Effective Management: Scenario Planning in Organizations Today
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This essay explores the concept of scenario planning and its significance in managing people and organizations. It highlights scenario planning as a strategic tool that aids managers in analyzing future operations, maintaining goodwill in competitive environments, and forecasting strategies. The essay emphasizes the importance of considering internal and external resources, reducing threats, and maintaining organizational structure through systematic thinking. It also discusses the significance of scenario planning in managing complex situations, influencing decision-making, and maintaining environmental safety. The essay further addresses issues faced by managers, such as the need for flexible long-term plans, effective resource utilization, and adapting to dynamic environments. It provides examples related to water scarcity, carbon emissions, and pollution in the manufacturing sector, emphasizing the role of strategic planning in mitigating these challenges and securing the environment for sustainable growth. Desklib offers a platform for students to access this essay and other resources for academic support.

Running head: Managing people and organization
Managing people and organization
Managing people and organization
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Managing people and organization
Scenario Planning
Introduction
Scenario planning is also known as a concept which is considered by the managers so
that emphasis can be given on the future operations of the company. According to Lumbreras
and Ramos (2016), scenario planning is also known as strategic planning that can help the
company to create flexible long term plans. It has been seen that with the help of this concept it
can be easy to analyze the future operations that will be taking place. To analyze the exact
solution it has been seen that scenario planning should be taken into consideration which can
helps to reduce the workload of the top management.
Scenario planning
According to Mäntysalo & Grišakov (2016), scenario planning is considered as a concept
that is concerned with the process of strategic planning. By focusing on the concept of scenario
planning it has been seen that company can easily maintain their goodwill in the competitive
scenario. It has been seen that by taking into consideration the overall process it can be simple to
forecast the strategies in context to future. Scenario planning plays an important in managing and
controlling the process of company. It is necessary for the top management to consider scenario
planning as it can give positive affect on the society and the company.
It has been stated by Shergold, Lyons and Hubers (2015), scenario planning helps to
evaluate the future activities and can also manage the problems or issues which can take place.
Through this the managers can easily emphasize on attaining the benefits from scenario planning
which will direct affect the society to maintain their safety. The scenario planning is also related
with the concept of strategic thinking. It has been analyzed that people who are engaged in
playing chess can also guess the results of the future.
According to Malekpour, Brown and de Haan (2015), the managers can take into
consideration various methods which can safeguard the overall operations of the company. By
focusing on scenario planning it can be seen that environment can be secured for long term and
also the company can easily sustain in the competitive market.
1
Scenario Planning
Introduction
Scenario planning is also known as a concept which is considered by the managers so
that emphasis can be given on the future operations of the company. According to Lumbreras
and Ramos (2016), scenario planning is also known as strategic planning that can help the
company to create flexible long term plans. It has been seen that with the help of this concept it
can be easy to analyze the future operations that will be taking place. To analyze the exact
solution it has been seen that scenario planning should be taken into consideration which can
helps to reduce the workload of the top management.
Scenario planning
According to Mäntysalo & Grišakov (2016), scenario planning is considered as a concept
that is concerned with the process of strategic planning. By focusing on the concept of scenario
planning it has been seen that company can easily maintain their goodwill in the competitive
scenario. It has been seen that by taking into consideration the overall process it can be simple to
forecast the strategies in context to future. Scenario planning plays an important in managing and
controlling the process of company. It is necessary for the top management to consider scenario
planning as it can give positive affect on the society and the company.
It has been stated by Shergold, Lyons and Hubers (2015), scenario planning helps to
evaluate the future activities and can also manage the problems or issues which can take place.
Through this the managers can easily emphasize on attaining the benefits from scenario planning
which will direct affect the society to maintain their safety. The scenario planning is also related
with the concept of strategic thinking. It has been analyzed that people who are engaged in
playing chess can also guess the results of the future.
According to Malekpour, Brown and de Haan (2015), the managers can take into
consideration various methods which can safeguard the overall operations of the company. By
focusing on scenario planning it can be seen that environment can be secured for long term and
also the company can easily sustain in the competitive market.
1

Managing people and organization
According to many researchers, the scenario planning helps the managers to reduce the
threats and also focus on considering the accurate information. It has been seen that emphasis is
also given on maintaining the structure of the company. It is important for the managers to
emphasize on systematic thinking by taking into consideration various aspects that can affect the
entire process of decision making. The personal biasness is also narrowed when focus is given on
proper utilization of the resources. It also helps to maintain the working pattern of the
organization.
According to Rohrbeck, Battistella and Huizingh (2015), to take into consideration the
resources of the company it is important for the top management to emphasize on the internal
resources. It is necessary to have proper link with the internal resources so that in a proper
manner the resources can be considered. Scenario planning also helps the company to maintain
proper resources. It also increases the knowledge of the managers by taking into consideration
external environment and also the position in the competitive market.
According to Vacik et al., 2014, with the help of scenario planning it has seen that future
can be evaluated easily and also it can be easy to understand the present era. It also helps in
maintaining stability in the company and also it has been seen that weak signals can be analyzed
which can also focus on considering the uncertainties related to future. Scenario planning assists
to minimize the issues of the company so that success can be achieved in the market. The
managers emphasize on the maintaining the situations so that it can be easy for the business in
maintaining the prosperity. Scenario planning takes into consideration effective evaluation of
the entire objective so that understanding of the variables can take place in a proper manner.
Significance of scenario planning
It has been stated by Soste, Wang, Robertson, Chaffe, Handley and Wei (2015), it has
been analyzed that scenario planning assist the managers to consider the complex situation which
take place in the environment. It also influences the overall objectives and approaches in context
to the process of decision making. By considering scenario planning it has been investigated that
hazards can also be considered in context to working environment and also with the employees.
It focuses on maintaining the safety of the environment so hat adverse impact can be minimized
in a proper manner.
2
According to many researchers, the scenario planning helps the managers to reduce the
threats and also focus on considering the accurate information. It has been seen that emphasis is
also given on maintaining the structure of the company. It is important for the managers to
emphasize on systematic thinking by taking into consideration various aspects that can affect the
entire process of decision making. The personal biasness is also narrowed when focus is given on
proper utilization of the resources. It also helps to maintain the working pattern of the
organization.
According to Rohrbeck, Battistella and Huizingh (2015), to take into consideration the
resources of the company it is important for the top management to emphasize on the internal
resources. It is necessary to have proper link with the internal resources so that in a proper
manner the resources can be considered. Scenario planning also helps the company to maintain
proper resources. It also increases the knowledge of the managers by taking into consideration
external environment and also the position in the competitive market.
According to Vacik et al., 2014, with the help of scenario planning it has seen that future
can be evaluated easily and also it can be easy to understand the present era. It also helps in
maintaining stability in the company and also it has been seen that weak signals can be analyzed
which can also focus on considering the uncertainties related to future. Scenario planning assists
to minimize the issues of the company so that success can be achieved in the market. The
managers emphasize on the maintaining the situations so that it can be easy for the business in
maintaining the prosperity. Scenario planning takes into consideration effective evaluation of
the entire objective so that understanding of the variables can take place in a proper manner.
Significance of scenario planning
It has been stated by Soste, Wang, Robertson, Chaffe, Handley and Wei (2015), it has
been analyzed that scenario planning assist the managers to consider the complex situation which
take place in the environment. It also influences the overall objectives and approaches in context
to the process of decision making. By considering scenario planning it has been investigated that
hazards can also be considered in context to working environment and also with the employees.
It focuses on maintaining the safety of the environment so hat adverse impact can be minimized
in a proper manner.
2
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Managing people and organization
According to Weigand, Flanagan, Dye and Jones (2014), it has been seen that scenario
planning focuses on preventing the efforts by considering the environment where employees
consider their activities. The physical and safety hazards can focus on maintaining the
employee’s security. Scenario planning has an essential role in maintaining the environment
which changes from time to time. The internal and external resources should be taken into
consideration so that it can be simple to serve the specific community of the society. It has been
seen that the community in the environment which keeps on changing should be maintained so
that it can be simple to accomplish overall goals and objectives.
Issues faced by the managers
According to Zali and Motavaf (2017), there are many problems that are faced by the
managers in eh competitive environment. Scenario planning needs to emphasize on the variables
which is affecting the society. These are also known as the long term plans that should be
flexible enough so that it can be easy to manage the activities. The flexibility will also help the
managers to focus on various perceptions and through that it can be easy to take effective steps
to adapt the environment. It has been seen that system approach will also help the company in
assisting the various concepts that can help to maintain the situation which take place on the
immediate basis.
The concept can also provide inclusion of various factors that can be difficult to be in a
formalized manner. Scenario planning also emphasizes on the resources that should be utilized in
a proper manner as it can help the company to consider the overall goals and objectives in an
effective manner. Also by considering the different factors it can be easy to focus on the
maintaining the formal relations. It has been analyzed that these are considered so that relations
can also be maintained. Also through scenario development it can be simple to maintain the
situations which are dynamic in nature.
Strategic plans
It has been stated that Mackay and McKiernan (2018), past strategic plans can help the
company in maintaining the plans of the company so that it can be simple to maintain the
activities of the company. This can also be done by focusing on the various trends in the current
scenario and through this it can be easy to achieve growth in the competitive market. In scenario
3
According to Weigand, Flanagan, Dye and Jones (2014), it has been seen that scenario
planning focuses on preventing the efforts by considering the environment where employees
consider their activities. The physical and safety hazards can focus on maintaining the
employee’s security. Scenario planning has an essential role in maintaining the environment
which changes from time to time. The internal and external resources should be taken into
consideration so that it can be simple to serve the specific community of the society. It has been
seen that the community in the environment which keeps on changing should be maintained so
that it can be simple to accomplish overall goals and objectives.
Issues faced by the managers
According to Zali and Motavaf (2017), there are many problems that are faced by the
managers in eh competitive environment. Scenario planning needs to emphasize on the variables
which is affecting the society. These are also known as the long term plans that should be
flexible enough so that it can be easy to manage the activities. The flexibility will also help the
managers to focus on various perceptions and through that it can be easy to take effective steps
to adapt the environment. It has been seen that system approach will also help the company in
assisting the various concepts that can help to maintain the situation which take place on the
immediate basis.
The concept can also provide inclusion of various factors that can be difficult to be in a
formalized manner. Scenario planning also emphasizes on the resources that should be utilized in
a proper manner as it can help the company to consider the overall goals and objectives in an
effective manner. Also by considering the different factors it can be easy to focus on the
maintaining the formal relations. It has been analyzed that these are considered so that relations
can also be maintained. Also through scenario development it can be simple to maintain the
situations which are dynamic in nature.
Strategic plans
It has been stated that Mackay and McKiernan (2018), past strategic plans can help the
company in maintaining the plans of the company so that it can be simple to maintain the
activities of the company. This can also be done by focusing on the various trends in the current
scenario and through this it can be easy to achieve growth in the competitive market. In scenario
3
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Managing people and organization
planning, the departments can easily manage the activities and also there are various variations in
context to qualitative. There are also various social conditions that are considered in proper
strategic plans.
According to Boyonas, Olavarria and Saenz (2016), in the recent situation, the managers
do not focus on taking into consideration their guesses which will affect the responsibility of the
company. In scenario planning there are various variables that can affect the environment which
can affect the society. It has also been seen that company emphasizes on the supply chain
management by considering the recent time generated of the huge amount at large. It also takes
into consideration the carbon emission which is seen through transports. The responsibility of the
managers is to consider supply chain management system by considering the scenario planning
so that problems can be resolved in a proper manner.
Issues in context to water scarcity
It has been stated by Sahin, Stewart and Porter (2015), that one of the issue is also
concerned with water scarcity which the company faces in the recent scenario. It is important to
focus on maintaining the problem and it is necessary to make decisions that can be beneficial for
the company. Also there are many researchers who stated that water scarcity is considered as the
serious problem in the society. So, by considering this situation it is necessary to consider
scenario planning so that it can be easy to control the operations of the company.
According to Wang et al., 2016, it is necessary for the organization to focus on
considering the proper plans so that water resources can be properly used. The operations of the
company are also impacted just due to the water scarcity. By considering the scenario planning it
can be easy to analyze the actual needs. This can also be controlled by considering the various
stages where it is important to utilize the water so that the society can be maintained and can
achieve growth. This can also affect the society in a positive manner.
Problems related to carbon emission
According to Wolf and Floyd (2017), it has also been seen that scenario planning can
help the company to emphasize on controlling the issues. Carbon emission can be known as the
major issue which take place in the present scenario and also it is important for the top
4
planning, the departments can easily manage the activities and also there are various variations in
context to qualitative. There are also various social conditions that are considered in proper
strategic plans.
According to Boyonas, Olavarria and Saenz (2016), in the recent situation, the managers
do not focus on taking into consideration their guesses which will affect the responsibility of the
company. In scenario planning there are various variables that can affect the environment which
can affect the society. It has also been seen that company emphasizes on the supply chain
management by considering the recent time generated of the huge amount at large. It also takes
into consideration the carbon emission which is seen through transports. The responsibility of the
managers is to consider supply chain management system by considering the scenario planning
so that problems can be resolved in a proper manner.
Issues in context to water scarcity
It has been stated by Sahin, Stewart and Porter (2015), that one of the issue is also
concerned with water scarcity which the company faces in the recent scenario. It is important to
focus on maintaining the problem and it is necessary to make decisions that can be beneficial for
the company. Also there are many researchers who stated that water scarcity is considered as the
serious problem in the society. So, by considering this situation it is necessary to consider
scenario planning so that it can be easy to control the operations of the company.
According to Wang et al., 2016, it is necessary for the organization to focus on
considering the proper plans so that water resources can be properly used. The operations of the
company are also impacted just due to the water scarcity. By considering the scenario planning it
can be easy to analyze the actual needs. This can also be controlled by considering the various
stages where it is important to utilize the water so that the society can be maintained and can
achieve growth. This can also affect the society in a positive manner.
Problems related to carbon emission
According to Wolf and Floyd (2017), it has also been seen that scenario planning can
help the company to emphasize on controlling the issues. Carbon emission can be known as the
major issue which take place in the present scenario and also it is important for the top
4

Managing people and organization
management to emphasize on limited thinking. This can also impact the society health. Also the
civil societies conveyed the message to manufacturing units to reduce the carbon emission. The
problems are also related with global warming which can impact the society. It has been seen
that the coming future situation will be difficult and company should focus on considering
effective steps.
Scenario planning in context to resources
According to Kostakis and Bauwens, (2014), it is important to emphasize on resources so
that it can be used in an effective manner. In the dynamic environment it is necessary to focus on
maintaining the economic situations. Scenario planning is necessary as it helps to make proper
investments. CSR operations are not only the method that can help to minimize the issue, but the
top management or the managers should focus on safeguarding the environment so that standard
of living can be managed. It is necessary to focus on developing the society.
It has been seen that scenario planning can help the managers to emphasize on the
securing the environment so that people can maintain their living standards and also growth can
be achieved in a proper manner. So, it is important to create proper strategic situation so that it
can be easy to analyze the needs. Through this the positive impact can be seen on the overall
standards of the company.
21st century example related to manufacturing sector
According to Mota , Gomes, Carvalho and Barbosa-Povoa (2015), the issue is also
related with the pollution. The problem can be seen in context to manufacturing sector. It is
necessary for the company to focus on reducing this challenge by considering challenge that can
help to attain growth. To minimize it strategic plans should be taken into consideration so that
problems can be minimized.
There are many examples that are related to Beijing. In this the government implemented
the rule to ban the companies who are not suitable for the environment and polluting the
environment. In this case it is important to consider proper strategic planning so that it can be
easy to maintain the situation. The managers of the company should focus on the situation so that
5
management to emphasize on limited thinking. This can also impact the society health. Also the
civil societies conveyed the message to manufacturing units to reduce the carbon emission. The
problems are also related with global warming which can impact the society. It has been seen
that the coming future situation will be difficult and company should focus on considering
effective steps.
Scenario planning in context to resources
According to Kostakis and Bauwens, (2014), it is important to emphasize on resources so
that it can be used in an effective manner. In the dynamic environment it is necessary to focus on
maintaining the economic situations. Scenario planning is necessary as it helps to make proper
investments. CSR operations are not only the method that can help to minimize the issue, but the
top management or the managers should focus on safeguarding the environment so that standard
of living can be managed. It is necessary to focus on developing the society.
It has been seen that scenario planning can help the managers to emphasize on the
securing the environment so that people can maintain their living standards and also growth can
be achieved in a proper manner. So, it is important to create proper strategic situation so that it
can be easy to analyze the needs. Through this the positive impact can be seen on the overall
standards of the company.
21st century example related to manufacturing sector
According to Mota , Gomes, Carvalho and Barbosa-Povoa (2015), the issue is also
related with the pollution. The problem can be seen in context to manufacturing sector. It is
necessary for the company to focus on reducing this challenge by considering challenge that can
help to attain growth. To minimize it strategic plans should be taken into consideration so that
problems can be minimized.
There are many examples that are related to Beijing. In this the government implemented
the rule to ban the companies who are not suitable for the environment and polluting the
environment. In this case it is important to consider proper strategic planning so that it can be
easy to maintain the situation. The managers of the company should focus on the situation so that
5
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Managing people and organization
problems can be resolved in a proper manner. This will help to maintain the security of the
society in a proper manner.
Conclusion
So, by focusing on the paper it has been seen that scenario planning is important as it
helps to maintain the safety of the environment. It can be considered as the method that can help
to emphasize on the future activities and also evaluates the present situation. With the help of
this it can be easy to manage the activities of the company. Strategic planning will also impact
the overall market condition and maintain the operations of the company.
6
problems can be resolved in a proper manner. This will help to maintain the security of the
society in a proper manner.
Conclusion
So, by focusing on the paper it has been seen that scenario planning is important as it
helps to maintain the safety of the environment. It can be considered as the method that can help
to emphasize on the future activities and also evaluates the present situation. With the help of
this it can be easy to manage the activities of the company. Strategic planning will also impact
the overall market condition and maintain the operations of the company.
6
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Managing people and organization
References
Boyonas, M. I., Olavarria, L., & Saenz, M. J. (2016). Scenario Planning: Preparing the Future of
Global Supply Chains. In Designing and Implementing Global Supply Chain
Management (pp. 51-91). IGI Global.
Kostakis, V., & Bauwens, M. (2014). Network society and future scenarios for a collaborative
economy. Springer.
Lumbreras, S., & Ramos, A. (2016). The new challenges to transmission expansion planning.
Survey of recent practice and literature review. Electric Power Systems Research, 134, 19-
29.
Mackay, R. B., and McKiernan, P. (2018). Scenario Thinking: Infusing Planning with Foresight.
Cambridge University Press.
Malekpour, S., Brown, R. R., & de Haan, F. J. (2015). Strategic planning of urban infrastructure
for environmental sustainability: Understanding the past to intervene for the
future. Cities, 46, 67-75.
Mäntysalo, R., & Grišakov, K. (2016). 21 Framing ‘evidence’and scenario stories in strategic
spatial planning. Situated Practices of Strategic Planning: An international perspective,
348.
Mota, B., Gomes, M. I., Carvalho, A., & Barbosa-Povoa, A. P. (2015). Towards supply chain
sustainability: economic, environmental and social design and planning. Journal of Cleaner
Production, 105, 14-27.
Rohrbeck, R., Battistella, C., & Huizingh, E. (2015). Corporate foresight: An emerging field with
a rich tradition. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 1-9.
Sahin, O., Stewart, R. A., & Porter, M. G. (2015). Water security through scarcity pricing and
reverse osmosis: a system dynamics approach. Journal of cleaner production, 88, 160-171.
7
References
Boyonas, M. I., Olavarria, L., & Saenz, M. J. (2016). Scenario Planning: Preparing the Future of
Global Supply Chains. In Designing and Implementing Global Supply Chain
Management (pp. 51-91). IGI Global.
Kostakis, V., & Bauwens, M. (2014). Network society and future scenarios for a collaborative
economy. Springer.
Lumbreras, S., & Ramos, A. (2016). The new challenges to transmission expansion planning.
Survey of recent practice and literature review. Electric Power Systems Research, 134, 19-
29.
Mackay, R. B., and McKiernan, P. (2018). Scenario Thinking: Infusing Planning with Foresight.
Cambridge University Press.
Malekpour, S., Brown, R. R., & de Haan, F. J. (2015). Strategic planning of urban infrastructure
for environmental sustainability: Understanding the past to intervene for the
future. Cities, 46, 67-75.
Mäntysalo, R., & Grišakov, K. (2016). 21 Framing ‘evidence’and scenario stories in strategic
spatial planning. Situated Practices of Strategic Planning: An international perspective,
348.
Mota, B., Gomes, M. I., Carvalho, A., & Barbosa-Povoa, A. P. (2015). Towards supply chain
sustainability: economic, environmental and social design and planning. Journal of Cleaner
Production, 105, 14-27.
Rohrbeck, R., Battistella, C., & Huizingh, E. (2015). Corporate foresight: An emerging field with
a rich tradition. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 1-9.
Sahin, O., Stewart, R. A., & Porter, M. G. (2015). Water security through scarcity pricing and
reverse osmosis: a system dynamics approach. Journal of cleaner production, 88, 160-171.
7

Managing people and organization
Shergold, I., Lyons, G., & Hubers, C. (2015). Future mobility in an ageing society–Where are we
heading?. Journal of Transport & Health, 2(1), 86-94.
Soste, L., Wang, Q. J., Robertson, D., Chaffe, R., Handley, S., & Wei, Y. (2015). Engendering
stakeholder ownership in scenario planning. Technological Forecasting and Social
Change, 91, 250-263.
Vacik, H., Kurttila, M., Hujala, T., Khadka, C., Haara, A., Pykäläinen, J., ... and Tikkanen, J.
(2014). Evaluating collaborative planning methods supporting programme-based planning
in natural resource management. Journal of environmental management, 144, 304-315.
Wang, X. J., Zhang, J. Y., Shahid, S., Guan, E. H., Wu, Y. X., Gao, J., & He, R. M. (2016).
Adaptation to climate change impacts on water demand. Mitigation and Adaptation
Strategies for Global Change, 21(1), 81-99.
Weigand, K., Flanagan, T., Dye, K., & Jones, P. (2014). Collaborative foresight: Complementing
long-horizon strategic planning. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 85, 134-
152.
Wolf, C., and Floyd, S. W. (2017). Strategic planning research: Toward a theory-driven
agenda. Journal of Management, 43(6), 1754-1788.
Zali, N., & Motavaf, S. H. (2017). Identification of regional development drivers by scenario
Planning. International Journal of Urban Management and Energy Sustainability, 1(2), 90-
103.
8
Shergold, I., Lyons, G., & Hubers, C. (2015). Future mobility in an ageing society–Where are we
heading?. Journal of Transport & Health, 2(1), 86-94.
Soste, L., Wang, Q. J., Robertson, D., Chaffe, R., Handley, S., & Wei, Y. (2015). Engendering
stakeholder ownership in scenario planning. Technological Forecasting and Social
Change, 91, 250-263.
Vacik, H., Kurttila, M., Hujala, T., Khadka, C., Haara, A., Pykäläinen, J., ... and Tikkanen, J.
(2014). Evaluating collaborative planning methods supporting programme-based planning
in natural resource management. Journal of environmental management, 144, 304-315.
Wang, X. J., Zhang, J. Y., Shahid, S., Guan, E. H., Wu, Y. X., Gao, J., & He, R. M. (2016).
Adaptation to climate change impacts on water demand. Mitigation and Adaptation
Strategies for Global Change, 21(1), 81-99.
Weigand, K., Flanagan, T., Dye, K., & Jones, P. (2014). Collaborative foresight: Complementing
long-horizon strategic planning. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 85, 134-
152.
Wolf, C., and Floyd, S. W. (2017). Strategic planning research: Toward a theory-driven
agenda. Journal of Management, 43(6), 1754-1788.
Zali, N., & Motavaf, S. H. (2017). Identification of regional development drivers by scenario
Planning. International Journal of Urban Management and Energy Sustainability, 1(2), 90-
103.
8
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