Identifying Factors Determining UK Private Housing Prices: A Report

This report analyzes the factors influencing the price of private housing in the UK, utilizing supply and demand analysis. It identifies key determinants such as interest rates, economic growth, population, income effects, and mortgage availability. The report examines the impact of supply-side factors including planning restrictions, house building rates, local factors, government policies, and economic recessions. Furthermore, it explores government and economic policies that can stimulate demand, focusing on interest rates, stamp duty, and ownership schemes like the 'help to buy' program. The report highlights the dynamic nature of the UK real estate market and the importance of government intervention in managing demand and supply mechanisms to achieve equilibrium prices.

Written
Report.

Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................1
MAIN BODY...................................................................................................................................1
With the help of supply and demand analysis identifying the main factors in determining the
price of private housing in the UK..............................................................................................1
Main government/ economic policies that can be used to stimulate the demand for private
housing in the UK.......................................................................................................................4
CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................8
REFERENCES................................................................................................................................9

INTRODUCTION
MAIN BODY
With the help of supply and demand analysis identifying the main factors in determining the
price of private housing.
Supply and demand is not an easy task in order to measure the real estate market which is
due to the fact that it takes a huge amount of time for fixing up the old houses and constructing
the new ones. There are various factors which are affecting the housing demand which such as
interest rates or borrowing cost of houses.
The law of demand states that all the other factors being persistent, the price and quantity
demanded of goods and services are inversely related to each other. It means that when the price
of goods and services increases, its demand will fall and when the price of goods and services
decreases, the demand will rise. The law if demand explains the consumer choice behaviour
when the price of a product changes (Bergstrom, and Vespa, 2019).
When an interest rates are low the demand for housing rises as people are willing to take
houses on more debt. In this case people become financially able to purchase houses as the
amount of interest which they have to pay is not so burdensome. When more and more buyers
are flooding in the market it may result in the demand of housing. If there is an increase in the
interest rates it will result in decrease in demand of housing as people will not be able to pay
higher interest rates which can become burdensome for people.
Increase in demand of housing is shown in above fig., in the demand curve shifts towards
right from DD to D1D1. Rise in demand from OQ to OQ1 which is due to change in factor i.e.
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lower interest rates at the same price OP. Decrease in demand is shown in the fig by the leftward
shifted curve which is from DD towards D2D2 and demand of the housing falls from OQ to OQ
which may arise due to unfavourable change in the factors which is rise in interest rates which
will decease the demand of houses even at the same price.
The law of supply can be defined as other factors being same, price and the total quantity
supplied for goods and services are directly related with each other. With an upward shift in the
price of goods and services, the supplier will increase the supply in the market in order to earn
more profits whereas when the price of goods and services decreases, the supplier also reduce its
supply towards the consumers.
According to Gibb, (2016) the housing supply in the United Kingdom is not able to keep
up with the demand mainly because with the improved life expectancy rate and standard of
living, the demand for private houses have grown incessantly over the past decade. Also, the
privately owned property in UK is either freehold or leasehold. Freehold property means the
ownership of both land and the property on land whereas leasehold means that the land is not
owned by the resident, but he has the right to use the land or property for a given period of years.
When the supply of decreases, the supply of housing decreases within no change in
demand this results in the leftward shifting of curve. But when the supply decreases,
oldequilibrium is created at a condition of excess of demand as there is an increase in
competition among buyers which can result in high rise in price which is shown in a figure
below:
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With increase in the price of housing results in decrease in the demand and will also
result in increase in supply and this will continue unless and until new equilibrium level is
achieved.
Supply of housing can be price inelastic when the change in price results in the fewer
percentage change in the supply for example price of rent of housing falls by twenty prcent so,
the quantity supply decline by one percent.
From the above fig. With the increase in the price results in increase in quality supplied,
when the price of housing increase for example £30 to £40, this will result in increase in quantity
supplied which is from 15 to 16. So, the price elasticity of supply is 0.2.
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From the above figure it can be interpreted that perfectly inelastic supply occurs when
there is a change within the price which does not affect the quality supplied in the market.
If the price of housing change which results in higher change in the demand it will result
in higher price elasticity of demand which is shown in above figure.
Main factors determining the demand of private housing in the UK are:
 Rate of interest: The interest rates have a huge influence on the cost of monthly
mortgage payments in the country on houses which further affects the demand for private
houses in UK. An increased rate on interest on mortgage loans would reduce the demand
for housing because there exists and inverse relation between the price and quantity
demanded. For instance, with the increasing interest rates the demand for private housing
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in 2019, has fallen by 18% as compared to February 2018, 41% from 2017 and 46% from
2016.
 Economic growth: The demand for housing is directly related to the economic growth in
the country. Economic growth will increase with the increase in income level of the
individuals the economy and GDP of the country will increase thus demand for housing
will also increase as people will be able to afford and spend more on houses. In fact, the
housing demand is always considered to be income elastic which means that it is
considered as a luxury good and it is an exception to the law of demand. However, during
the recession period in UK, the falling income of people did not allow them to afford
houses or pay mortgage therefore it led to selling of the houses or repossession
(Somerville, 2018).
 Population: Population has a huge impact on the overall demand of houses in the United
Kingdom. With the increasing number of immigrants arriving in the country, there has
been a significant increase in the demand for housing and accommodation in the country.
There are various demographic factors that are affecting the demand for households like
increased life expectancy and divorce rates that affect the population level and thus
increases the demand for private houses.
 Income effect: Rising income level means an increase in the people's ability to spend
more on houses. Therefore, during the time of economic growth, the demand for houses
tend to increase. A rise in income level leads to rise in demand because house property
are considered to be a luxury good.
 Mortgage availability in UK: During the early 90s when the country's economy was on
boom, commercial banks and financial institutions used to lend mortgages to people at a
very low rate of interest. This further led to an increase in the demand for housing
because the purchasing power of people increased. An increase in demand further led to
rise in housing prices. But after the economic crisis of 2007 there was a shortage of funds
in the commercial banks which reduced the availability of mortgages and reduced the
demand for private housing.
Factors affecting the supply of private housing in UK:
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The main problem persisting in the UK market is the lack of housing facility. The number of
households are predicted to rise by 232,000 until the year 2033 and the current rate of home
construction is still stuck between 150,000 to 200,000 a year. Therefore, the rate of supply for
houses has reduced significantly in the country.
 Planning restrictions: There is a major restriction in the United Kingdom regarding the
planning of houses in the green belt areas which has reduced the supply of private
housing in the country.
 House building: During the period of economic boom the builders and construction
firms tend to build more houses as a rise in the price of houses leads to an increase in the
supply whereas in case of economic depression the suppliers tend to avoid constructing
the houses due to the law of supply.
 Local factors: There has been a widespread opposition on the building of new houses as
local groups tend to prefer living in smaller villages which as further reduced the supply
of private houses.
 Government policies: The increasing tax rates, duties and charges have reduced the
construction of private houses because an increase in the cost of production reduced the
overall profitability of the suppliers. An increase in stamp rate and house tax reduced the
supply of houses significantly.
 Recession and financial crises: Another factor which is affecting the supply and demand
of housing is the recession which is followed by the financial crisis which occurred in
mid 2000 which is referred as housing market cash, It was the direct result of law of
supply. During the crises consumer have to face low borrowing rates due to which banks
began to offer low rates on mortgages and also relaxed their lending standards. During
that time speculative buyers began entering the markets which resulted in rise in demand
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for housing but at the same time reducing the availability of supply in the market. This,
also resulted in decrease in demand as prices grew higher for housing and also there were
very less investors available in the market.
Main government/ economic policies that must be used for stimulating the overall demand for
private housing in the UK.
The real estate market in the UK heavily relies on the demand and supply mechanism and
this is what makes it a prominent yet dynamic industry. The law of demand and supply dictates
the equilibrium price of a property. Therefore, it is imperative for the government to take control
of the demand and supply mechanisms in the housing sector. Hence, there are certain
government and economic policies that can be used to stimulate the demand for private housing
in the United Kingdom like:
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 Interest rates: The increasing interest rates has been a prominent reason for the reducing
demand for private housing in the United Kingdom. People prefer to live in a rented place
rather than spending huge sum of money on a house and pay a high rate of interest per
month/ annum. Therefore, in order to increase the demand for houses it is important for
government to reduce the interest rate on housing loans as it would further reduce the
overall price of housing.
 Stamp duty: Stamp duty is the tax paid by the buyer and seller on the purchased
property. The stamp duty rate in the UK is 2% on the purchase of property between
125,000 pounds to 250,000 pounds, 5% if the value lies between 250,001 to 925,000
pounds and 10% if the purchase price is between 925,000 to 1,500,000 pounds. The
government must reduce the stamp duty in order to increase the demand of private
housing. The high rate of stamp duty has hugely affected the London market as people
have dropped the idea of purchasing houses which has also led to many houses remaining
idle in the Central London. The government must also provide tax reliefs and increase
flexibility in order to stimulate the demand of houses and flats in the country.
 Ownership schemes: The UK government has introduced an attractive scheme in order
to increase the demand of housing sector called 'help to buy' scheme. Under this scheme,
the government help people buy their own homes by providing the facility of equity loan
of 20% for the total value of newly built home. It is very beneficial and flexible for the
people as now an individual only requires 5% cash deposit and 75% mortgage to make up
the rest. Also, the government does not charge any loan fees on the 20% equity for the
next five years from the house owner. The scheme was introduced in 2013, in order to
help the people by giving them a leg up. The scheme helped in building more than 49,000
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houses in a single year and helped in increasing the number of houses by 15%. Therefore,
the 'help to buy' scheme played a significant role in increasing the demand for private
households.
 Mortgage loans: The banks and financial institutions must become more flexible while
providing loans for building homes. The incessant increase in high mortgage rates has
reduced the demand for home loans in the country. If mortgages become less available
than the demand will fall. The banks are demanding bigger deposits with other terms and
conditions and that has reduced the demand for houses. Thus, certain economic policies
must be implemented to reduce the rate of mortgage and further increase the demand for
housing loans.
 Green belt land: The green belt land is a British policy to preserve the environment and
to control the urban sprawl in the country. The government must provide some flexibility
regarding the building of land on green belt area. London, UK is facing a major housing
crisis as it is estimated that the property value can reach up to 1 million pounds during the
next five years and also there are more than 350,000 houses in demand. According to
(DCLG), 526,000 houses need to be built in order to meet the current demand of housing
in the city. Therefore, the DLCG recently stated that the brown field area in the Green
Belt can be used for redevelopment but the housing areas constructed must be very small
and limited in the area.
 Rent: The rent factor also plays a massive part in impacting the demand of private
housing in UK. With the increasing rate of rent in the suburban areas, may people have
made the decision of purchasing their own as it would be more beneficial and profitable
in the long run. Thus, the government must introduce a policy to control the rent so that
the housing demand can be brought in control or else the government must start
providing houses to the people at affordable rates (McKee,Muir, and Moore, 2017)
 Location: The UK government can increase the demand for housing by allowing
permission for planning at country side areas or less populated areas of the country. It
will prove to be economic for the house buyers also and thus would be beneficial for both
the parties. It will help in significant rise in demand of housing over a period.
 Commercial property conversions: Another potential option to increase the demand for
housing in the country is the conversion of commercial property into residential areas.
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There are many closed office spaces, retail stores and warehouses that are just left idle
and accommodating the space for no reason therefore it is will be a good idea by the
government to convert these places into housing facility. The short period reforms can
help in increasing the demand for housing effectively and efficiently.
 Land market reforms: The land market reforms is the most important policy that can be
used by UK government to increase the supply of housing facilities. In a recent study
conducted by Cambridge Centre for Housing and Planning Research, it has been found
out that countries that have been successful in providing housing facilities have used pro-
active approach which is more advanced than the English approach. Successful
implementation of land market reforms can help in increasing the demand of housing
facility for the public (Guiso, and et.al, 2017).
 Government development: The UK government never built enough home for the public
and has heavily relied on construction firms and private companies for the same. It has
created several problems for the UK government as private householders have always
built houses based on the supply mechanisms which means that during the period of
economic boom they rise the supply of homes whereas during the period of recession the
supply reduces as they are not able to earn enough profit. Hence, it is the duty of UK
government to promote balanced regional development and to take care of the demand
for houses and build them accordingly.
 Affordable Owner ship schemes: There are various ownership schemes which provide
by the government of UK in order to provide financial help to people to buy a home.
People get help through a Help to Buy ISA across and provide low interest loans to
people who are willing to buy homes. Another scheme which is provided is that
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providing homes through shared ownership to people, In this two or more people can buy
homes buy paying equal shares of money. There is also another scheme provided for
housing association tenants and council tenants. In right to buy scheme allows council
tenants to buy their council home at a certain discount and in right to buy, it allows
various housing associations tenants to buy home by providing discount.
 Planning permissions/green belt land: It is the scheme which can build their homes on
the UK's green belts and from the last 9 years there are more than 24,000 homes built
within the UK's green and even UK is planning for building additional 35,000 houses in
the green belt in the future.
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REFERENCES
Books and Journals:
Bergstrom, T.C. and Vespa, E., 2019. Living Supply and Demand Curves.
Guiso, L and et.al, 2017. Populism: demand and supply.
McKee, K., Muir, J. and Moore, T., 2017. Housing policy in the UK: The importance of spatial
nuance. Housing Studies, 32(1), pp.60-72.
Gibb, K., 2016. Housing Finance in the UK: an Introduction. Macmillan International Higher
Education.
Watt, P. and Minton, A., 2016. London's housing crisis and its activisms: Introduction. City,
20(2), pp.204-221.
Smith, P., 2017. Affordable housing and private rented sector reform. In Smart Urban
Regeneration (pp. 270-289). Routledge.
Valença, M.M., 2015. Social rental housing in HK and the UK: Neoliberal policy divergence or
the market in the making?. Habitat International, 49, pp.107-114.
Somerville, P., 2018. 27. Housing and social justice. Handbook on Global Social Justice, p.371.
Online:
. 2019. [Online] Available Through <>
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