Abstract In the wake of global crisis in the form of COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 there observed lockdowns and social distancing which results into closure of super markets due to trends in the buying behaviors of consumers. Markets face changes in consumption patterns in almost every market. Therefore, the study aims to analyze the extent to which the pandemic has changed the consumption patterns of the consumers. Also, study will try to draw inferences about post- COVID consumer behaviors for which interviews will be conducted. Study uses mixed method approach to analyze the consumer behaviors during the pandemic and after the pandemic. Study presented results on the basis of existing literature while for in-depth analysis field studies will be carried out which helps to address the issue appropriately. ii
Table of Contents Abstract............................................................................................................................................ii Chapter 1..........................................................................................................................................1 Introduction......................................................................................................................................1 1.Introduction...........................................................................................................................1 1.1Background of the study................................................................................................2 1.2Problem Statement........................................................................................................3 1.3Research Questions.......................................................................................................3 1.4Research Aim and Objectives.......................................................................................3 1.5Significance...................................................................................................................4 1.6Limitations.....................................................................................................................5 Chapter 2..........................................................................................................................................6 Literature Review............................................................................................................................6 2.1Introduction.......................................................................................................................6 2.2Empirical Framework.......................................................................................................6 2.2Theoretical framework......................................................................................................7 Chapter 3..........................................................................................................................................9 Research Methodology....................................................................................................................9 3.1Introduction.......................................................................................................................9 3.2Research Methodology.....................................................................................................9 3.3Research Philosophy.........................................................................................................9 3.4Research Approach...........................................................................................................9 3.5Research Purpose............................................................................................................10 3.6Research Design..............................................................................................................10 3.7Target Population............................................................................................................10 iii
Chapter 1 Introduction 1.Introduction It is matter of fact that pandemics are not a novel phenomenon and every time there observed major economic, regional, and global changes which tends to bring change in the social behavior and mentalities of the peoples. The most significant changes recorded as a result of these pandemics were institutionalized which bring different psychological changes. Similarly, it was observed that due to emergence of pandemic COVID-19 there observed significant changes in over all living patterns of the masses as everyone across the globe get affected by the deadly virus due to which it seems difficult to return to the normal life as was before the wake of pandemic. In this study researcher will investigate the impacts of COVID-19 on the purchasing behavior of the consumers where the focus will be to find out the trends in consumers behaviors before and after the spread of pandemic. As we know that due to outbreak of coronavirus governments across the globe ordered to keep social distancing and lockdown in almost every sector of the life. Such practices give rise to changes in psychological behaviors. Various studies pose that due to pandemic several changes were introduced across the countries which give rise to practices like curfews, closures, lockdowns, quarantine, boarder closures etc. (Harrison, 2020). Nielsen (2020a) in his studies postulates that due to pandemic there observed there observed changes in the consumer behavior. In the study the researcher uses a six key model to present the changing patterns of consumer behavior during pandemic which includes the spending on 1
different emergency items, food and health. In the study it was found that at each threshold level households have different levels of consumption. 1.1Background of the study In December 2019 there reported several pneumonia cases in the Wuhan city of China which emerged from unknown sources (Lu et al., 2020). In January 2020 based on the analysis of lower respiratory tract a virus was identified which was held responsible for the pneumonia cluster (Huang, 2020). However, later on in February 2020 WHO named the disease spread from this virus as COVID-19 which when was causing a lot of deaths was declared as a pandemic (WHO, 2020). In December 2019 a new form of virus was identified in the Wuhan city of China. The officials of Chinese government informed WHO about the mysterious deadly virus which was causing various lung disease. Several of the infected patients work in the “wet market” i.e., farmers market where perishable food and animals were being sold by the farmers. World Health Organization named the disease COVID-19 that was affecting the respiratory system of the infected people (WHO, 2020a). The cases of this disease increased 10-fold in other countries just in 2 weeks after the introduction of the disease in China. After observing the deadly effects of the virus WHO declared this disease as pandemic (WHO, 2020b). In ancient time there observed that diseases jumped from men to animal but due to COVID-19 it was observed that it was man who transfer this disease more rapidly to other men due to close interactions and therefore the virus spread across the globe. In his studies Garthwaite (2020) maintained that disease come up with people and spread from one region to another in no time by air connections, thus it turned out to be a global pandemic which affect every sector of life and changes the living patterns of masses to large extent. 2
1.2Problem Statement It has been observed that whenever crisis occurred the buying behavior of masses changed. In the sense, Vukasovic (2010) postulates that various crisis i.e., health crisis, financial crisis etc. the perceptions of consumers towards the prices and quality of goods and services changed. Moreover, Hampson and McGoldrick (2013) theorized that2008 financial crisis resulted into uncertainties like job, income patterns etc. consumers perceptions towards prices changesunderthosecircumstancesandhencetheirbuyingbehaviorchanges.However, economic theorists are researchers believed that with the wake of pandemic COVID-19 there observed more sever situation than those observed during the financial crisis of 2008. Therefore, different studies pose that the COVID-19 affects the buying behavior of consumers largely. In the regard, present study tries to find out the extent to which the pandemic has affected the consumer’s behavior. Also, the study will try to investigate the buying behavior before pandemic on the basis of which inference will be drawn on the buying behavior of consumers after the pandemic. 1.3Research Questions 1.Whether or not the consumer behavior effected due to Covid-19? 2.What are the factors that affect consumer buying behavior in pandemic of Covid-19? 3.Will the consumers’ consumption habits have changed permanently? 1.4Research Aim and Objectives 1.4.1Research Aim Researchaimsto investigate the consumer buying behavior which get affected as the result of pandemic arisen due to Covid-19. 3
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1.4.2Research Objectives Theobjectivesof the research are: To understand consumer buying behavior under the course of pandemic of Covid-19 To find out the effects of Covid-19 on consumer buying behavior. To evaluate the consumer buying behavior before and after Covid-19. To evaluate the factors in pandemic which are responsible for changing consumers buying behavior. To what extent such changes in behavior prevail. Whether or not consumers’ return to their previously adopted consumption pattern after the pandemic. 1.5Significance Keeping in view the deadly effects of pandemic COVID-19 it has been observed it negatively affect every sector of life due to social distancing and lockdowns which in turn bring changes in the daily routine of people in the form of job loss, lower working hours, income cut- off or no income at all etc. Such instance give rise to bring changes in the consumption patterns of the consumers. Different studies shed light on the changing consumer behavior due to deadly virus however no one shed light to the extent to which these behaviors changes. Therefore, the study tends to analyze the extent to which consumer behaviors change on one hand while on the other hand it will investigate what will be the consumer behavior when the deadly crisis observed due to pandemic will over. 4
1.6Limitations Due to unawareness of the future impacts of virus on masses study does not pose any policy recommendations. Also, as no one knows the length of the virus and the magnitude in future therefore, the results of the study will be limited to draw inferences to date. It is unable to tell the impacts of present behaviors on future behaviors of consumers due to psychological changes. 5
Chapter 2 Literature Review 2.1Introduction In this chapter researcher will study the phenomenon under consideration in the light of previous studies. Also, the conceptual and empirical frameworks of the study will be presented by using past literature. 2.2Empirical Framework Organization often faces challenges and uncertainty which affect the practices of their daily routine (Ferraro et al., 2015). Such uncertainties and risk affect economies at large (Jarus, 2020). Stanciu and Str (2015) carried out a study in which they found that over the course of history variouspandemicsoccurredwhich adverselyaffectbusinessesand economiesby affecting the daily activities of people. It has been found that COVID-19 has cause damage to the world economy where governments in any countries ordered to shut down their business activities. Closing offices, cancelling events and all those activities which involve social gatherings. Such instances not only affect the economies but also humans associated with them also suffered which results in low level of consumption and investment patterns (Ozili and Arun, 2020). This change in consumption was observed along different markets for example in China it has been observed that the outbreak of pandemic has negatively affected the market (Chen et al., 2020). Similarly in Great Britain there observed a cut down in economic spending which was relaced by necessities i.e., groceries and hence there observed a shift in the consumer behavior (Chronopoulos et al., 2020). Studies carried out by Andersen et al. (2020) postulates that due to 6
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COVID-19 there observed 27% reduction in consumption in the market of Denmark where the consumers redirected their consumption where protective equipment become part of daily necessities (Addo et al., 2020). Besides this similar trends were observed in case of Romania, where the economic habits of people changed which forces companies to change their strategies which give rise to the trend of online shopping so that consumers can have their desired products by maintaining social distancing caution at home. Such practices result into online consumption (Stanciu et al., 2020). Due to change in consumer behaviors and consumption patterns hotel and retail industry suffered a lot (Baker et al., 2020). According to Roggeveen and Sethuraman (2020) due to outbreak of pandemic luxury retailers suffered a lot. While at the same time some brands modified largely which pose their growth during the pandemic (Knowles et al., 2020). 2.2Theoretical framework For years researchers are engaged in studying consumers and their behavior to the extent that now a consumer has not been regarded only a term associated with marketing. Research in analyzing consumer behavior has been rooted back in mid-1960s. in marketing it has become mandatory to study the consumer behavior as overall marketing activities lies in perceptions and attitudes of end consumers towards market. Studies carried out by Solomon (2017) postulates that consumer is an individual who come u with a specific desire or need, he then purchases his desired product and then consumes it. Therefore, the consumer goes through three stage of consumption process i.e., need, purchase and consume. However, it has been found that during the consumption process the role of consumer changes under different contexts i.e., parents buy products for their children. In this case children are the end consumer of the products. Solomon (2017) in his studies maintained that the term consumer used for those individuals who are the 7
end users of a certain product of service whereas buyer is regarded as one who buys a product either he will be end user or someone else will be. It has been observed that the buying behavior of masses is purpose oriented i.e., there lies some purpose behind it. Some consumers only aim at needs satisfaction by purchasing where they suppressed their wishes, while some consumers want to some kind of prestige which motivates them to buy luxurious items where they usually choose high price products or services. However, it has been observed that during the times of crisis in the form of recession, inflation, pandemics etc. consumers tend to buy only those products and services which does not have high prices. From past 25 years there observed some major trends in the buying behaviors of consumers which passes on from generation to generation (Solomon, 2017). In his study on consumer behavior Kar (2010) maintained that there observed a significant change in the behavior of consumers after major crisis which prevailed throughout the history in different forms i.e., recession, financial crisis, pandemic etc. Hence it has been found that crisis in whatever form they occurred always affect consumers behavior negatively. Keeping in view the above scenario and by studying several theories researcher concludes that the consumer behavior will be affected largely during the outbreak of pandemic COVID-19. 8
Chapter 3 Research Methodology 3.1Introduction This chapter intends to present the overall research structure by which researcher carried out the underlying study. It has been sub divided into following sections. 3.2Research Methodology Researchmethodologyincorporatesthosetechniquesandmethodsusingwhich researcher carried out a certain research. Kothari (2004) defines research methodology as a general description of all those methods and techniques by using which researcher carried out a study. Additionally, research methodology will address the logics behind choosing a specific type of technique. 3.3Research Philosophy Research philosophy describes the views of a researcher by using which he carried out his research. According to Flick (2015) research philosophy will present the way by which a researcher assembles the data of a particular research. In this study keeping in view the research questions research finds it suitable to use pragmatism research philosophy. 3.4Research Approach Ledford (2014) describes the research approach as a systematic way by which researcher carries out a particular study in order to justify the objectives of the study (2014) presents three 9
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different types of research approaches i.e., inductive approach, deductive approach and abductive approach. In present study research finds it suitable to use deductive approach as in this approach research collects information by moving from general aspects to specific aspect. 3.5Research Purpose This study intends to investigate the trends in consumers buying behavior during the outbreak of pandemic COVID-19. To answer the research questions study intends to analyze the extent to which the buying behavior of consumers changed. Also, in this study researcher intends to inference post-pandemic consumer behavior. 3.6Research Design In any study research design defines those components of the study assembling which a certain research will be carried out. This study aims to find out the changes in consumer behavior during the outbreak of pandemic therefore, research find a mixed-method research design a suitable one as it incorporates both quantitative and qualitative study designs which will be more suitable to address the problem statement of the study. By using mixed method research design researcher will conduct an online survey on one hand and will conduct interviews to probe the attitude of consumers towards COVID-19. 3.7Target Population In this study the targeted population includes general consumers who will be select randomly. For online survey targeted population will also be selected randomly. 3.8Sample Size 10
In the study there will be approximately 15 respondents for interviews in order to analyze issue in-depth for drawing inferences about post COVID-19 behaviors. While for gathering quantitativeinformation,researcherdistributealmost70questionnairesamonggeneral consumers for analyzing consumption behaviors of the respondents. 3.9Sampling Technique Sampling technique used in the study will be random sampling as researcher selected the respondents of the study randomly. The reason of choosing random sampling technique is because the pandemic has affected everyone across the globe. 3.10Data Source Two sources of data were used in this study one was online secondary sources i.e., literature search strategy (LSS) and other was primary data based on field studies where researcher conduct interviews and questionnaires. 3.10.1Secondary Data Secondary data will be collected through government publications, research papers, web sites, newspapers and published reports for investigating the buying behavior of consumers in response of Corona virus pandemic. 3.10.2Primary Data Primarydatawillbecollectedfromrespondentsthroughtheinterviewsand questionnaires, it will be the researcher to draw the more in-depth analysis. 3.11Statistical Technique 11
The statistical technique used in the study is nonprobability technique. 3.12Ethical Considerations As we know that ethical consideration is a significant aspect of any study which allows a researcher to avoid any type of misconduct. In the underlying study researcher ensures the willingness of every individual participated in the study. Also, researcher opens the motive and aim of the study before respondents so that they respond to the study under consideration with great ease. Also, the data obtained from different research engines was presented along with the name of author to avoid misuse of someone else’s work. 12
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Chapter 4 Conclusion 4.1Conclusion Consumer buying behavior is location bound and time bound where it develops on habitual and contextual basis. According to the literature, there are four contexts which changes the consumer behavior i.e., social, technological, rules and regulations and natural context. Great recessions, great depressions, reginal conflicts, global and civil wars have also the serious implications on the consumer behavior. However, this study was only focused to determine the effects of natural context like pandemic due to Covid-19 and in the regard inferences that that lockdown and social distancing restrictions for combating the covid-19 has developed the significant impact and disrupted the consumer buying behavior. The prevented market activities in the globe as a result of pandemic derived the more innovative ways for the consumers where some old habits die and new habits emerged by technological advancement. Moreover, it is also found that office, school and shop come to home which limit size the boundaries in the societies and causes the significant behavioral changes in consumers. In the way, Sheth (2020) theorized eight i effects of Covid-19 pandemic on consumer buying behavior. These are: Hoarding Improvisation. Pent-up Demand. Embracing Digital Technology. 13
Store Comes Home. Blurring of Work-Life Boundaries. Reunions with Friends and Family. Discovery of Talent. 14
References 1.Addo, Prince Clement, Fang Jiaming, Nora Bakabbey Kulbo, and Li Liangqiang. 2020. COVID-19: Fear Appeal Favoring Purchase Behavior Towards Personal Protective Equipment. The Service Industries Journal, 40 (7-8): 471–490. 2.Andersen, Asger Lau, Emil Toft Hansen, Niels Johannesen, and Adam Sheridan. 2020. Consumer Responses to the COVID-19 Crisis: Evidence from Bank Account Transaction Data. https://ideas.repec.org/p/cpr/ceprdp/14809.html 3.Chen, Haiqiang, Wenlan Qian, and Qiang Wen. 2020. The Impact of the COVID-19 PandemiconConsumption:LearningfromHighFrequencyTransactionData. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3568574 4.Chronopoulos, DimitrisK., Marcel Lukas, and John OS Wilson. 2020. Consumer Spending Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Assessment of Great Britain. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3586723 5.Garthwaite,J.(2020,April14).Stanfordresearchersexplainhowhumanityhas ‘engineeredaworldripeforpandemics’.RetrievedfromStanfordNews: https://news.stanford.edu/2020/03/25/covid-19-world-made-ripe-pandemics/ 6.Graham-Harrison, E. (2020, April 4). What coronavirus lockdowns have meant around theworld.RetrievedfromTheGuradian: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/what-a-coronavirus-lockdownmight- mean-for-london 7.Hampson, D. P. & McGoldrick, P. J. (2013). A typology of adaptive shopping patterns in recession. Journal of Business Research, 66(7), 831-838. 8.Huang, C.; Wang, Y.; Li, Z.; Ren, L.; Zhao, J.; Hu, Y.; Zhang, L.; Fan, G.; Xu, J.; Gu, X.; et al. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. Lancet 2020, 395, 497–506. [CrossRef] 9.Jarus, Owen. 2020. 20 of the Worst Epidemics and Pandemics in History. Live Science (March20,2020).https://www.livescience.com/worst-epidemics-and-pandemics-in- history.html 10.Kar, M. (2010), “Consumer behaviour over the last 25 years”, Oxirm Research Themes, Oxford Institute of Retail Management, The Retail Digest, 46-53. 15
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11.Knowles, Jonathan, Richard Ettenson, Patrick Lynch, and Joseph Dollens. 2020. Growth Opportunities for Brands During the COVID-19 Crisis. MIT Sloan Management Review, 61 (4): 2–6. 12.Lu, H.; Stratton, C.W.; Tang, Y.W. Outbreak of pneumonia of unknown etiology in Wuhan, China: The mystery and the miracle.J. Med. Virol. 2020, 92, 401–402. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 13.Nielsen(4April2020a).KeyConsumerBehaviorThresholdsIdentifiedAsThe CoronavirusOutbreakEvolves.RetrievedfromNielsen: https://www.nielsen.com/us/en/insights/article/2020/key-consumer-behaviorthresholds- identified-as-the-coronavirus-outbreak-evolves/ 14.Ozili, Peterson K., and Thankom Arun. 2020. Spillover of COVID-19: Impact on the Global Economy.http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3562570 15.Roggeveen, Anne L., and Raj Sethuraman. 2020. How the COVID Pandemic May Change the World of Retailing. Journal of Retailing. 16.Solomon, M. R. (2017). Buying, having and being. London: Prenticle Hall 17.Stanciu, Silvius, and Str Domnească. 2015. Security, Safety and Continuity on Agri food Chain. Saarbrucken, Germany: Lambert Academic Publishing. ISBN 978-3-659-57215-9. 18.Stanciu, Silvius, Riana Iren Radu, Violeta Sapira, Bogdan Dumitrache Bratoveanu, And Andrei Mirel FLOREA. 2020. Consumer Behavior in Crisis Situations. Research on the Effects of COVID-19 in Romania. Annals of Dunarea de Jos University of Galati, I Economics and Applied Informatics, 26 (1): 5–13. 19.Vukasovič, T. (2010). Buying decision‐making process for poultry meat. World’s Poultry Journal, 70(2). 289-302. 20.World Health Organization Director-General’s Opening Remarks at the Media Briefing onCOVID-19–11March2020.Availableonline: https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-openingremarks-at-the- media-briefing-on-covid-19---11-march-2020 (accessed on 11 March 2020 21.World Health Organization. (2020a, April 4). Naming the coronavirus disease (COVID- 19)andthevirusthatcausesit.RetrievedfromWHO: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/technicalguidance/ naming-the-coronavirus-disease-(covid-2019)-and-the-virus-that-causes-it 16
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Appendices 1. Imagine you were Sleeping Beauty / Rip Van Vinkle who woke up from a year long sleep on 1st April 2020, what would surprise you the most? People staying at home No Household Help (maids/ cooks etc.) People wearing Masks on the Road All public Establishments (Malls, Theaters, etc.) closed Social Distancing Increased Hand Washing All Offices Closed Empty Roads 2.Based on the current situation, how optimistic do you feel? Very Optimistic Optimistic Unclear Pessimistic Very Pessimistic No Opinion 3. Compared to 24th March 2020, when the lockdown started, how has your experience changed? Much Better Better Not Sure Deteriorated 18
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Much Deteriorated No Opinion 4. Please tell us when are you likely to start/ resume these 'Experience' basedactivitiesafter the lockdown is lifted : Within few days Within few weeks Within few months More than a year May be never Meeting People Socially\ Shopping at Malls Shopping Online (E – Market Places) Catching Movies in Theaters Eating at Restaurants Ordering Food Online Planning International Travel Planning Domestic Travel Attending large events like Weddings, Religious Congregations, Concerts, Plays 5. Please tell us when are you likely to start/ resume these 'Lifestyle' based activities after the lockdown is lifted: Within few days Within few weeks Within few months More than a year May be never Availing beauty services at Parlors/ Salons/ at Home 19
Household services – Gardner/ Ironing person/ Pest Control Household services – Maids/ Helpers/ Cook Travel for official / personal reasons 6. Please tell us when are you likely to start/ resume these 'Purchases' after the lockdown is lifted: Within few days Within few weeks Within few months More than a year May be never Dresses/ Shoes/ Lifestyle items Consumer Durables (Washing Machine/ Dishwasher/ Oven) Electronics (Computer/ Mobile/ Camera) Luxurious Products (Antique/ Paintings etc.) Big Ticket Purchase (House/ Vehicle/ Land etc.) Remodeling (Interior/ Furniture/ Fittings etc.) 20