techniques for liquidity risk
management. Journal of Modelling in Management.
Elkamhi, R., Lee, J.S. and Sadik, S., 2021. Bridging the Gap between Strategic Allocation and
Investment Risk. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 47(6), pp.89-100.
Ilyas, U., Butt, M.U. and Gulzar, M., 2022. An application of panel ARDL model with
cointegration for portfolio management. International Journal of Economics and
Business Research, 23(3), pp.275-298.
Irukulapati, J., Hsu, D.F. and Schweikert, C., 2018, July. Long-term portfolio management using
attribute selection and combinatorial fusion. In 2018 IEEE 17th International
Conference on Cognitive Informatics & Cognitive Computing (ICCI* CC) (pp. 593-
599). IEEE.
Konstantinov, G.S., 2022. Practical Applications of What Portfolio in Europe Makes
Sense? Practical Applications.
Lee, W. and Liu, P., 2021. Work Harder: Diligent Rebalancing and Investment Horizon. The
Journal of Portfolio Management, 47(3), pp.17-34.
Shanat, F., Al-Munayes, S., and Ameen, A., 2018, December. Corporate Portfolio Management
in NOCs: The Implementation Dilemma in Real-Life Business. In SPE International
Heavy Oil Conference and Exhibition. OnePetro.
Wang, J.N., Liu, H.C., and Hsu, Y.T., 2019. Economic benefits of technical analysis in portfolio
management: Evidence from global stock markets. International Journal of Finance &
Economics, 24(2), pp.890-902.
Weinmayer, K. and Rammerstorfer, M., 2022. Efficiency of Socially Responsible Investments in
the Context of Portfolio Management. Available at SSRN 4039593.
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