Macroeconomic Analysis of Australia: Performance and Monetary Policy

This essay provides a comprehensive macroeconomic analysis of the Australian economy, examining key indicators such as GDP, inflation, unemployment, consumption expenditures, trade balance, and gross capital formation over the past two decades. It highlights the overall increasing trend in economic productivity, fluctuations in GDP growth, and moderate inflation rates. The essay also addresses structural problems like increasing housing affordability issues and low wage growth. Furthermore, it critically evaluates the role of monetary policy in stabilizing the Australian economy, considering the impact of investment, trade, and industrial sector shifts. Desklib offers a range of resources for students seeking further information on this topic.

Running head: ECONOMY OF AUSTRALIA
Economy of Australia
Name of the Student
Name of the University
Author Note

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Introduction
The global economy has experienced considerable dynamics over the last few
decades, owing to the different international as well as country specific phenomena across the
world, occurring over time. While the international phenomena include those of
Globalization, industrial revolution, trade liberalisation and technological as well as
infrastructural innovations, the internal ones include the economic changes undergone by the
countries individually over the years (Petit, 2013).
Much of the internal economic changes occurring in the countries and their economic
growth and performance of different indicators, over time, can be attributed to the policy
framework present in the country and the economic strategies and usage of tools by the
government of the countries to regulate the economy, in order to achieve their specific
countrywide objectives (Agénor & Montiel, 2015). The economic policy frameworks play
utterly crucial roles in influencing the performance of different economic variables, thereby
influencing the overall productivity in the economy as well as other indicators of economic
welfare like inflation, unemployment, consumption, investment, government expenditures
and others.
Keeping the above discussion into consideration, the concerned essay tries to discuss
the current macroeconomic situations present in one of the most developed and stable
economies across the globe, that is the Australian economy. Highlighting the performance of
the concerned economy, with the help of the dynamics experienced by the same in the
primary economic indicators, the essay also tries to discuss the and critically evaluate the
roles played by the monetary policy structure of the country, as a stabilisation tool for the
economy.

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Australia: Economic Overview
The economy of Australia can be considered as one of the most stable and prospering
economies in the global framework over the decades, highly known for its unique and one of
the largest mixed economic structures, highly developed and prospering industrial and service
sectors, huge economic prosperity and a unique inherent economic stability, much of which
comes from its efficient and stable policy framework (Dyster & Meredith, 2012). Being the
second wealthiest nation in the global framework and fourteenth largest nation globally, in
terms of Nominal GDP, the economy of the country has a dominating service sector and also
enjoys huge international trade relations with almost all the major economies in the global
scenario.
Economic performance of Australia over the decades
The primary indicator of economic performance of a country is the dynamics in the
Gross Domestic Product of the same over the years. This indicator, by measuring the sum
total value of the final commodities and services produced within the geographical domain of
the country within one economic year, shows the overall economic productivity of the
country over the years.
GDP of Australia
Keeping the above discussion into account the GDP of Australia, over the years, can be seen
as follows:

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Figure 1: GDP of Australia (2000-2018)
(Source: Tradingeconomics.com, 2018)
As can be seen from the above figure, over the last two decades, the economic
productivity of Australia has maintained an overall increasing trend, barring the years from
2013, in which the trend of the same can be seen to be somewhat declining, signalling
towards a comparative stagnation of the economy in the last few years (Dyster & Meredith,
2012).
Figure 2: GDP growth rate of Australia (2000-2018)
(Source: Tradingeconomics.com, 2018)

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The GDP growth dynamics of the country can also be seen to be experiencing
considerable fluctuations, both positive as well as negative, over the years, which with their
alternative trends points towards the presence of business cycle in the economy. The growth
rate of GDP of the country can however be seen to be showing tampered trends in the last
few years, thereby pointing towards the stagnancy which the economy has been experiencing
in terms of productivity over the last few years (especially post 2010) (Gibson-Graham,
Cameron & Healy, 2013).
However, apart from GDP, the economy of a country and its performance, the overall
economic scenario of a country also depends on other factors and can be shown with the help
of other macroeconomic indicators, which in case of Australia can be seen as follows:
Inflation Rate in Australia
One of the primary macroeconomic indicators of welfare and performance of any
economy id the rate of inflation prevailing in the economy, which shows dynamics in the
average price levels of commodities prevailing in the country over the years. Keeping this
into account, the rate of inflation and its dynamics in the economy of Australia, over the last
few decades can be seen as follows:
Figure 3: Rate of inflation in Australia (2000-2018)
(Source: Tradingeconomics.com, 2018)

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From the fluctuations in the rate of inflation in Australia, it can be asserted that the
price levels in the country have been subjected to considerable dynamics over the last few
decades (Kumar, Webber & Perry, 2012). However, the fluctuations in the concerned
indicator shows a broadly falling trend in the recent years, with the magnitude of fluctuations
also dying down in the recent years. Currently, the rate, for the last few years, can be seen to
be ranging between 1.8% to 2.1%. This in turn, however, indicates towards positive
economic health conditions in the country.
Unemployment rate
To understand the overall economic welfare of a country over the years, it is also
crucial to observe the dynamics in the labour market of an economy and the employment
scenario prevailing in the same. This is primarily because the level of employment reflects
towards the economic abundance with the population of a country, which in turn determines
their aggregate demand pattern, which in turn, by influencing the overall aggregate supply,
have impacts on the overall economic productivity of the country decades (Kumar, Webber &
Perry, 2012). Keeping this into consideration, the unemployment rate of Australia, over the
last few decades, can be seen as follows:
Figure 4: Rate of unemployment in Australia (2000-2018)
(Source: Tradingeconomics.com, 2018)

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As is evident from the above figure, the rate of unemployment in Australia, which can
be seen to be at a considerably high rate (7.3%) in 2000-2001, can be seen to be steadily
decreasing till 2007 (4%). However, post 2007, the rate can be seen to be strikingly
increasing till 2010, much of which can be attributed to the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-
2008. The rate can be seen to be hovering around 5.5% in the recent years, with not much
fluctuations in the current periods, with the present rate of unemployment being existing at a
moderate level.
Consumption Expenditures in Australia
The economic wellbeing of the population of a country can to a considerable extent,
be seen from the dynamics in the aggregate demand situations present in the country, which
in turn, is influenced by the purchasing power and consumption expenditures of the
population of the country. Keeping this into consideration, the consumption expenditures of
the residents of Australia over the last two decades can be seen from the following figure:
Figure 5: Consumption Expenditures of Australia (2000-2018)
(Source: Tradingeconomics.com, 2018)
The consumption spending of the population of Australia, over the last two decades
can be seen to be stably increasing over the last two decades, which can however be because

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of higher inflation or higher purchasing power of the residents of the country. However, as
can be seen from the above discussion, the rate of inflation in the country has been hovering
around a moderate level in the last few years, which in turn, indicates towards the fact that a
considerable part of the consistent increase in the consumption expenditure of the country can
be attributed to the increase in the purchasing power in the economy (Weale et al., 2015).
Apart from the above indicators, another factor contributing to the economic
dynamics of a country over the years, is the activities and performance of the trade sector of a
country. This is primarily because with the increase in the volumes of exports of a country,
the income inflow increases, thereby raising the economic abundance and purchasing power
of the population of the same and vice versa. However, if the imports of a country are high,
then the trade balance decreases.
Figure 6: Export volume of Australia (2000-2018)
(Source: Tradingeconomics.com, 2018)
As is evident from the above figure, over the decades, barring all the discrete and
short-term fluctuations, the volume of exports of Australia has increased considerably, the
increase being more prominent and consistent post 2010. Australia ranks 23rd in the global
scenario, in terms of the total volume of exports and the export bundles of the country,

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primarily consist of minerals, ores, natural gas and others. However, the country is also a
major importer in the global framework, ranking among the top five global importers. The
country imports automobiles, technological commodities and others, with the import volumes
exceeding that of exports many a times, which can be often seen to generate negative trade
balance in the country, as can be seen from the following figure:
Figure 7: Trade Balance of Australia (2000-2018)
(Source: Tradingeconomics.com, 2018)
In spite of increasing and considerably high volumes of export, the trade balance of
Australia can be seen to be negative in most of the years, barring a few years like 2001, 2011
and the last few years, where the same can be seen to be somewhat positive. This negative
balance of trade can be higher volumes of import in the country than the volumes of exports.
However, the consistently flourishing industrial sector, which contributes significantly
to overall development of the economy, can be seen to be experiencing a paradigm shift,
from manufacturing sector industries to the service sector ones, much of which can be
attributed to the increasing formation of capital in the country over the last few years, with
the increase in the level of investment in the country over the last few decades, which can be
seen from the following figure:

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Figure 8: Gross Capital Formation in Australia (2000-2018)
(Source: Tradingeconomics.com, 2018)
The investment and capital formation in the country can also be seen to be increasing
consistently over the last few decades, which indicates the increase in the commercial
activities as well as active monetary policies in the country. This is an indicator of an increase
in the investments in the economy, which has mixed implications on the economy of
Australia.
Structural problems in Australia
However, in spite of the presence of evidences of positive growth trends or
stabilisation trends in many of the economic performance parameters, there are several
serious structural problems which the economy of Australia has been experiencing in last few
years. Some of the significant ones:
Increasing problem of affordability in the housing sector
One of the primary issues of concern, in the Australian economy, over the last few
years, is the problem of affordability in the housing sectors. The housing sector being one of
the most lucrative investment and asset building sector (residential investment) in the

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country, especially due to the increasing population and immigration in the country, has been
facing huge demand over the years. The increase in the supply of the same being less than the
level of demand for the same, the prices of the housings in the country can be seen to be
increasing consistently over the last few years. This can be seen from the increasing house
price index of the country over the years, as can be seen from the following figure:
Figure 9: Australian house price index compared to global house price index
(Source: Businessinsider.com.au, 2018)
The house price index shows the dynamics in the price levels of the houses and
residential properties in a country with time. In this context, as can be seen from the above
figure, over the years, the house prices of Australia have been increasing, with the increase
being considerably higher than the global level of the same. This in turn, has led to the
creation of affordability issues in the country.
Low wage growth
Another crucial problem which the country has been experiencing in the last few
years, is the low growth of the real wages in the country. This can be attributed to the fact

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that with the shift of the industrial sector of the country from basic manufacturing sectors to
service sectors, the demand for basic skilled labour (who are present in majority) has been
decreasing, which in turn is creating excess supply of such labours in the already shrinking
manufacturing sector of the country.
Figure 10: Excess supply in the labour market
(Source: As created by the author)
This in turn has led to the stagnation of the growth rate of wages in the country, which can be
seen from the following figure: