Non-Performing Loans and Profitability of Agrani Bank Limited

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This report, prepared for the Department of Banking and Insurance at the University of Dhaka, investigates the issue of non-performing loans (NPLs) and their impact on the profitability of Agrani Bank Limited in Bangladesh. The study begins with an introduction to the problem, highlighting the adverse effects of NPLs on the banking sector and the broader economy. It outlines the objectives, methodology, and data collection methods used in the research, including both quantitative and qualitative approaches. The report then delves into a literature review, discussing the causes and consequences of NPLs, as well as existing research on the topic. The study also includes an overview of Agrani Bank Limited and an analysis of its financial performance. The report aims to identify the factors contributing to NPLs, assess their impact on the bank's profitability, and provide recommendations to mitigate the burden of NPLs. The research incorporates time-series data and secondary sources to analyze the trends and effects of NPLs. It also explores the role of government policies, such as interest rate policies, in influencing loan defaults. The findings of this report are crucial for policymakers and stakeholders in the banking sector seeking to improve the financial health of Agrani Bank and the overall economy.
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A Report on
Non-Performing Loan and Its Impacts on Profitability
of Agrani Bank Limited
Submitted To,
Abu Taleb
Professor
Department of Banking and Insurance
Faculty of Business Studies
University of Dhaka
Submitted By,
Gazi Rahat
ID: 22-124
Department of Banking and Insurance
Faculty of Business Studies
University of Dhaka
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Chapter-One: Introduction
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1. 00 Introduction
For economic development, a country needs balanced and feasible flow of saving investment
process. Bangladesh now is in developing phase because of rapid growth in RMG sector but this
growth is also hampered by the underdeveloped capital market, raise of Non-performing loans
both on private commercial and state owned commercial banks. The intermediary activity of a
bank is providing loans to the potential investors by checking their credit worthiness.
It is known that profitability of a bank is reduces by the NPL , because banks cannot generate the
appropriate interest income from the classified loans. When a bank has high number of loan
defaults than the bank has to set aside a portion of income as a loss reserve.
At present, the Agrani Bank limited having unfavorable position of NPLs compare to other
private commercial banks in Bangladesh. “Bad Loan” management is the most unsatisfactory
performance in the bank, which consistently accounts for more that 80% of total NPLs. This
scenario is clearly saying that the inefficiency of the credit management to tackle the “flow
problem of bad loans”. Therefore, the first challenge facing Agrani Bank Limited is how to
address the flow problem of bad loans.
In Bangladesh there are nine state run banks and there are accounted for 51.27% of total NPL of
TK.1,16288.31 crore in banking sector. According to the ministry of finance Agrani bank has the
percentage of NPL in first quarter of 2019 is 16.67% and in second quarter it went down to
14.5%.
1.01 Background
Non-performing loans (NPL) or classified loans have a demolishing impact not only on overall
banking sector in Bangladesh but also on the whole economy of the country. Reasons behind the
classified loans are willful defaulters who are unwilling to repay the loans and next reason is
loans go to down grade because of poor business performance due to changes in the political
economy and environmental changes. For this NPL, provisions should be set aside on classified
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loans. This report has carry the actual reasons of NPL and the impacts of NPL on the
profitability, deposits and in banking operation. Bank’s NPL rose by 20.23 percent or tk. 15,037
crores in the space of just six months to june 2019, that is higher than cost or expenses for
development budget of last fiscal year. Increasing trend of NPL has the significant effects
because of bad loans on the profitability, total deposits and also on operation of the banking
system. Internationally tolerable level for NPLS is 2%-3% of total loans where in Bangladesh,
NPLs is 20.23 of total loans according to Bangladesh Bank. In the meantime, state-owned banks
are incurring NPLs in the highest rate than the others like PCBs, FCBs, DFIs or Specialized
Banks in Bangladesh.
This study will identify the actual picture of non-performing loans (NPLs) of banking sector in
Bangladesh. This report will also state the reasons and facts of non-performing loans (NPLs).
This study will figure out the way to rescue our banking sector from this bad practice through
proper analysis and documentation. For conducting this research collection of secondary data
relating to financial position and policies from Agrani Bank Limited.
1.02 Objectives of the study
To know the current scenario of non- performing loan of Agrani bank of Bangladesh.
To familiar with loan granting supervision and monitoring process of Agrani bank of
Bangladesh.
To identify the ever increasing trend of non-performing loan of the bank.
To examine the impacts of non-performing loan of the bank.
To put forward some suggestion and recommendation to lessen the non-performing loan
burden of the bank.
1.03 Methodology
In this research the used methods are quantitative and qualitative. Here I will try to Measure the
condition of NPL and how the profitability is affected by the defaulter especially on Agrani Bank
Bangladesh Ltd. In this research time series data of Agrani bank limited will be used to show the
NPL condition of the bank. It is a research on trend analysis on the degree and direction of the
NPLs and its profitability.
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1.3.01 Research design
A research design is considered as the framework or plan for a study that guides as well as helps
the data collection and analysis of data. The research design may be exploratory descriptive and
experimental for the present study. The descriptive and experimental research design is adopted
for this project. For this study purpose, I have conducted the time series data of Agrani Bank
Bangladesh Ltd. to evaluate the impact of non-performing loans on profitability of the bank.
1.3.02 Data Collection
The data collection has been done from different journals and other reliable secondary sources to
find out the effect of NPLs on profitability and data from Agrani Bank Ltd.
1.3.03 Data Analysis
The data is collected from different authentic sources and analyzed to get the hints and facts
about the presumption that is whether there has impact of non-performing loan on profitability.
There has been taken Secondary data to analyzed the regression and correlation among the
dependent and independent variables. Dependent and independent variables have been taken to
assess the association among them.
1.04 Problem Statement
The mandatory aim of commercial bank is to generate profit by collecting the deposits from the
customers of surplus units of money and lend loans to the people of deficit units of the financial
sectors of a country. The purpose of our Banking sector is also the same. Non-performing loans
are hampering the regular business activities of state owned commercial banks. Our state owned
commercial banks follows rules and regulations from the Bank Company Act 1991 and time-to-
time guidelines of Bangladesh bank. The most dangerous thing for our banking industry is the
NPLs and it is increasing. The Bangladesh Bank is on the way to solve this problem. They are
increasing the provisions for classified loans to reduce aggressive lending. However, the amount
of NPLs is not controlled by the commercial banks. My research proposal is to identify the
causes of non-performing loans, its actual amount, and find out the ways to get round the NPLs.
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Chapter-Two: Literature Review
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2.00 Literature Review
Nonperforming loans (“NPLs”) means when banks financial asset no longer receive the
installment payment and or interest as scheduled. It known as non-performing because it reduce
loan performance or bank income generate from its loan products. Choudhury and Adhikary
(2002) stated that NPL is a “multiclass” concept but rather not a “uniclass”, which means that
NPLs can be classified into different varieties usually based on the “length of overdue” of the
said loans. In the eve of financial crisis NPLs are worked as a typical byproduct. It is an
occasional accident of the lending process not a basic product of the lending function, one that
has enormous potential to deepen the severity and duration of financial crisis and to complicate
macroeconomic management (Podderand Al Mamun, 2004).
That is because it (NPLs) bring down depositors confidence in the banking sectors, piling up
unproductive economic resources and impeding the resource allocation process. On the other
hand, Lack of diverted uses of funds, proper customer verification, real estate business slow
pace, political instability, weak supervision power of central bank etc. are the root causes of NPL
in Bangladesh. Sustainable banking activities are given priority by the authors which means
future resources will not be compromised to augment the today’soutputs.
The argument is that if NPL remains in the growing trend by taking the path of aggressive banki
ng like buying bad loans, giving the loans to traditional defaulters, massive influence of the inter
nal customers of banks and board of directors in sanctioning poor loans to political people, sustai
nability will be compromised Repetitive restructuring of loans is appeared as good loans in the
financial statement of banks which are actually not good loans.
Such types of activities help to demonstrate superior performance in bank operations, resulting in
increased bank profitability, which encourages investors to have a good relationship with banks a
nd customers, particularly depositors, face problems with withdrawing their deposited fundsbank
s should therefore take appropriate measures to create transparency in the sanctioning of credit, a
nd bangladesh bank should take some steps to ensure that commercial banks and nationalize ban
ks are subject to serious inspection of every loan application before penalizing loans to potential
customers. (alam, shafiqul, mahbubul haq, md., & kader, abul, 2015,
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Mohanty (2006)states that financial risk increases in the banking sectors that causes the liquidity
crisis if the risk is not quickly eliminated. These crises not only lower the living of standard but
also can erase much of the successes of economic reform overnight.
Desai and Farmer (2001)argued that the expansion of credit policy during the early liberation
period, aimed at comparatively easier lending, merely increased credit nominally within the econ
omy. Neverthelessit also created a large number of willing history defaulters who subsequently u
ndermined banks ' financial health through the "sick industry syndrome."Nevertheless, in the 199
0s a broadbased financial initiativewas implemented in the name of FSRP, enlisting World Bank
support to restore the country's financial discipline. The banking industry has since implemented
"prudential rules" for the classification and provisioning of loans (Bangladesh Bank, 2014).
Certain rules, legislation, and instruments such as loan ledger book, loan risk analysis manual, pe
rformance planning program, interest rate reform, and the 1990 Money Loan Court Act were also
enacted to encourage safe, efficient and stable banking procedure. Surprisingly, Bangladesh's ba
nking system has yet to free itself from the grip of the NPL fiasco, even after so many steps. The
question thus arises, what are the reasons behind such a large proportion of nonperforming loans
in the economy of Bangladesh?
Is it because of the banks ' ' flexibility in identifying NPLs ' or lack of successful ' recovery strate
gies? Alt-ernatively, is this due to weak legal status of non-performing loans legislation? He
present study focused primarily on the above issue with a view to assisting policymakers in
formulating concrete steps concerning sound management of NPLs in Bangladesh. (Boi.gov.bd,
2015)
Government interest rate policy leads significantly to ineffective loans in a paper published by
Hossian and Hoque. They also reported that loans default in emerging and developed economies
is growing despite the banking remedial steps. Remedial practices for securing repayment of
installments or complete loans given to major corporations or industrial sectors are facing
problems with their loan recovery. Measures to recover loans from customers are like offering
fresh loans to help customers struggle to reinvigorate their company to run profitability,
rescheduling loans, legal proceeding, interest rate as a penalty etc. are failing back to recover
default loan from customers.
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Authors also distinguished between the defaulters that are regular defaulters, and those who are n
ot. Typically default happens when lenders are prepared to repay their loans but are unable to. Ha
bitual defaults occur when lenders can repay but don't want to repay their loans. They decided to
view us that interest rate policy has a major effect on the borrowers ' default loan rate. Not only i
s the reluctance of lenders not a prime component of defaults but even the policy of government i
nterest rates will lead to the non-repayment of payments.
That means high interest rates lead to high default rates for the borrowers. From 1995 to 2008, th
e interest rate for industrial loans has nearly doubled (10 to 17 per cent). Since the companies bea
r high interest rates on industrial loans, they often are incapable of repaying their borrowed mone
y when the role of industry in the economy is not good or safe. From the hypothesis testing, auth
ors found that a strong negative association exists between loan default and high market interest r
ate introduced by Bangladesh government. (Ziaul Hoque, Mohammad, Zakir Hossain,
Mohammad, 2008,
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Chapter-Three: Overview of Agrani Bank
Limited & Conceptual Framework of NPL
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3.01 Overview of Agrani Bank Limited
Agrani Bank Limited, a state owned leading commercial bank with 956 outlets strategically
located in almost all the commercial areas throughout Bangladesh, overseas Exchange Houses
and hundreds of overseas Correspondents, came into being as a Public Limited Company on
May 17, 2007 with a view to take over the business, assets, liabilities, rights and obligations of
the Agrani Bank which emerged as a nationalized commercial bank in 1972 immediately after
the emergence of Bangladesh as an independent state. Agrani Bank Limited started functioning
as a going concern basis through a Vendors Agreement signed between the ministry of finance,
Government of the People's Republic of Bangladesh on behalf of the former Agrani Bank and
the Board of Directors of Agrani Bank Limited on November 15, 2007 with retrospective effect
from 01 July, 2007..
Table 01: Balance Sheet Matrix BDT in Crores
Particulars 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Authorized Capital 2500 2500 2500 2500 2500
Paid Up Capital 2072 2072 2072 2072 2072
Reserve Fund 2009 1938 1744 1747 1693
Total Shareholder’s
Equity
4159 4073 3658 4468 3957
Deposits 62193 53035 49405 43998 38392
Advances 39575 31912 26587 24480 23509
Investments 15923 17088 22754 20570 15228
Fixed Assets 1478 1556 1578 1595 1545
Total Assets 78915 67392 62357 56535 49487
Table 02: Credit Quality
Classified Loans 6993 5570 6804 4640 3966
Provision for Unclassified
Loans
322 394 502 459 325
Provision for classified Loans 2965 2750 3057 2245 1930
Provision for Contingent
Liabilities
123 123 84 90 84
Percentage of NPLs to Total
Loans & Advances
17.67% 17.45% 25.59% 18.96% 16.96%
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3.02 Conceptual Framework
3.2.01 Non-Performing Loans (NPLs)
Nonperforming loans (NPLs) were widely used by lending institutions as a measure of asset
quality,and are frequently associated with both developed and developing world failures and
financial crises.Banks need a ranking and classification system for loans to facilitate credit
monitoring and control in theirlending portfolios.The loan portfolio of a bank can be divided
into five major groups, namely, in order to pass, special note, substandard, doubtful and loss.
Macroeconomic and structural factors influence NPLs which are demonstrated by empirical
studies. One of the common macro-economic factors are GDP growth, inflation and interest
rates, while size and lending policy are known as micro-economic variables (Greenidge and
Grosvenor, 2010).
“Nonperforming loans (“NPLs”) refer to those financial assets from which banks
no longer receive interest and/or installment payments as scheduled. They are
known as non-performing because the loan ceases to “perform” or generate
income for the bank
--David Woo
3.2.02 Categories of Loans and Advances
According to the master Circular: Loan classification and provisioning (BRPD Circular No. 14)
loans and advances of commercial banks in Bangladesh are grouped into four (4) categories for
the purpose of classification these are (Bangladesh Bank, 2012), -
a) Continuous Loan: A continuous or revolving loan is a loan, where you can withdraw the loan
amount or agreed amount in one go, or in parts. Examples are- Cash Credit, Overdraft, etc.
b) Demand Loan: The loans when the lender demands the money, the borrower must pay. Such
as: Forced LIM, PAD, etc.
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