Factors Affecting UK Origin Company, AMINEX Business Expansion in China
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This research examines the factors affecting the UK origin business in China, taking the case of AMINEX. The study identifies the major factors affecting UK based companies in China and recommends appropriate policies for AMINEX to establish its business in China.
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Factors affecting UK origin company, AMINEX business expansion in China Contents Introduction.......................................................................................................................................1 Literature Review..............................................................................................................................2 Methodology.....................................................................................................................................2 Data analysis and Findings................................................................................................................3 Conclusion and Recommendation.....................................................................................................8 Abstract This research is aimed to examine the factors affecting the UK origin business in China. For the analysis purpose the case of AMINEX has been taken into consideration. Secondary data has been collected for the time period 2005- 2016. The profit of the company has been taken as the dependent variable whereas the inflow of FDI, currency exchange rate and the net exports as the independent variables. Both the descriptive and the inferential analysis has been conducted using the SPSS. Results from the analysis shows that only net exports shows significant impact on the dependent variable. Introduction China is one of the largest economy in as per the purchasing power, which has made it one of the main attraction for some of the big firms around the world. China not only provide the good business environment and cheap labor to the industries, but it is also one of the largest market in the world. It has the largest population in the world which is the huge market for any products/services in the world. In the last two decades many big firms have shifter their manufacturing business to China. However there are many factors which affect the business expansion in China. Some of the companies are able to generate huge profit by shifting and expanding their business to China, whereas on the other hand some of the business are not able to do well ever after entering the largest market in the world. So this researchβs main objective is to examine the factors affecting the business expansion of companies based in UKinChina.ForthecurrentresearchthecaseofAMINEXhasbeentakeninto consideration. The research will help to analyse and identify the major affecting the UK based companies in China which can be used by the business world to frame their policies before entering China, so that the loss can be minimized. Furthermore the research can also be used by government to analyse and evaluate the performance of the UK based companies in China and to frame the effective policies so that China remains attractive for other UK based companies also. In the current research the case of AMINEX has been taken into consideration. AMINEX PLC is one of the largest UK based companies which is majorly involved in the producing upstream oil and gas. The firm is listed on London Stock Exchange and also on the Irish Stock Exchange (AEX). The company has already expanded its business in Tanzania and now looking to expand in China. However before entering China, it is important to know the
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business environment, macro-economic environment of China and also the trends in the related industry. There are many previous studies focused on factoring affecting the business expansion of foreign firms in China. However, there are limited studies which focus on the business expansion of the UK based firms and especially in the petroleum and the gas industry. So the current research has been conducted to fill the gap in existing literature. Aims and objective of the research: The main aim of the current search are as follows: ο·To identify the factors affecting the UK origin companies in China ο·To examine the impact of each factors on the business expansion of AMINEX in China ο·To recommend appropriate policies ( based on results) so that the AMINEX can establish its business in China Research Questions: The current research will try to examine the research questions given below: Q1: What are the factors affecting the business expansion of UK based companies in China? Q2: Which factors have the significant impact on the business expansion of AMINEX in China? Literature Review China has become one of the major attraction for multinational corporations after the 1979 reforms. It has opted for the open economy policy which was very restricted prior to the reform. Also the Chinese government has set the target of quadrupling the GDP by 2020. So the Chinese government has focused on improving its ease of doing business ranking and it has improved significantly. There are many factors which have led to increase in foreign business in China(Finamore Barbara 2016). One of the major factors is the inflow of FDI in China. There has been significant increase in the inflow of FDI in China and it has received the higher amount of FDI ahead of United States. The inflow of FDI also brings the foreign technology and knowledge also which increase the efficiency and also improve the productivity of the labour. Over the years both the technology and the productivity of the labour has improved and also the cost of labour has also declined. So, in this research also FDI has been taken as one of the factors(Grandhi 2016; Lee & Oh 2015; Wei 2010; Lan et al. 2012). Another factors affecting the foreign origin business is the net exports. China economy is export led economy which has been one of the main reason the slowdown in the economy when the exports declined. However higher exports has become one of the key factors for foreign companies to expand business in China. The foreign firms can take the advantage of thelowcostandexportsitsproductsworldwide.Sothesecondfactorstakeninto consideration in the current research is higher exports from China and many previous research scholars has also mentioned this as one of the major factors(Khandare 2016; Fauzi & Chee 2013).
Furthermore the currency exchange rate of is another factor which has been taken by many previous research also. The exchange rate plays an important role in the international business as the exchange rate determines how much the import and export costs(Zhu 2012; Granneman & Dijk 2015; Xing & Pradhananga 2013). . Methodology The current research is aimed to examine the factors affecting the UK origin business in China, taking the case of AMINEX which is one of the largest firm in UK in the petroleum and gas industry. For the analysis purpose secondary data has been collected. In the current research the profit of the AMINEX has been taken as the dependent variable whereas on the other hand the inflow of foreign direct investment, currency exchange rate and net exports has been taken as the independent variables. The data for the profit of the company has been extracted from the annual report of the company from 2005 to 2016. Similarly the data for the currency exchange rate, net exports has been extracted from the data base of IMF and The World Bank. Lastly the data for the inflow of FDI has been taken from the data base of UNITAD. Data analysis procedure Since the prime objective is to analyse the effect of each factors on the business expansion in China, both the descriptive and the inferential analysis has been taken into consideration. For the descriptive analysis the different measures of the central tendencies such as mean, median, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis has been calculated. Furthermore the regression and the correlation analysis has been performed as a part of the inferential analysis. The correlation analysis helps to examine the relationship between two variables whereas the regression analysis helps to find the effect of the explanatory factors on the dependent variable. Data analysis and Findings In this section the findings from analysis of the data has been presented. In the initial part the findings from the descriptive analysis is discussed. In the next part findings from the normality test is shown. Furthermore in the next section the results from the inferential analysis has been shows which includes the correlation and the regression analysis. Descriptive statistics Findings for the descriptive statistics have been shown in the table below. For the descriptive statistics various measures of the central tendencies such as the mean and median has been shown, along with standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis, maximum and the minimum value. Statistics
FDINet Exportsprofitofthe company exchange rate NValid12121212 Missing0000 Mean96524.91671390949.333 3 2228611.000 0 8.1775 Median101656.00001325574.500 0 2348237.000 0 8.0650 Mode53505.00a438228.00a1076386.00a5.23a Std. Deviation27067.48741638419.8335 2 690000.8496 5 1.89178 Variance732648874.8 11 40757988383 7.697 47610117251 3.636 3.579 Skewness-.326.051-.533.104 Std.Errorof Skewness .637.637.637.637 Kurtosis-1.555-1.244-.508-1.078 Std.Errorof Kurtosis 1.2321.2321.2321.232 Minimum53505.00438228.001076386.005.23 Maximum128500.002342293.003246000.0011.23 a. Multiple modes exist. The smallest value is shown As shown in the result above, the first variable is the FDI and it shows that on an average 96524 million FDI comes into the Chinese economy each year. However the median value of the FDI is different from the mean value. Many statisticians and the economist argues that median is the better measure of the central tendency as compared to the mean value. This is because the mean value is affected by the extreme values which is not the case in median. Furthermore the standard deviation shows that there is huge variation in the inflow of FDI. Similarly the minimum and the maximum inflow of FDI is 53505 million and 128500 million respectively. The second independent variable included in the current study is the net exports from the country. China is one of the largest exporters in the world. Since it a manufacturing hub it has also become the exports hub and a significant percentage of the Chinese GDP is based on exports. Results from the analysis shows that the average exports from China is $ 1390949 million per year with the standard deviation of 638419.83 which is very high. On the basis of these values it can be said that there is high variation in the data for net exports. The minimumandthe maximumvalueof the netexportsarealso 438228 and 2342293 respectively, which also indicates higher variation in the data set. The third independent variable is the currency exchange rate which is also one of the major factors for the international business. The exchange determine whether the imports/exports are cheaper or expensive. If the currency of the one country appreciates against the other currency then the more amount of goods can be bought with less currency. However in case
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of the currency depreciation more money has to be given for the same amount of goods. So, currency exchange plays an very important role in international business. Results from the current research shows that the average currency rate between china and the UK is 8.177. In other words one pound sterling is equal to the 8.177 Chinese yuan. Similarly the minimum and the maximum value of the exchange rate is 5.23 and 11.23 respectively. This shows that there has been huge variation in the exchange rate between China and UK. This is because the Chinese currency has gain much value in last two decades as its economy grew. Lastly the descriptive statistics of the dependent variable is also shown in the table above. The dependent variable for the current case is the profit of the AMINEX Company. Results shows that the average profit of the company between 2005 and 2016 is 2228611 with standard deviation of $69000. This shows that there is high variation in the profit of the company. A low value of the standard deviation indicates that there is low variation in the data set or most of the values lies around the mean value. On the other hand the high value of the standard deviation indicates that there is high variation in the data set and most of the data points lies far from the mean value of the series. One interesting analysis for the profit data is that the profit of the companyβs profit has declined in the last few years. There may be various reasons behind the decline in the profit of the firms such as higher competition, increasing cost and increasing inefficiencies in the process. Test of Normality Time series data has been for the current research so normality of the test is important.To test the normality both the Kolmogrorov βSmirnov and the Shapiro-Wilk teste has been performed and the findings are shown in the table below. Tests of Normality Kolmogorov-SmirnovaShapiro-Wilk StatisticdfSig.StatisticdfSig. FDI.16812.200*.90012.160 Net Exports.12012.200*.95612.725 profitofthe company .16112.200*.93712.461 exchange rate.10012.200*.97212.928 *. This is a lower bound of the true significance. a. Lilliefors Significance Correction As shown in the table above, the significance value for FDI is 0.2, which indicates that we cannot reject the null hypothesis. In this case the null hypothesis is that the variable follows the normal distribution. So, one can conclude that the FDI follows the normal distribution. Similarly for all other variables also the significance value is higher than 0.05. This indicates that none of the values are significant at 95 % confidence interval. Since we fail to reject the null hypothesis, it can be concluded that all the variables included in the research follows the normal distribution. Therefore further analysis can be conducted. Correlation analysis
Analysis of the Correlation is used to examine the two variablesβ relationship. The value of the correlation is from -1 to +1. Among the two values -1 refers that two variables are negatively and perfectly correlated, whereas on the other hand the correlation coefficient of +1 refers that variables are perfectly and positively related. However it should be noted that the correlation does not necessarily imply the causation.Results for the correlation analysis for this research is presented in following table. Correlations profitofthe company FDINet Exports exchange rate profitofthe company Pearson Correlation 1-.876**-.947**.235 Sig. (2-tailed).000.000.463 N12121212 FDI Pearson Correlation -.876**1.969**-.549 Sig. (2-tailed).000.000.064 N12121212 Net Exports Pearson Correlation -.947**.969**1-.372 Sig. (2-tailed).000.000.234 N12121212 exchange rate Pearson Correlation .235-.549-.3721 Sig. (2-tailed).463.064.234 N12121212 **. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). Results shows that the dependent variable is negatively correlated with the inflow of FDI. Similarly the correlation between the dependent variable and net exports is also negative and statistically significant. Lastly the correlation between exchange rate and the dependent variable is positive, however the correlation is not statistically significant at 5 %. Furthermore the correlation among other independent variables is also statistically significant, so further analysis can be conducted by taking into consideration these variables. Regression analysis The regression is used to measure how the explanatory variables affect the dependent variable. Thisis measured through the value of regression coefficients. If the coefficient is greater than 0 it can be concluded that the explanatory variable positively affect the dependent variable. On the other hand if the regression coefficient is negative, it implies that thattheexplanatoryvariablenegativelyaffectthedependentvariable.Thestatistical significance of the variable is analysed using p values.
Model Summaryb ModelRR SquareAdjustedR Square Std. Error of the Estimate Durbin- Watson 1.962a.925.897221123.3673 9 1.922 a. Predictors: (Constant), exchange rate, Net Exports, FDI b. Dependent Variable: profit of the company Finding of the model summary shows that the value of R squared is 0.925 which indicates that the explanatory variables in the equation are able to explain 92 % of the variation in the dependent variable. The R squared of 0.92 is considered to be very good in terms of goodness fit of the model. ANOVAa ModelSumof Squares dfMean SquareFSig. 1 Regression s 48459485488 13.059 316153161829 37.686 33.036.000b Residual39116434883 6.940 848895543604 .618 Total52371128976 49.999 11 a. Dependent Variable: profit of the company b. Predictors: (Constant), exchange rate, Net Exports, FDI The results from the ANOVA measure the cumulative effect of the independent variables on the dependent variable. In this case the F value of 33.036 is statistically significant at 5 % so it can be concluded that the cumulative effect of the explanatory factors on the dependent variable is statistically significant. Coefficientsa ModelUnstandardized CoefficientsStandardized Coefficients tSig.Collinearity Statistics BStd. ErrorBetaToleranceVIF 1 (Constant)2737402.2051274334.4412.148.064 FDI19.99117.303.7841.155.281.02049.350 Net Exports-1.830.660-1.693-2.771.024.02539.988 exchange rate13100.75266292.454.036.198.848.2833.538 a. Dependent Variable: profit of the company
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. As the results shows that FDI and the exchange rate has positive impact on the profit of the company, whereas the net exports shows negative impact. Also the regression coefficient of net exports is statistically significant at 5 % whereas other two variables do not show significant results. One can interpret the coefficient of net exports as, with one percent increase in the net exports the profit of the company decreases by 1.83 units holding all other factors constant. Furthermore the results from the collinearity indicates that there is no problem of multicollinearity in the regression equation. Hypothesis testing. H1: Null: There is no significant effect of Foreign Direct Investment on profit of the company. Alternative: There is significant impact of Foreign Direct Investment on the profit of the company. Since the results from the regression coefficient shows that the coefficient of FDI is not statistically significant the null hypothesis cannot be rejected. H2: Null: There is no significant impact of net exports on profit of the company. Alternative: There is significant impact of net exports on the profit of the company. Results from the regression coefficients shows that the coefficient of net exports of the net exports is statistically significant, so the null hypothesis can be rejected. H3: Null: There is no significant impact of currency exchange rate on profit of the company. Alternative: There is significant impact of currency exchange rate on the profit of the company. The regression results shows that the coefficient of the currency exchange rate is not statistically significant, the null hypothesis cannot be rejected. Conclusion and Recommendation The main aim of the current research is to investigate the factors affecting the UK origin businessinChina.Toanalysethesame,theAMINEXCompanywastakeninto consideration.For the analysis purpose data was collected for the time period 2005 β 2016.
The profit of the selected company was taken as the dependent variables whereas the independent variables in the study includes the inflow of FDI, net exports and the currency exchange rate. The review of the existing literature also identify these factors as the most important factors. Data analysis was conducted using various descriptive and inferential techniques. Results from the analysis shows that there has been declining trend in the profit of the company in the recent years. Also there is high variation in the inflow of FDI. Furthermore the results from regression analysis shows that the FDI and currency exchange rate shows positive impact on the dependent variable, whereas net exports has negative impact on the profit of the company. Only the net exports shows significant impact. On the basis of the results from the analysis it can be concluded that the exports from China is the main factor and the AMINEX should focus frame their strategies for net exports. This is because it has shown negative impact on profit of company. References Fauzi, H. & Chee, W.C., 2013. The Contribution of Economic Sectors to Economic Growth: TheCasesofChinaandIndia.InternationalJournalofAcademicResearchin Economics and Management Sciences, 2(2), pp.38β53. Finamore Barbara, 2016. How China is Taking Major Steps to Control Shipping Air Pollution | NRDC.Natural Resources Defense Council. Geng, Z. et al., 2016. The effects of the interest rates on bank risk in China.International Journal of Engineering Business Management, 8, pp.1β7. Grandhi, K., 2016. IMF warns that an economic crisis in China could cause global recession again.International Business Times. Granneman, A. & Dijk, M.P. van, 2015. Foreign Direct Investment in China, the Factors Determining a Preference for Investing in Eastern or Western Provinces.Modern Economy, 6, pp.924β936. Honglei, C., Xiaorong, Z. & Qiufeng, C., 2010. Export-oriented Economy & Environmental Pollution in China: the Empirical Study by Simultaneous Equation Model.Energy Procedia, 5, pp.884β889. Khandare, V., 2016. Impact of exchange rate on FDI: A comparative study of India and China. , 2(3), pp.599β602.
Lan, J., Kakinaka, M. & Huang, X., 2012. Foreign Direct Investment, Human Capital and Environmental Pollution in China.Environ Resource Econ, 51, pp.255β275. Lee, S. & Oh, D.-W., 2015. Economic growth and the environment in China: Emperical evidence using prefecture level data.China Economic Review, 36, pp.73β85. Morrison, W.M., 2014. China β s Economic Rise : History , Trends , Challenges , and Implications for the United States. Wei, H., 2010.Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Development in China and East Asia. The Universityof Birmingham. Xing, Y. & Pradhananga, M., 2013.How Important is Exports and FDI for Chinaβs Economic Growth?, Minato-ku,. Zhu,X.,2012. UnderstandingChinaβsGrowth:Past,Present,andFuture.Journalof Eoconomic Perspectives, 26(4), pp.103β124.