Data Analysis and Statistical Calculation for Humidity Level of Bristol City
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This report provides a data analysis and statistical calculation for the humidity level of Bristol city, including mean, median, mode, range, and standard deviation. It also includes a linear forecasting model to predict future humidity levels.
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Table of Contents INTRODUCTION...........................................................................................................................3 MAIN BODY...................................................................................................................................3 1. Arrange the collected data in table format...............................................................................3 2. Represent the data in different charts format...........................................................................3 3. Calculate the following statistical data....................................................................................5 4. Use linear forecasting model to calculate y = mx+c................................................................7 CONCLUSION................................................................................................................................8 REFERENCES...............................................................................................................................9
INTRODUCTION Data analysis process of cleaning, modelling and transforming data and represent in the understating form that is useful for the business related decision making process. Main purpose of data analysis is to measure data and further utilize these information for the benefits of the company through improving operational activities(Dong, Sun and Li, 2017). This report based on the Humidity level of Bristol city. This assessment include the various statistical calculation such as mean, median, mode, range and standard deviation. In addition, it include the linear forecasting model to calculate the humidity level for the 15thor 20thday. MAIN BODY 1. Arrange the collected data in table format Collected data is based on the humidity level of Bristol city of England, UK. Data need to arrange in tabular form and arrange data from 27thof December 2019 to 5thof January 2020 (Humidity Level of Bristol City of England,2020). 10 days constitutive humidity level of Bristol and it mention in the below table: DaysHumidity 198 286 389 488 590 699 785 878 990 1083
2. Represent the data in different charts format Column chart: 123456789 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 98 86898890 99 85 78 90 Days Humidity Above mention column chart represent the consecutive data of 10 days humanity level Bristol city. On 1stday humidity level was 98% and further it decreases & increases and so on. On 6thday, humidity level was on high that is 99% and after that it was reduces. Basically, data fluctuated between 10 days and with the help of this, people able to understand the future trends. Line chart:
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12345678910 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 98 86898890 99 85 78 90 83 Days Humadity From the above chart, it is observed that with the help of line chart individual able to see the trend in the humidity level between 10 days. It clearly mentioned that highest humidity level is on 6thday and lowest is on 8thday. 3. Calculate the following statistical data DaysHumidity Level 198 286 389 488 590 699 785 878 990 1083
Total886 Mean88.6 Mode90 Median88.5 Maximum99 Minimum78 Range21 Standard Deviation6.36 Mean:This term refer to the average value of the entire observation where total value of the series divided with the total number of observation(Hu and et.al., 2017). Based on the available information, calculation is mentioned below: Formula =∑X / N = 886 / 10 = 88.6 Median:It is the middle number of the entire sample and called middle value of the series. If data has even series then they follow the (N+1) / 2 formula or if they has odd values then implement (N/2) formula. Formula = [N+1] / 2 = [ 10 + 1 ] / 2 = 5.5thobservation = 88.5 Mode:It is the most repeated value of the sample, in other words those value which available in the data maximum time called mode(Ma, Qu and Sun, 2017). As per the available data of humidity level of a city represent that 90. Modes for the series is 90 because it is repeating maximum time.
Range:It is the difference between the maximum as well as minimum value of the sample and its further calculation mention below along with the formula: Formula: Range = Maximum Value – Minimum Value = 99 - 78 = 21 Standard deviation:It is the number which represent that how measurement of groups are spread out from mean(Rafiq, Jabeen and Arif, 2017). High standards deviation means values are more distributed and lower the SD indicate that values are close to the mean value. Further calculation mention below: DaysHumidity (X)X – Mean(X – Mean) ^2 1989.488.36 286-2.66.76 3890.40.16 488-0.60.36 5901.41.96 69910.4108.16 785-3.612.96 878-10.6112.36 9901.41.96 1083-5.631.36 Formula: √ Variance = [∑ (x–mean)2/N ] = 364.4 / 10 = 36.44 Standard deviation = √36.44 = 6.03
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4. Use linear forecasting model to calculate y = mx+c Liner forecasting model use for the forecasting future numbers. Here X denote the number of days and Y indicate the humidity level of Bristol city. Further calculations are as follow: Step 1: Formulate table Days (X)Humidity (Y)X2XY 198198 2864172 3899267 48816352 59025450 69936594 78549595 87864624 99081810 1083100830 ∑x= 55∑y= 886∑X2=385∑XY=4792 Step 2: Calculation the M value: Formula: M = [N∑XY - ∑x ∑y]/ [N ∑X2- (∑x)2] = [ 10 * 4792 – (55 * 886) ] / [10*385- (55)2] = [47920 – 48730] / [3850 – 3025] = -810 / 825 = - 0.98 Step 3: Calculation the value of C: Formula:
C =∑y - m ∑x / N = (886 – {-0.98 * 55}) / 10 = 939.9 / 10 = 93.99 Step 4: Humidity on 15thday: Formula: Y = mx + c =- 0.98* 15 +93.99 = -14.7 + 93.99 = 79.29 The level of humidity on 15thday will be 79.29. Step 5: Humidity on 20thDay: Formula: Y = mx + c =-0.98 * 20 +93.99 = -19.6 +93.99 = 74.39 The humidity level on 20thday will be 74.39. CONCLUSION From the above discussion and calculation it has been concluded that, with the help of data analysis and statistical organizations able to collect, analyse or make future decisions in respect of the business operations. Statistical analysis helps in calculating mean, median, mode, standard deviation etc. In addition, linear forecasting model used to evaluate the future trend regarding humidity level of the city.
REFERENCES Books & Journals Dong, Q., Sun, Y. and Li, P., 2017. A novel forecasting model based on a hybrid processing strategy and an optimized local linear fuzzy neural network to make wind power forecasting: A case study of wind farms in China.Renewable Energy.102.pp.241-257. Hu, R. and et.al., 2017. A short-term power load forecasting model based on the generalized regressionneuralnetworkwithdecreasingstepfruitflyoptimization algorithm.Neurocomputing.221.pp.24-31. Ma, J., Qu, J. H. and Sun, D. W., 2017. Developing hyperspectral prediction model for investigating dehydrating and rehydrating mass changes of vacuum freeze dried grass carp fillets.Food and bioproducts processing.104.pp.66-76. Rafiq, M., Jabeen, M. and Arif, M., 2017. Continuing education (CE) of LIS professionals: Need analysis & role of LIS schools.The Journal of Academic Librarianship.43(1). pp.25- 33. Online HumidityLevelofBristolCityofEngland.2020.[Online].Availablethrough: <https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/uk/bristol/historic>