Question 1 Risk Calculation using Standard Deviation Population Standard Deviation: SampleStandard Deviation: Example: Values: 4, 6, 8, 12, 20, 30, 24, 28, 40, 48 Mean = Sum of Values/Total No. of Values = (4+6+8+12+20+30+24+28+40+44) / 10 = 22 (Value-Mean)2= [(4-22)2=324, (6-22)2=256, (8-22)2=196, (12-22)2=100, (20-22)2=4, (30- 22)2=64, (24-22)2=4, (28-22)2=36, (40-22)2=324, (48-22)2=676] Mean of Squared Values = (324+256+196+100+4+64+4+36+324+676) / 10 = 198.4 Standard deviation = [{Sum of (Value-Mean)2} / Total No. of Values]1/2 = (198.4)1/2= 14.08545 Risk measurement is the core concern for a smart investor, for which standard deviation is most commonly used measurement metrics.Standard deviation is best measure for calculating dispersion, widely used in studyingvariabilityof returns of an investment from a particular strategy (Damodaran, 2016). It is often interpreted as a measure of the degree of uncertainty, and thus risk, associated with a particular security or investment portfolio. The base assumption while using standard deviation to measure risk in thestock is a normal distribution. Here 68% times value fall within a single standard deviation of the mean; 95% time’s values are within two standard deviations of mean and 99.7% times within 3 standard
deviations of the mean (Vernimmen, 2014). Like here if the stock price is $100 and SD is $14.08, 65% chance that price is in range of $114 to $86; 95% certain for the price to range between $128 to $72; and 99.7% certainty to range between $142 to $ 58. Probability distribution makes use of finding the possibility of getting the desired stock price in order to assess the return as calculated in association with the risk factor making use of standard deviation as a tool.
Question 2 Risk and return in case of portfolio investment The smart investor believes in saying “don’t keep all eggs in one basket”, which here means investment indiversified stocks to mitigate the risk that arises from single stock investment by the distribution of risk among various types of stock(Brealey, 2012). That means if one stock is not performing well, that is compensated by other averagely or high performing stocks of the portfolio. TheExpected Return of a Portfoliocan be computed arriving at the weighted average of the expected returns on various stocks in a portfolio. Example: StockWeightReturn A50%20% B30%15% C20%30% Return of Portfolio = E[Rp] = E[RA]*W1+ E[RB]*W2+ E[RC]*W3 = 0.50(20%) + 0.30(15%) + 0.20(30%) = 20.5% The correlation coefficient measures the degree of association of two variables, ranging from -1.0 to 1.0. The negative relationship shows the variables move in opposite directions whereas positive relation shows stocks move in a similar direction. Diversification benefits can be gained by adding low or negatively correlated stocks (Ehrhardt, 2016). On the other hand, standard deviations measure dispersion from its average. The correlation coefficient is derived by dividing covariance by the product of the two standard deviations, to arrive at a normalized account of the statistic.
Paraphrase This Document
Need a fresh take? Get an instant paraphrase of this document with our AI Paraphraser
References Brealey, Richard A., Stewart C. Myers, Franklin Allen, and Pitabas Mohanty.Principles of corporate finance. Tata McGraw-Hill Education, 2012. Damodaran,Aswath.Damodaranonvaluation:securityanalysisforinvestmentand corporate finance. Vol. 324. John Wiley & Sons, 2016. Ehrhardt, Michael C., and Eugene F. Brigham.Corporate finance: A focused approach. CengageLearning, 2016. Vernimmen,Pierre,PascalQuiry,MaurizioDallocchio,YannLeFur,andAntonio Salvi.Corporate finance: theory and practice. John Wiley & Sons, 2014.