This report discusses the Boeing Current Market Outlook (CMO) and the Airbus Global Market Forecast (GMF) and their impact on the aviation industry. It also explores the factors driving air travel growth and the connection with microeconomic theory of supply and demand.
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Running head: ADVANCED AVIATION ECONOMICS ADVANCED AVIATION ECONOMICS Name of student Name of university Author’s note:
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1 ADVANCED AVIATION ECONOMICS Introduction This report aims to discussthe Boeing Current Market Outlook (CMO) and the Airbus Global Market Forecast (GMF) and an overview is provided about these aspects along with the use by the manufacturers by broader aviation industry. The most important factors that is believed by the Airbus and Boeing would help in driving the air travel growth. Connection with the microeconomic theory of the supply as well as the demand is detailed in the report. At last an appropriate conclusion is provided for the report. Discussion Overview and explanation of the use The forecasts that have been made bythe Boeing Current Market Outlook (CMO) and the Airbus Global Market Forecast (GMF) has been anticipated to register almost CAGR of increasingly 3% while the forecast period (Petrescu et al., 2017). The Airbus GMF estimates that fleet would be more than the double from than present times that means 21,500 aircraft to almost 48,000 in almost 20 years time period. Growth in this group would help in the growth of the services business that would become double over 20 years from almostUS$150 billion in 2018 to 330 billion a year by 2037 that makes it a total of US$4.6 trillion (Nair & Paulose, 2014). Along this phase, the modern technological development that includes the rise in the number of the linked aircraft would result in the growth of the e-enabled services. The technologicaldevelopmentispredictedtowardsintroductionofthemodern opportunities for delivering the facilities that would profit not only the customers of the organisation nonetheless the passengers also (Comitz & Kersch, 2016). The analysis and the access to the data from the aircraft and the operations would be at core of the innovations.
2 ADVANCED AVIATION ECONOMICS As per theBoeing Current Market Outlook (CMO),the airlines have made significant strides towards the maximisationof the efficiencyof the operations using the techniques and the tools for minimising the cost, then maximise the load factors and utilisation of the aircraft (Helmreich & Merritt, 2017). The increase in the outsourcing would impact significantly in future as the pressure from the competition and it might help in lowering the yields. For reflecting the new opportunities and the trends, the service forecast of the company has expanded their scope in comparison to the last year (Peeters et al. 2016). These forecasts are utilised by the manufacturers and the broader industry of aviation for predicting the passengers increase and then manage the services accordingly that would help in providing personalised services to the customers (Rhoades, 2016). Purpose of investment The aviation industry implements the increased investment in the forecasting as it would help in the efficient prediction of the future state of the airline. The aviation industry utilises the forecasting for the both short term decisions like the whether to hope for the adverse weather conditions and the methods by which the effective response could be provided and for supporting the longer term decisions respected to the future patterns in the demand for any air travel (Wagner & Walton, 2016). The scope and the use of the aviation forecasts could vary significantly. The companies significantly invest in the forecasting to understand the passengers behaviour and the availability of the resources in the present times. Factor driving the air travel growth There are several factors that are expected to have significant impact on the growth of the air travel. Some of the factors of the growth of the air travel are:
3 ADVANCED AVIATION ECONOMICS Population and age structure: The population size affects demand of the air travel as significant basis of demand increases the demand for the mobility. Therefore, the population of the country has been considered while the estimation and the differentiation of the demand of the air travel is done. Urbanagglomerations:Theoriginandthedestinationofthetrafficflowsare increasingly important for understanding the demand of air travel. Huge share of the European citizens reside in the urban agglomerations. The trend of the people in the European could be considered and understood that the growth of the air demand would increase in the coming years (Hari, Yaakob & Binitha, 2015). Along with the businesses and the tourism being the drivers of the growth of the aviation, the demographic factors like the migration could help significantly for stimulating one more category of the air transport. The trend of the people to visit their family and the friends would significantly help in the growth of the aviation industry. Connection with the microeconomic theory of supply and demand These factors has significance in relation to the book by Baye and Prince. This denotes that the supply and demand would go in synchronization and help in the growth of the industry. The factors that are discussed above are directly connected to the growth of the industry of the air travel due to the increased demand of the people to travel in quick transport without the issue of any kind of worries. It would help significantly in the growth of the growth. Conclusion Therefore, it can be concluded that the forecasting of the probable situation in the near times would help the companies to achieve significant business growth.Along this phase, the modern technological development that includes the rise in the number of the linked aircraft
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4 ADVANCED AVIATION ECONOMICS would result in the growth of the e-enabled services. The technological development is predicted towards introduction of the modern opportunities for delivering the facilities that would profit not only the customers of the organisation nonetheless the passengers alsoAs per theBoeing Current Market Outlook (CMO),the airlines have made significant strides towards the maximisation of the efficiency of the operations using the techniques and the tools for minimising the cost, then maximise the load factors and utilisation of the aircraft. The increase in the outsourcing would impact significantly in future as the pressure from the competition and it might help in lowering the yields.These factors has significance in relation to the book by Baye and Prince. This denotes that the supply and demand would go in synchronization and help in the growth of the industry.
5 ADVANCED AVIATION ECONOMICS References Comitz, P., & Kersch, A. (2016, April). Aviation analytics and the Internet of Things. In2016 Integrated Communications Navigation and Surveillance (ICNS)(pp. 2A1-1). IEEE. Hari, T. K., Yaakob, Z., & Binitha, N. N. (2015). Aviation biofuel from renewable resources: routes, opportunities and challenges.Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,42, 1234-1244. Helmreich, R. L., & Merritt, A. C. (2017).Culture at work in aviation and medicine: National, organizational and professional influences. Routledge. Nair, S., & Paulose, H. (2014). Emergence of green business models: The case of algae biofuel for aviation.Energy Policy,65, 175-184. Peeters, P., Higham, J., Kutzner, D., Cohen, S., & Gössling, S. (2016). Are technology myths stalling aviation climate policy?.Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment,44, 30-42. Petrescu, R. V., Aversa, R., Akash, B., Corchado, J., Berto, F., Mirsayar, M., ... & Petrescu, F. I. (2017). Home at airbus.Journal of Aircraft and Spacecraft Technology,1(2). Rhoades, D. L. (2016).Evolution of international aviation: phoenix rising. Routledge. Wagner, S. M., & Walton, R. O. (2016). Additive manufacturing’s impact and future in the aviation industry.Production Planning & Control,27(13), 1124-1130.