Assignment on Risk Modelling Solutions

Added on - 18 Dec 2019

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RISK MODELING
TABLE OF CONTENTSQuestion 1....................................................................................................................................................................................................3Optimum combinations of mitigation that must be purchased................................................................................................................3Question 2..................................................................................................................................................................................................21Probability distribution of total cost of demolition................................................................................................................................23REFERENCES..........................................................................................................................................................................................24Table 1Model of expenses.........................................................................................................................................................................19Table 2Modeling for incident free and uncertain risk...............................................................................................................................21
Question 15.0%5.0%10.00010.0008.89.09.29.49.69.810.010.210.410.610.811.00%20%40%60%80%100%120%Cost of Contingencies / Change in Risk ClassSimulation Summary InformationWorkbook NameCopy of SignalBoxRiskRegisterSolutionV29FINAL1485580347(January31)-1.xlsx, Copy of SignalBoxRiskRegister1483777554(January 31) (1)(1).xlsxNumber ofSimulations1Number of Iterations10000Number of Inputs0Number of Outputs35Sampling TypeLatin HypercubeSimulation Start Time1/31/2017 16:44Simulation Duration00:01:09Random # GeneratorRAN3IRandomSeed1838075264
Summary Statistics for Cost of Contingencies / Change in Risk ClassStatisticsPercentileMinimum105%10Maximum1010%10Mean1015%10Std Dev020%10Variance025%10Skewness1.01E+30030%10Kurtosis1.01E+30035%10Median1040%10Mode1045%10Left X1050%10Left P5%55%10Right X1060%10Right P95%65%10Diff X070%10Diff P90%75%10#Errors080%10Filter MinOff85%10FilterMaxOff90%10#Filtered095%10NameClass changesmade / CostCost ofContingencies/ Change inRisk ClassCost ofContingencies/ Change inRisk ClassCost ofContingencies/ Change inRisk ClassCost ofContingencies/ Change inRisk ClassCost ofContingencies/ Change inRisk ClassCost ofContingencies/ Change inRisk ClassCost ofContingencies/ Change inRisk ClassDescriptionOutputOutputOutputOutputOutputOutputOutputOutputIteration /Cell$H$652$T$16$T$39$T$61$T$82$T$104$T$125$T$147111.0071381171310211.0071381171310
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