Demand and Supply Analysis of Beef Industry in Australia
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This report analyses the demand and supply of beef industry in Australia with the help of newspapers and economic concepts. It also provides recommendations to protect this sector from price fall.
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Running head: ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS Economics for business Name of the student Name of the university Author Note
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1ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS Executive Summary: The beef industry in Australia has huge importance from its economical perspectives. Hence, this report has intended to analyse the demand and supply of this sector with the help of some newspapers. Moreover, some economical concepts have helped to describe this phenomenon more precisely. At the end, this report has provided some recommendation to protect this sector from price fall.
2ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS Table of Contents Introduction:...............................................................................................................................3 News article:...............................................................................................................................3 Economic Overview:..................................................................................................................4 Recommendations:.....................................................................................................................6 Conclusion:................................................................................................................................7 References:.................................................................................................................................8
3ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS Introduction: The beef industry can be referred as one of the most important enterprises of Australia. Moreover, this country has ranked second, after Brazil, for exporting beef in international market (Marshall, N.A., Taylor, B.M., Heyenga and Butler 2018). The chief reason behind this huge amount of cattle breeding in almost each part of Australia is weather. The main source of demand for beef has come from international market. For instance, Australian beef have exported by large mount to the United States, Japan and Korea (Weeklytimesnow.com.au. 2018). Hence, with the help of newspaper articles, this report has tried to analyse this concerned sector based on its demand and supply. Moreover, the report has also intended to provide some recommendations related to beef industry from which policymakers and business owners of this specified sector can receive benefits. News article: According to the Weekly Times, beef prices have decreased significantly in recent years, though the profit level has remained at a stable position. Based on a report of the Rabobank, this concerned industry has experienced increasing supply of beef cattle while producers of beef have decreased their demand due to the poor global markets. Consequently, this increasing supply and decreasing demand of beef has led the prices of cattle to a negative direction. In Tasmania, prices of cattle may remain between $5.60 and $5.80 per kilogram in comingwinterwhilethesepriceshaveremainedover$6duringthelastyear (Weeklytimesnow.com.au. 2018). In this context, it can be mentioned that dry weather of New South Wales (NSW), QueenslandandVictoriahashelpedthecattleproductiontoincreasefurther (Mallawaarachchiet al.2017). This implies that the country can export beef and veil by large amount in 2018. This excess amount of supply in foreign market can offset price fall of beef cattle. Consequently, exporters can receive higher amount of profit. In addition to this, the
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4ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS Rabobank has provided four possible factors that might affect the demand for this beef industry. Those factors are early wet season in Queensland, strong competition of Asian countriesininternationalbeefmarket,increasingdemandforlivestockinChinaand increasing amount of cow slaughter in the U.S.A (Weeklytimesnow.com.au. 2018). The Australian export market for beef may experience a strong and competitive environment, which in turn may restrict the price level to rise further in international market. Figure 1: Expect trend of agricultural export in 2018 Source: (Gray 2018) According to figure 1, it can stated that Australia may export beef and veil by large amount in 2018 while other the amount of export for other agricultural products may remain comparatively low. The figure has compared between the amount of exports of 2017 and 2018. The blue line has represented export amount of 2017 while yellow line has represented expected amount of exports in 2018 (Gray 2018). Based on this comparison, it can be said that the amount of beef and veil exports is going to be high in 2018 compare to the last year. Economic Overview: Decreasing prices for beef cattle can be described with the help of demand and supply curve. Excess amount of supply in market can negatively influence producers. Equilibrium price of a product can be obtained by equating the market supply with its market demand
5ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS (Nkomo 2017). However, lack of demand can tend the price level to decrease further. This can be illustrated with the help of following diagram. Figure 2: Shifting of demand and supply curve of beef cattle Source: (created by author) Based on figure 2, decreasing prices for cattle can be analysed. According to the above diagram, the initial demand and supply curves of beef cattle have remained at level D0 and S0, respectively. Hence, the initial market prices for beef cattle have stayed at P0 level. However, due to favourable weather, supply of cattle has increased and this is shown by S1 supply curve. On the other side, the demand curve has shifted to the left due to lack of demand. Consequently, market prices for beef have decreased by P0P1 unit. In this context, it can be mentioned that the supply of beef cattle has increased significantly though the demand has not decreased by large extend. As a result, the price has decreased by large amount while amount of beef cattle in market has not fallen drastically (Dong, Waldron, Brown and Zhang 2018). This implies that the amount of profit for producers may not fall by large extend. Moreover, the concept of economies of scale can also be described over here. According to this concept, cost of production may decrease by increasing the amount of
6ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS production. Increasing amount of cattle can help beef producers to producers more amount of output and to export this in foreign market (Juan Dinget al.2014). This increasing amount of production can help producers to enjoy economies of scale. Figure 3: Economies of scale for beef producers Source; (created by author) Figure 3 has represented economies of scale for beef producers. According to this figure, cost of beef production has decreased by C C1 unit while production has increased by Q Q1 unit. This decreasing amount of cost can help producers to earn more profit by exporting beef in foreign market. Recommendations: At present, decreasing prices may adversely influence the beef producers and cattle industry and this in turn can negatively affect national income of Australia. Hence, the government can take some initiatives to prevent this price fall. For this, the government can implement new trade policies with beef importing countries to promote export (Munch and Schaur 2018). This can further help the demand for beef cattle to increase by large amount. In addition to this, the government can provide subsidises to beef producers for increasing the storage capacities of beef. This can prevent the decreasing demand of this item from producers. They can purchase and store huge amount of beef.
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7ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS Conclusion: According to the above discussion, it can be said that beef industry has possessed significant importance in Australian economy. The country has produced huge amount of beef as it has favourable wether for cattle production. On the other side, demand for this product has decreased in recent year, due to its decreasing demand in global market. This phenomenon has consequently decreased prices of beef cattle in Australian market. However, the profit level may remain at a higher position.
8ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS References: Dong, X., Waldron, S., Brown, C. and Zhang, J., 2018. Price transmission in regional beef markets:Australia,ChinaandSoutheastAsia.EmiratesJournalofFoodand Agriculture,30(2), pp.99-106. Gray, D. 2018.Dry conditions, then frosts hit farm production and exports. [online] The SydneyMorningHerald.Availableat: https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/dry-conditions-then-frosts-hit-farm- production-and-exports-20171212-p4yxms.html [Accessed 14 Apr. 2018]. – one of the main article Juan Ding, M., Jie, F., A. Parton, K. and J. Matanda, M., 2014. Relationships between quality of information sharing and supply chain food quality in the Australian beef processing industry.The international journal of logistics management,25(1), pp.85-108. Mallawaarachchi, T., Nauges, C., Sanders, O. and Quiggin, J., 2017. State‐contingent analysis of farmers’ response to weather variability: irrigated dairy farming in the Murray Valley, Australia.Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics,61(1), pp.36- 55. Marshall, N.A., Taylor, B.M., Heyenga, S. and Butler, D., 2018. Vulnerability of the livestock industry in eastern Australia.Sustainability Science,13(2), pp.393-402. Munch,J.andSchaur,G.,2018.Theeffectofexportpromotiononfirm-level performance.American Economic Journal: Economic Policy,10(1), pp.357-87. Nkomo, J.C., 2017. The impact of higher oil prices on Southern African countries.Journal of Energy in Southern Africa,17(1), pp.10-17. Weeklytimesnow.com.au. 2018.Subscribe to The Weekly Times. [online] Available at: https://www.weeklytimesnow.com.au/news/tasmanian-country/beef-cattle-seasonal-
9ECONOMICS FOR BUSINESS outlook-beefing-up-confidence/news-story/45e47a1702e951be269673e1860530f0 [Accessed 25 Apr. 2018].- one of the main article