Possible Effects of Brexit on the External Environment of UK
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The assignment focuses on the possible effect of Brexit on the external environment of UK. It analyzes the impact of Brexit in economic, legal, cultural and political environment in which the business of UK operates. The changes in external environment in which UK business operates will influence the business operation both positively and negatively.
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Running head: ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Name of the Student Name of the University Author’s Note
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1ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT The assignment focuses on the possible effect of Brexit on the external environment of UK. This study analyzes on the possible changes to the environment in which UK business operates after Brexit. Brexit is basically the potential withdrawal of UK from the European Union (EU). The main initiator of referendum of Brexit was the ex-prime minister of UK, David Cameron. (Glencross 2016).The referendum held on 23 rd June 2016 highlighted that near about 51.9% of participating electorate of this nation voted for leaving EU and the rest voted against it (Howard and Kollanyi 2016). This result of Brexit vote had been interesting in account of demographics. Larger number of younger generation voted to stay within EU while majority of older generation voted to leave EU. This means that although UK has higher score on individualism under Hofstede cultural model,younger generation across the globe are highly approving of theglobalizationthat has been increasing over the last few decades and thus are highly inclined towards political, social and economic cooperation between the nations. The vote of Britain to leave EU has electrified interest of leaders, investors and policy makers. Even external as well as internal effect can occur, involving environmental concerns that might put this nation at risk for poor environmental standards. In this assignment, the impact of Brexit in economic, legal, cultural and political environment in which the business of UK operates is also analyzed. Lea(2016) opines that there might possible changes to the external environment in which the business of UK operate owing to Brexit. In fact, the impact of Brexit has potential effects on the environmental policy of this nation. According toHunt and Wheeler(2017), Brexit might create uncertainty in the business environment, which in turn might create risk in business. Although UK has been considered as the best nation for doing business, it could change owing to unknown impact that Brexit could bring. The organizations operating in the UK have been
2ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT reevaluating their long term investments owing to fear of Brexit that might impact across the EU. It has been found out by some researcher that the business operating in UK could be less competitive within EU market as they might face several changes in environment where they operate. Owing to several possible changes in the external environment, the businesses might adopt effective strategy in order to mitigate with the challenges. The competition policy in UK has been unlikely to radically change immediate aftermath Brexit.This shows the issues of Brexit. It has been predicted by many researchers the UK might gain more freedom in politics after Brexit. The changes occurring in the political environment will highly influence the business operating in this nation. However, few possible changes that might occur in political environment are explained below: Low direct tax- After Brexit, the UK government will reduce the corporation tax to near about 15% from the present rate. This in turn will provide those additional pounds that are required to be invested for the growth of business. Moreover, it will also help to attract the business of other nation to enter UK for doing business. High indirect tax- It has been well known fact that VAT (Value added tax) that is being added to the product is the main contributor to revenue of this nation. Brexit will provide UK the right to make variation in VAT. However, the government of this country has been planning to add more products and services to present list without making comprehensive changes to present VAT system. As a result, this will increase tax burden that is passed to the customers. However, the businesses providing digital services should register in VAT in those nations where their customers reside or utile MOSS ( mini- one stop shop) for registering in EU wide scheme.
3ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Reduction in funding- UK has been considered as epicenter for the financial activities for EU. Brexit will cause this nation to lose huge amount of trade with the EU, which in turn will make this less profitable destination for the international banks. As a result, the jobs of financial service will move out of this country and hence will decrease available funding for the domestic businesses. Increasing cost on compliance as well as administration- This nation has been the strong advocate of anti-tax evasion policy. However, the present policies allow the multinational enterprise to exploit loopholes in tax system for shifting profits legally to less tax jurisdictions. () opines that serrated policy will be imminent after Brexit. However, changes in present laws will increase the compliance as well as administrative costs for the existing business operating in this nation. According to some economists, the UK economic growth will decline after the Brexit. There will be uncertainty over the relationships between Britain and other EU countries, which in turn will damage the investor’s confidence to invest in the business of this nation. After this Brexit, increase in cost of trade as well as tariffs would probably decline investments in this nation. This in turn will adversely affect on inflows of FDI (foreign direct investment) in this country (Dhingraet al.2016) Therefore, this uncertainty of the trade relations between EU and UK will also reduce FDI in this nation and this in turn will reduce the demand of UK pound. With decrease in currency value, the producers will see increase in total import cost. It has been predicted by few economists that the export businesses in this nation will reduce after Brexit since the total costs will increase with increased tariffs. Thus, the UK businesses will become less competitive globally and in EU markets. Even if these businesses will strategize to decrease prices of product for maintaining competitive edge, it would lower their profit margin. In
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4ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT addition to this, the total number of people searching for jobs outside UK will increase and hence this will adversely impact on the UK businesses. However, these businesses will face deficiency of skilled labor and thereby the total productivity in business will decline. Thus there will be large gap between demand and supply of skilled labor. On the contrary, it will increase opportunity of business of making free trade agreements with the nations across the globe (Portes and Forte 2017). Few nations such as China, Australia might move towards making trade deals with this country after Brexit. Apart from this, it will further decline barriers to service industries of UK such as banking, insurance and so on. Furthermore, the business will also benefit from complying with lesser obligations as well as regulations of EU. They will not be indebted to pay huge amount of pounds towards the membership cost of EU (Busch and Matthes 2016). From the perspective of the UK businesses, this nation would be free to negotiate as well as trade with other nations globally according to their terms. Thus, it will also open several prospects of the UK business from outside EU. Overall, these changes in economic environment will influence the business in UK both positively and negatively.This reflects the present trading arrangements for the UK international businesses.
5ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Figure1: Job seekers in UK looking abroad after Brexit Source:(Curtice2016) Figure2: Graph reflects value of Pound against US dollar in the year 2016 Source: (Whitman 2017) After Brexit, changes in legal environment will influence the business especially the small businesses operating in UK. The companies Act 2006 has been the main legislation impactingtheoperationofbusinessesofUK.ThisActincludes-provisionsrelatingto shareholders rights, disclosure of companies information and other accounting information of business. After Brexit, it is expected that there will certain changes in the companies Act, which in turn will adversely affect the operations in UK business (Schoofet al. 2015). Besides this, several commercial contracts can be unaffected after Brexit. In fact, these contracts will stay in full effect and the rights as well as obligations of the parties will be highly unaffected. Therefore, few contracts such as franchise agreements, IP licenses might still include territorial restrictions referring to EU. This contract might probably need amendment after Brexit. In addition to this, IP(Intellectualproperty)lawsmightalsochangeowingtoexitofUKfromEU.The
6ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT CJEU( Court of Justice of the European Union) authority can cease for being binding and thus become persuasive after Brexit. However, the businesses operating in this nation might seek trade mark registrations for avoiding uncertainty after Brexit. There are few areas of the employment law in UK such as law regarding unfair dismissal and National Minimum Wage are outside of EU law and thereby are regulated by this nation’s legislation. It has been predicted by someeconomiststhattherewill lesschangesin thislawafter Brexit.Additionally,the immigration law will possibly change after Brexit. The present Prime Minister of UK has committed that immigration will considerably reduce in face of opposition from UK businesses (Tilford 2015). In fact, the citizens of EU will have no right to work and stay in UK following Brexit. As a result, the UK businesses might face challenge regarding shortage of skilled laborers. On the contrary, the startups businesses might continue to have some tax advantages. This tax relief for the investors will facilitate to generate many start-up activities. This in turn will help these businesses to reduce the risk and grow at higher rate. Some schemes such SEIS, EIS will also aid smaller as well as higher risk enterprises increase finance by providing several attractive tax relief to these investors on some new company’s shares. Overall, some researcher found out that the enterprises operating in UK might fail to organize regulation changes owing to changes in legal environment after Brexit. Britain has been considered as the globe’s cultural capital and is also known as cultural superpower. There will be changes in the cultural environment in which the UK’s international business operates aftermath Brexit. One of the socio- cultural aspects that will change after Brexit is migration. This mainly concerns the citizens of UK working across the EU as well as the EU people working in UK. However, new laws for the visas will be adopted, which in turn will make work migration procedure across the regions of this nation highly complicated.
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7ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT However, this will affect the operations in UK business with other nations. The effect of EU policies on the culture will likely to occur after Brexit. There is also a probability that this nation will become one of the competitors to EU in foreign cultural relations. It has been stated by Springford and Whyte(2014) that, the risk in UK business will increase since it will be directly exposed to cultural, economic, reputational and intellectual damage. For example, from the decreased level of foreign cultural exchanges at that time when it is required to develop the strategy mainly for post- Brexit worldwide engagement. Moreover, there might be conflicts within the nation regarding religion, ethnicity, race and so on. This in turn will adversely impact on the UK business as the buying behavior of the citizens residing in UK will change owing to change in socio- cultural environment. Although predicting changes in external environment of UK after Brexit might be highly challenging, it is basically unquestionable that Brexit would bring numerous changes in political, cultural,legal,economic,environmentalchanges.However,thesechangesinexternal environment in which UK business operates will influence the business operation both positively and negatively. Brexit definitely needs plenty of negotiations between UK and the EU. If both EU and UK do not compromise, then it can have adverse consequences in the whole world. Moreover, the potential adverse consequences of Brexit could be avoided if UK maintains friendly relationship with EU and work collaboratively for improving global situation. The businesses will also have to implement effective strategizes in order to maintain edge in the competitive business environment.
8ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT References Busch, B. and Matthes, J., 2016.Brexit-the economic impact: A meta-analysis(No. 10/2016). IW-Report. Curtice, J., 2016. Brexit: Behind the referendum.Political insight,7(2), pp.4-7. Dhingra, S. and Sampson, T., 2016. UK-EU relations after Brexit: What is best for the UK economy.Brexit Beckons: Thinking ahead by leading economists. Dhingra, S., Ottaviano, G., Sampson, T. and Van Reenen, J., 2016. The impact of Brexit on foreign investment in the UK.BREXIT 2016,24. Franks,J.R.,2016.SomeimplicationsofBrexitforUKagriculturalenvironmental policy.Centre for Rural Economy. Glencross, A., 2016.Why the UK Voted for Brexit: David Cameron's Great Miscalculation. Springer. Howard, P.N. and Kollanyi, B., 2016. Bots,# strongerin, and# brexit: Computational propaganda during the uk-eu referendum.Browser Download This Paper. Hunt, A. and Wheeler, B., 2017. Brexit: All you need to know about the UK leaving the EU.BBC News,25. Lea, R., 2016. Post-Brexit trading options for the UK.Arbuthnot Banking Group,4, pp.1-16. Portes,J.andForte,G.,2017.TheeconomicimpactofBrexit-inducedreductionsin migration.Oxford Review of Economic Policy,33(suppl_1), pp.S31-S44.
9ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT Sampson, T., 2017. Brexit: The economics of international disintegration.Journal of Economic Perspectives,31(4), pp.163-84.1 Schoof, U., Petersen, T., Aichele, R. and Felbermayr, G., 2015. Brexit–potential economic consequences if the UK exits the EU.Bertelsmann Stiftung,8. Springford, J. and Whyte, P., 2014.The consequences of Brexit for the City of London. London: Centre for European Reform. Tilford, S., 2015. Britain, immigration and Brexit.CER Bulletin,30, pp.64-162. Wadsworth, J., Dhingra, S., Ottaviano, G. and Van Reenen, J., 2016. Brexit and the Impact of Immigration on the UK.CEP Brexit Analysis, (5), pp.34-53. Whitman, R.G., 2017.Devolved external affairs: the impact of Brexit. Chatham House.