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Why is it so hard to value cash-rich companies?

   

Added on  2023-06-12

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Why is it so hard to value cash
-rich companies?
Businesses with big profits and few debts should be easy to value. If only that were true

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By
Christopher Hennessy 08 November 2017
Finance
Asset management Corporate finance Accounting Economics
It may sound odd to hear that valuing cash-rich businesses with minimal debt presents a greater
challenge than companies with proportionately often in straight cash terms fewer financial
assets and higher borrowings. Surely the matter should be more straightforward: a case of totting
up the net cash balance and arriving at a figure? If only it were that simple.
To understand why it’s not, let’s look at the traditional corporate finance exam sat by MBA
students. In such exams, candidates are typically asked to value and assess the asset-risk
characteristics of companies with debt in their financial structure. The conventional
manufacturing company would have a large pool of operating assets and some negligible
financial assets, with liabilities comprising equity and debt. Assets should equal debt and equity
on a market-value basis. Debt would usually comprise a relatively large portion of the financial
apparatus.
It is a very different story for untypical cash-rich companies, which usually have very large
financial assets (called “cash” but actually portfolios of bonds and other assets). The liability side
is also different. There is negligible debt, if any.
At this stage it’s important to make clear that the challenges of valuing such companies apply
regardless of the industry they’re in. Any tendency to cite tech companies as examples shouldn’t
be interpreted as this just being a discussion about newer, digital corporations. However, such
companies crop up time and again in MBA-type exercises, and students accustomed to valuing
traditional manufacturing companies balk at applying a conventional formula to tech businesses.
Why is it so hard to value cash-rich companies?_1

They feel uncomfortable because such companies have different financial structures.
In principle, the conventional valuation techniques ought to work. The standard procedure is this:
if you know the risk characteristics of the financial portfolio, you can assess the risk
characteristics of their operating assets.

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Imagine a tech company with US$30 billion in government bonds. Would we value that portfolio
at $30 billion? No, because it’s not clear what the company will do with that cash and bond pile

How much are tech giants really worth?

This approach would be effective if dealing with tech giants (and other cash-rich businesses) that
were sitting solely on a large stack of government bonds. Some assume that such companies are
invested entirely in these risk-free assets, which is, sad to say, an over-simplification. Tech
companies have ventured well beyond riskless government bonds in terms of asset allocation,
and that makes matters much more complicated.
Imagine a tech company with US$30 billion (£22.8 billion) in government bonds. Would we
value that portfolio at $30 billion? No, because it’s not clear what the company will do with that
cash and bond pile. It could invest some of it in companies showing a negative net rate of
return believing them to be exciting start-ups with a great future. Or, more prosaically, it may
just be making a bad investment decision. Tax issues could be another reason why a tech
company has large-scale holdings of government bonds.
That there is such a huge cash pile, which may be worth less than its face value, inevitably draws
criticism from activist investors. In what may be named the “Carl Icahn view” after the
corporate raider who asset-stripped the airline TWA following a hostile takeover much of this
money is being wasted. It’s being invested in low-yield government bonds and in projects with
low or negative rates of return.

Tech companies with surplus cash can buy out potentially disruptive newcomers

In this old-school way of thinking, the money should be given back to its rightful owners the
shareholders. And in the 1980s and 1990s, it may well have been.
But a modern giant tech company may say that cash-rich companies are able to “hold their
breath” longer than anyone else in a price war. The cash pile, therefore, has an asset value above
and beyond its financial worth. That surplus also allows tech companies to buy potentially
Why is it so hard to value cash-rich companies?_2

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