Action Plan for Climate Change Adaptation in South Australia

Running head: CLIMATE CHANGE
Action Plan for Climate Change Adaptation in South Australia to keep temperature well below
20C.
Name of the Student:
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Abstract
Australia being a lower latitudinal country has the more chances of getting significantly affected
by the changes in climate. The reason being that the country has reached the limits if moisture
levels and heat tolerance. It is important to note that mitigation cannot be the sole solution. It is
important to highlight that Australia is highly to get affected by climate change and it has been
predicted that the agricultural sector will be highly affected. The following have been predicted.
Rainfall- the greenhouse gas emission will rise by the year 2030 and altered physical
precipitation process. The winter storm will experience a shift towards the southern direction.
Winter rainfall will decrease by 30 percent; Temperature- Average temperatures are projected to
rise in all the seasons. By the year 2030, the temperature is expected to rise from 0.5-1.2 oC. By
the year 2090, the temperature is expected to rise from 1.2 to 2.1oC; Marine and coastal areas-
the sea level is predicted to rise by 0.07 to 0.19m along the South Australian coastline and the
increase will be noticed by 2030.

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Table of Contents
Introduction......................................................................................................................................4
Background......................................................................................................................................5
Rationale..........................................................................................................................................5
Aims and objectives.........................................................................................................................6
Action plan for adaptation...............................................................................................................7
South Australia’s energy sector: industry review with respect to climate change........................11
Wind energy...............................................................................................................................11
WIND ENERGY IN AUSTRALIA..........................................................................................12
WIND ENERGY IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA............................................................................13
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS..............................................................................................14
COST AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS.......................................................................................15
SOCIAL IMPACTS...................................................................................................................15
LIMITATIONS..........................................................................................................................15
Solar and thermal energy...........................................................................................................16
Action plan for Renovating Energy industry.............................................................................18
Climate data analysis.....................................................................................................................21
Impact of climate change on South Australia................................................................................24
Risk and vulnerability analysis......................................................................................................25
Conclusion.....................................................................................................................................26

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Reference.......................................................................................................................................27

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Introduction
Climate can be described as warming of the earth’s climate at a rapid rate due to the
activity of the human, and if it is left unchecked then there is a big probability of it acting as a
threat to both the ecosystem and the human civilisation on the planet. The global temperature has
increased due to the increase in the concentration of certain gases in the atmosphere that are
termed as the greenhouse gases. Some of the potent greenhouse gases are the methane, carbon
dioxide, water vapour and others. These gases allow the sunlight to pass through them, however
these gases act as a barrier and traps the heat when it escapes back to the space (Diffenbaugh and
Giorgi 2012). The most significant amount of carbon dioxide has increased after the industrial
revolution and in comparison to the pre-industrial times the concentration of carbon dioxide has
increased by three times. It is important to mention that the methane is a potent greenhouse gas
and it remains in the atmosphere for about 10 years, and the residing time of carbon dioxide is
100 years. Figure 1 depicts the change in temperature from 1890 to 2010. Thus, even if the
anthropogenic activities are stopped then also the greenhouse gases present in the atmosphere
will warm up the atmosphere (Christopher 2016). The one of the major cause of temperature rise
is the burning of the fossil fuels, changes in the pattern of land use and deforestation which
releases carbon dioxide and methane. The global temperature has increased to an extent where
impact is noticed in several spheres and it has been noticed through the changes in the
availability of water, along with the altered patterns of precipitation and shrinking glaciers.
Climate changes will impact the precipitation and water cycle. According to Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) there are increased chances of intense precipitation events and
intense droughts (Levin et al. 2012).

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Background
The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) and
Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology has stated in the State Climate Report 2016 that the mean
temperature of Australia has increased by 1oC since the year 1910. As per the report of Bureau of
Meteorology, 2015 has been one of the warmest year and since the year 1880 the global surface
temperature has been taken into records. The last 15 years present the warmest years on record.
While in the South Australia, climate has always seen to be variable and a warm trend has been
noticed since the year 1970. The latest data suggest that the in South Australia, the temperature
has increased by 1 degree since the past 100 years. Rainfall has declined since the year 1970 and
precipitation has reduced in the autumn and the spring season over the agricultural regions. The
year 2014 has been the second hottest year on record (csiro.au/en 2018).
Figure 1: change in temperature from 1890 to 2010 [source: Earthobservatory.nasa.gov 2018]
Rationale
The different types of the agricultural sectors have a varied type of the capacity of taking
into account of the fluctuations with respect to availability of water. Dairy farmers and the
horticulturists have access to water although it is associated with drought and debt service, and it

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requires a constant service. Rising costs of water with reduced returns will have negative
outcomes both on the viticulture and the horticulture. Productivity will suffer for the agricultures
that have a lower per unit return. It is important to note that the productions will impact due to
the increased intrusion towards the grapes from the stone fruits. By the year 2030, a significant
reduction in the production will be noticed in the production of stone fruits. Later on a transition
will be noticed from the grapes to the citrus fruits when the salinity will rise by the year 2050
(Silberstein et al. 2012). As a result, the area devoted towards the cultivation of grapes will
reduce by about 7 percent and the area devoted towards the cultivation of the citrus will
eventually increase by about 30 percent. It has been found that the climate change will eventually
impact the Darling river system and it will lead to a disconnection system. The Darling river
system will finally stop its contribution to the Murray river. This means that the irrigated
agriculture cannot be practiced sustainably. It has also been estimated that the costs of securing
the water supplies for the horticultural crops will rise; in the future the agricultural patterns will
be devoid of the irrigational provisions; in the critical areas, the agricultural practices are most
likely to be affected due to the lack of irrigational facilities; changes in the crop will be a
common phenomenon; additionally a shift will be noticed in the agricultural that require more
irrigation like citrus and grapes to vegetables that require less water like rock melons and
tomatoes (Wheeler, Zuo and Bjornlund 2013).
Aims and objectives
The aims and objectives of this report is to design an action plan for the climate change
adaptation in the Southern Australia. The action plan will be designed so that the ca be in
accordance of the Paris Agreement on Climate change so that the temperature can be kept below
2oC by the year 2100. The focus of the action plan will exclusively take into account of all the

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regions in Southern Australia and will be based on the water resources. The action plan will
provide a holistic approach to mitigate the issues of water scarcity due to the climate change on
the industries like the Energy sector (Rogelj et al., 2016).
Action plan for adaptation
The action plan will include a holistic approach so that it can include the Energy sector.
The action plan will engage the aboriginals; develop climate resilient spaces, assets and
buildings; include an integrated water cycle management; urban planning; water and energy
security; primary industries and the coastal areas. The action plan will provide a proper guideline
in reducing the emissions within the year 2100 (figure 2).
Engaging the aboriginals into the adaptation plan: this action plan will require the and
recognise the traditional owners as the traditional owners of the plan and will include their
experience and knowledge that will relate to adaptation. The knowledge and the expertise of the
aboriginals will enhance the adaptation plan so that they can have an economic participation and
at the same time it will also respect the interests of the aboriginals during the transition of the
communities and economies (Ford 2012).
Development of the climate resilient spaces, assets, and buildings: assets and buildings
and the public spaces will be designed in a way so that they are climate resilient and climate
smart and the benefits of the climate resilient spaces, buildings and spaces will help in increasing
the wellbeing and health of the residents; reduced frequency of replacement of assets; urban
environments that will remain cool. This can be achieved through
 the integration of the urban design performances into the planning instruments,
and the integration of the buildings that are climate smart into the planning