Analysis of Tesco's Financial Performance
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The assignment provided is an analysis of Tesco's financial performance, which includes a review of its liquidity and efficiency position using various ratios such as current and quick ratios. It also examines the company's debt to equity ratio and interest coverage ratio, highlighting the potential risks associated with high debt levels. The report also discusses the UK's economic performance and employment rates, providing context for Tesco's financial situation.
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RUNNING HEAD: ECONOMICS AND FINANCE
Economics and financial analysis
Economics and financial analysis
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Economics and finance 1
Contents
Introduction...........................................................................................................................................2
Economic Data......................................................................................................................................2
Gross Domestic product....................................................................................................................2
Inflation.............................................................................................................................................3
Employment and unemployment level..............................................................................................4
Financial Data – Market analysis...........................................................................................................6
Financial Statements – Ratio Analysis..................................................................................................6
Liquidity ratios..................................................................................................................................7
Profitability ratios..............................................................................................................................7
Efficiency ratios.................................................................................................................................8
Capital structure ratio........................................................................................................................9
Conclusion...........................................................................................................................................10
References...........................................................................................................................................11
Contents
Introduction...........................................................................................................................................2
Economic Data......................................................................................................................................2
Gross Domestic product....................................................................................................................2
Inflation.............................................................................................................................................3
Employment and unemployment level..............................................................................................4
Financial Data – Market analysis...........................................................................................................6
Financial Statements – Ratio Analysis..................................................................................................6
Liquidity ratios..................................................................................................................................7
Profitability ratios..............................................................................................................................7
Efficiency ratios.................................................................................................................................8
Capital structure ratio........................................................................................................................9
Conclusion...........................................................................................................................................10
References...........................................................................................................................................11
Economics and finance 2
Introduction
This report contains the analysis of economic and financial data of the country and the
company operating in it. For this, United Kingdom’s economic data is analysed on the basis
of information provided by Office for National statistics and the financial data of Tesco Plc.
is taken from its official website and Financial Times. The report also contains a ratio
analysis followed by a conclusion including the findings.
Economic Data
United Kingdom has a highly developed and market oriented economy in the world.
According to nominal gross domestic product it is the sixth largest national economy. Also
the country is known for having the most globalised economy as it is made up of the
economies of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. Office for National Statistics is
the largest independent producer of official statistics of United Kingdom. It is also recognized
as national statistical institute of UK. All the data related to country’s GDP, inflation prices,
unemployment and employment levels, population and many more is available on the official
website of the institute. Following economic data is been taken from the website:
Gross Domestic product
GDP is the main economic indicator which is used to measure the performance of a country’s
economy. According to the statistical bulletin, UK GDP has increased by 0.4% in the fourth
quarter of 2017 as compare to quarter 3. The major contribution in the growth came from the
UK service sector. There has been an overall increase of 0.6% in services and positive growth
was reported between quarter 3 and quarter 4 2017. In addition to this, business investment
also grew by 2.1% in the last quarter, comparing to that of in 2016. Household spending
increases by 1.8% between 2016 and 2017 (Ons.gov.uk. 2018).
Introduction
This report contains the analysis of economic and financial data of the country and the
company operating in it. For this, United Kingdom’s economic data is analysed on the basis
of information provided by Office for National statistics and the financial data of Tesco Plc.
is taken from its official website and Financial Times. The report also contains a ratio
analysis followed by a conclusion including the findings.
Economic Data
United Kingdom has a highly developed and market oriented economy in the world.
According to nominal gross domestic product it is the sixth largest national economy. Also
the country is known for having the most globalised economy as it is made up of the
economies of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. Office for National Statistics is
the largest independent producer of official statistics of United Kingdom. It is also recognized
as national statistical institute of UK. All the data related to country’s GDP, inflation prices,
unemployment and employment levels, population and many more is available on the official
website of the institute. Following economic data is been taken from the website:
Gross Domestic product
GDP is the main economic indicator which is used to measure the performance of a country’s
economy. According to the statistical bulletin, UK GDP has increased by 0.4% in the fourth
quarter of 2017 as compare to quarter 3. The major contribution in the growth came from the
UK service sector. There has been an overall increase of 0.6% in services and positive growth
was reported between quarter 3 and quarter 4 2017. In addition to this, business investment
also grew by 2.1% in the last quarter, comparing to that of in 2016. Household spending
increases by 1.8% between 2016 and 2017 (Ons.gov.uk. 2018).
Economics and finance 3
(Source: Office for National Statistics).
From the above figure it is observed that GDP of UK continues to rise after facing the
downfall in year 2009. When measuring the GDP growth in volume terms, it has increased by
1.4% in quarter 4 2017 as compare to quarter 4 2016.
Inflation
Increase in prices of goods and services is generally defined by the term Inflation. The factors
which are to measure inflation are consumer price and producer price inflation and house
price index. The statistical bulletin states following points:
The CPI including owner occupiers’ housing cost (CPIH) has a 12 month inflation
rate of 2.5% in February 2018. The same was 2.7% in January 2018.
Transport and food prices brings the largest downward contribution. In addition to
this, fall in the prices of accommodation services also has a downward effect.
High prices of footwear make an upward contribution to the change (Gooding, 2018).
(Source: Office for National Statistics).
From the above figure it is observed that GDP of UK continues to rise after facing the
downfall in year 2009. When measuring the GDP growth in volume terms, it has increased by
1.4% in quarter 4 2017 as compare to quarter 4 2016.
Inflation
Increase in prices of goods and services is generally defined by the term Inflation. The factors
which are to measure inflation are consumer price and producer price inflation and house
price index. The statistical bulletin states following points:
The CPI including owner occupiers’ housing cost (CPIH) has a 12 month inflation
rate of 2.5% in February 2018. The same was 2.7% in January 2018.
Transport and food prices brings the largest downward contribution. In addition to
this, fall in the prices of accommodation services also has a downward effect.
High prices of footwear make an upward contribution to the change (Gooding, 2018).
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Economics and finance 4
(Source: Office for National Statistics).
The above figures compare the 12-months inflation rate for CPI and CPIH including the rates
for OOH also. The current inflation rate of UK is 2.5%.
Employment and unemployment level
The current employment rate prevailing in UK is 75.3% (aged 16 to 64). According to the
survey done by Labour Force, the level of employment and unemployment both has increased
along with the rise in the employment rate. The unemployment rate was 4.3%, comparatively
lower than that of in 2016 (Clegg, 2018).
The below figures shows the employment and unemployement rate for the period starting
from 1997 to 2017. It is observed that, many fluctuations were there in the unemployment
rate and after 1992, the rate continues to decrease except the period of 2010-2013, where a
slightest increase was noticed. On the other hand, employment rate remains almost stable and
in 2017, it has incraesed (Clegg, 2018).
(Source: Office for National Statistics).
The above figures compare the 12-months inflation rate for CPI and CPIH including the rates
for OOH also. The current inflation rate of UK is 2.5%.
Employment and unemployment level
The current employment rate prevailing in UK is 75.3% (aged 16 to 64). According to the
survey done by Labour Force, the level of employment and unemployment both has increased
along with the rise in the employment rate. The unemployment rate was 4.3%, comparatively
lower than that of in 2016 (Clegg, 2018).
The below figures shows the employment and unemployement rate for the period starting
from 1997 to 2017. It is observed that, many fluctuations were there in the unemployment
rate and after 1992, the rate continues to decrease except the period of 2010-2013, where a
slightest increase was noticed. On the other hand, employment rate remains almost stable and
in 2017, it has incraesed (Clegg, 2018).
Economics and finance 5
(Source: Office for National Statistics).
(Source: Office for National Statistics).
Financial Data – Market analysis
Tesco PLC is a UK based company, which deals in providing retailing services including
banking and insurance services also. It provides a wide variety of personal banking products,
credit cards, mortgages and many more. According to the data updated on financial times, the
(Source: Office for National Statistics).
(Source: Office for National Statistics).
Financial Data – Market analysis
Tesco PLC is a UK based company, which deals in providing retailing services including
banking and insurance services also. It provides a wide variety of personal banking products,
credit cards, mortgages and many more. According to the data updated on financial times, the
Economics and finance 6
current share price of Tesco is 202.90 (GBX). The total shares traded as of now are 24.66
million. The company was incorporated in 1997 and currently 133.04k workers are working
in it (Tesco plc. 2018).
(Source: FT.Com 2018).
The above figure shows the peer analysis of the company. When compare to its closest
competitors, Tesco PLC has the highest revenue of 56.93 billion (GBX), along with the
highest net income and market cap. Also the number employees of Tesco are more than its
competitors. The financial times also report about the institutional shareholders of the
company. Norges Bank Investment Management, holds majority of Tesco’s shares with
5.27% of holdings (Markets.ft.com. 2018).
Beta factor is used for measuring the fluctuations in the stock prices of a company. Tesco has
a beta of 0.885 which implies that the stock is less volatile than the market. In other words, a
market return of 10% would imply a gain of 80% for the company. This means currently
Tesco’s stock are providing less returns than the market (Markets.ft.com. 2018).
Financial Statements – Ratio Analysis
A financial analysis tool used for measuring company’s profitability, efficiency, liquidity and
capital structure ratios. It consists of different types of ratios that reflects financial and other
aspects of the organization. Ratio analysis help is identifying the overall financial structure by
critically analysing the financial statements of the company (Tracy, 2012). According to the
Tesco PLC annual report, following ratios are been calculated:
current share price of Tesco is 202.90 (GBX). The total shares traded as of now are 24.66
million. The company was incorporated in 1997 and currently 133.04k workers are working
in it (Tesco plc. 2018).
(Source: FT.Com 2018).
The above figure shows the peer analysis of the company. When compare to its closest
competitors, Tesco PLC has the highest revenue of 56.93 billion (GBX), along with the
highest net income and market cap. Also the number employees of Tesco are more than its
competitors. The financial times also report about the institutional shareholders of the
company. Norges Bank Investment Management, holds majority of Tesco’s shares with
5.27% of holdings (Markets.ft.com. 2018).
Beta factor is used for measuring the fluctuations in the stock prices of a company. Tesco has
a beta of 0.885 which implies that the stock is less volatile than the market. In other words, a
market return of 10% would imply a gain of 80% for the company. This means currently
Tesco’s stock are providing less returns than the market (Markets.ft.com. 2018).
Financial Statements – Ratio Analysis
A financial analysis tool used for measuring company’s profitability, efficiency, liquidity and
capital structure ratios. It consists of different types of ratios that reflects financial and other
aspects of the organization. Ratio analysis help is identifying the overall financial structure by
critically analysing the financial statements of the company (Tracy, 2012). According to the
Tesco PLC annual report, following ratios are been calculated:
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Economics and finance 7
Liquidity ratios
The ability of a company to meet its financial obligation with its liquid assets is determined
by measuring liquidity ratios. These are current ratio and quick ratio (Parrino, Kidwell and
Bates, 2011).
2016 2017
-
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Liquidity Ratio
Current ratio Quick ratio
Years
Values
From the above figure, it can be said that Tesco has a current ratio of 4.61 in 2016 which is
more than that of in 2017. Similarly, the quick ratio has also decreased over the year, in 2016
it was 3.85 and in 2017 it was 3.29. However, both the ratios are more than their ideal ratios.
The reason for this decline is, the increase in the current assets is less as compare to that of in
current liabilities. But, the ratios are high and it shows that company is able to manage its
obligations effectively with its liquid assets.
Profitability ratios
Examination of the company’s financial accounts to determine the profitability position or to
know about the potentiality of a company in aspect of generating profits from the operations,
is done by calculating various profitability ratios (Jenter and Lewellen, 2015).
Liquidity ratios
The ability of a company to meet its financial obligation with its liquid assets is determined
by measuring liquidity ratios. These are current ratio and quick ratio (Parrino, Kidwell and
Bates, 2011).
2016 2017
-
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Liquidity Ratio
Current ratio Quick ratio
Years
Values
From the above figure, it can be said that Tesco has a current ratio of 4.61 in 2016 which is
more than that of in 2017. Similarly, the quick ratio has also decreased over the year, in 2016
it was 3.85 and in 2017 it was 3.29. However, both the ratios are more than their ideal ratios.
The reason for this decline is, the increase in the current assets is less as compare to that of in
current liabilities. But, the ratios are high and it shows that company is able to manage its
obligations effectively with its liquid assets.
Profitability ratios
Examination of the company’s financial accounts to determine the profitability position or to
know about the potentiality of a company in aspect of generating profits from the operations,
is done by calculating various profitability ratios (Jenter and Lewellen, 2015).
Economics and finance 8
2016 2017
-2.00%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Profitability ratio
Operating Profit Margin Net Profit Margin Return on Equity
Return on Total assets Gross Profit Ratio
Years
%
The graphical representation done above shows all the profitability ratios of Tesco PLC. It
can be seen that among all the ratios, Gross profit ratio is the highest with 5.19% in 2017,
though reduced. The operating profit margin of Tesco is reduced to 1.82% in recent past year.
The reason behind this is that the increase in Tesco’s EBIT is comparatively less than the
upsurge in its revenue. In 2017, a negative trend was noticed in company’s net profit margin,
ROE and ROA, while the same was positive in 2016. It was reported in the annual reports of
Tesco that the company has made a loss of £54 million which led to negative returns on
equity and assets.
Efficiency ratios
These ratios helps in determining how a company uses its available resources. They shows
the efficiency of the company in managing its receivables. Payables and inventory (Bragg,
2012). Following are the ratios calculated for Tesco.
2016 2017
-2.00%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
Profitability ratio
Operating Profit Margin Net Profit Margin Return on Equity
Return on Total assets Gross Profit Ratio
Years
%
The graphical representation done above shows all the profitability ratios of Tesco PLC. It
can be seen that among all the ratios, Gross profit ratio is the highest with 5.19% in 2017,
though reduced. The operating profit margin of Tesco is reduced to 1.82% in recent past year.
The reason behind this is that the increase in Tesco’s EBIT is comparatively less than the
upsurge in its revenue. In 2017, a negative trend was noticed in company’s net profit margin,
ROE and ROA, while the same was positive in 2016. It was reported in the annual reports of
Tesco that the company has made a loss of £54 million which led to negative returns on
equity and assets.
Efficiency ratios
These ratios helps in determining how a company uses its available resources. They shows
the efficiency of the company in managing its receivables. Payables and inventory (Bragg,
2012). Following are the ratios calculated for Tesco.
Economics and finance 9
2017
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
Efficiency ratios
Receivable tunover ratio Creditor turnover ratio
Inventory turnover ratio Assets turnover ratio
Years
Values
Tesco has a high debtor’s turnover ratio which implies that company is efficient enough in
maintain its debtors and can realise them on time. The inventory is also high which is a good
sign of Tesco’s efficiency is as it shows that the inventory in the business is moving fast and
company is capable of converting it into cash. Taking about creditor’s turnover, in 2017 it
was 6.18 which is lower than the DTR. It is a good sign as it indicates that Tesco collects its
receivables earlier than paying to its payables. Thus, it can be said that Tesco will never run
out of cash in the business. The ATR of the company is 1.25 which means the sales generated
by Tesco is 1.25 times of its total assets.
Capital structure ratio
These are the ratios which gives an idea about the financial strength of the company. Most
common ratio used is debt/equity ratio, as it reflects the portion of debt taken by the company
against its equity funds. (Ferrarini, Hinojales and Scaramozzino, 2017).
2017
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
Efficiency ratios
Receivable tunover ratio Creditor turnover ratio
Inventory turnover ratio Assets turnover ratio
Years
Values
Tesco has a high debtor’s turnover ratio which implies that company is efficient enough in
maintain its debtors and can realise them on time. The inventory is also high which is a good
sign of Tesco’s efficiency is as it shows that the inventory in the business is moving fast and
company is capable of converting it into cash. Taking about creditor’s turnover, in 2017 it
was 6.18 which is lower than the DTR. It is a good sign as it indicates that Tesco collects its
receivables earlier than paying to its payables. Thus, it can be said that Tesco will never run
out of cash in the business. The ATR of the company is 1.25 which means the sales generated
by Tesco is 1.25 times of its total assets.
Capital structure ratio
These are the ratios which gives an idea about the financial strength of the company. Most
common ratio used is debt/equity ratio, as it reflects the portion of debt taken by the company
against its equity funds. (Ferrarini, Hinojales and Scaramozzino, 2017).
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Economics and finance 10
2016 2017
-
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
Capital structure ratio
Debt- equity Intrest coverage ratio
Years
Values
The above figure shows measurement of Debt/equity and interest coverage ratio. Both these
ratios are used to measure the financial strength of the company. From the calculations done,
it can be said that D/E ratio of Tesco has increased to 1.10 from 0.88. This means company
has borrowed funds during the year and most of its assets are financed through debt. This
upsurge can be seen in the total liabilities of Tesco in its recent annual report. Interest
coverage shows that how much time a company can make its interest payment from its EBIT.
The ratio has been reduced to 1.17 from 1.23 in recent past year. Reason being the reduction
in the interest expense of the company.
Conclusion
The above report concluded that the UK’s economy is performing well and also the
employment rates has increased. Talking about the financial performance of Tesco, it can be
said that apart from the returns on equity and net profit, the company has a good liquidity and
efficiency position. However, it has a great financial risk because of high debt to equity ratio.
2016 2017
-
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
Capital structure ratio
Debt- equity Intrest coverage ratio
Years
Values
The above figure shows measurement of Debt/equity and interest coverage ratio. Both these
ratios are used to measure the financial strength of the company. From the calculations done,
it can be said that D/E ratio of Tesco has increased to 1.10 from 0.88. This means company
has borrowed funds during the year and most of its assets are financed through debt. This
upsurge can be seen in the total liabilities of Tesco in its recent annual report. Interest
coverage shows that how much time a company can make its interest payment from its EBIT.
The ratio has been reduced to 1.17 from 1.23 in recent past year. Reason being the reduction
in the interest expense of the company.
Conclusion
The above report concluded that the UK’s economy is performing well and also the
employment rates has increased. Talking about the financial performance of Tesco, it can be
said that apart from the returns on equity and net profit, the company has a good liquidity and
efficiency position. However, it has a great financial risk because of high debt to equity ratio.
Economics and finance 11
References
Bragg, S. M. (2012). Business ratios and formulas: a comprehensive guide (Vol. 577). 3rd ed.
New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons.
Clegg, R. (2018). UK labour market - Office for National Statistics. [Online] Ons.gov.uk.
Available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemploye
etypes/bulletins/uklabourmarket/march2018 [Accessed 25 March 2018].
Clegg, R. (2018). UK labour market - Office for National Statistics. [Online] Ons.gov.uk.
Available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemploye
etypes/bulletins/uklabourmarket/march2018 [Accessed 25 March 2018].
Ferrarini, B., Hinojales, M. and Scaramozzino, P. (2017). Leverage and Capital Structure
Determinants of Chinese Listed Companies.
Gooding, P. (2018). Consumer price inflation, UK - Office for National Statistics. [Online]
Ons.gov.uk. Available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/
february2018 [Accessed 25 March 2018].
Higgins, R. C. (2012). Analysis for financial management. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Jenter, D., and Lewellen, K. (2015). CEO preferences and acquisitions. The Journal of
Finance, 70(6), 2813-2852.
Markets.ft.com. (2018). Tesco PLC, TSCO: LSE profile. [Online] Available at:
https://markets.ft.com/data/equities/tearsheet/profile?s=TSCO:LSE [Accessed 25 Mar. 2018].
References
Bragg, S. M. (2012). Business ratios and formulas: a comprehensive guide (Vol. 577). 3rd ed.
New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons.
Clegg, R. (2018). UK labour market - Office for National Statistics. [Online] Ons.gov.uk.
Available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemploye
etypes/bulletins/uklabourmarket/march2018 [Accessed 25 March 2018].
Clegg, R. (2018). UK labour market - Office for National Statistics. [Online] Ons.gov.uk.
Available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemploye
etypes/bulletins/uklabourmarket/march2018 [Accessed 25 March 2018].
Ferrarini, B., Hinojales, M. and Scaramozzino, P. (2017). Leverage and Capital Structure
Determinants of Chinese Listed Companies.
Gooding, P. (2018). Consumer price inflation, UK - Office for National Statistics. [Online]
Ons.gov.uk. Available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/
february2018 [Accessed 25 March 2018].
Higgins, R. C. (2012). Analysis for financial management. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Jenter, D., and Lewellen, K. (2015). CEO preferences and acquisitions. The Journal of
Finance, 70(6), 2813-2852.
Markets.ft.com. (2018). Tesco PLC, TSCO: LSE profile. [Online] Available at:
https://markets.ft.com/data/equities/tearsheet/profile?s=TSCO:LSE [Accessed 25 Mar. 2018].
Economics and finance 12
Ons.gov.uk. (2018). Second estimate of GDP - Office for National Statistics. [Online]
Available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/secondestimateofgdp/
octobertodecember2017 [Accessed 25 March 2018].
Parrino, R., Kidwell, D. S., and Bates, T. (2011). Fundamentals of corporate finance. 2nd ed.
USA: John Wiley & Sons.
Tesco plc. (2018). Tesco PLC. [Online] Available at: https://www.tescoplc.com/ [Accessed
25 Mar. 2018].
Tracy, A. (2012). Ratio analysis fundamentals: how 17 financial ratios can allow you to
analyse any business on the planet. RatioAnalysis. net.
Ons.gov.uk. (2018). Second estimate of GDP - Office for National Statistics. [Online]
Available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/secondestimateofgdp/
octobertodecember2017 [Accessed 25 March 2018].
Parrino, R., Kidwell, D. S., and Bates, T. (2011). Fundamentals of corporate finance. 2nd ed.
USA: John Wiley & Sons.
Tesco plc. (2018). Tesco PLC. [Online] Available at: https://www.tescoplc.com/ [Accessed
25 Mar. 2018].
Tracy, A. (2012). Ratio analysis fundamentals: how 17 financial ratios can allow you to
analyse any business on the planet. RatioAnalysis. net.
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