This paper discusses the consequences of high youth unemployment rates in the economy of Italy. It identifies three ways through which youth unemployment affects the economic growth rate of a country.
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Running Head: YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT & ECONOMIC GROWTH, CASE STUDY OF ITALY1 YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT & ECONOMIC GROWTH, CASE STUDY OF ITALY Student Name Institution Affiliation Facilitator Course Date
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YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT & ECONOMIC GROWTH, CASE STUDY OF ITALY2 Introduction In accordance with the standards of European Union, youth unemployment refers to unemployment rate affecting people between the ages of 15 to 24 years. Statistics have ranked Italy among the 35 member countries of OECD with the highest youth unemployment rates (Dietrich & Möller, 2016). Youth unemployment rate in Italy has been rising dramatically since the financial crisis hit the country in 2008 to a peak rate of 42.67% in 2014.In the year 2017, among all the EU members, Italy’s youth unemployment rate (35.1%) was only exceeded by Spain and Greece. Its youth unemployment rate was double to that of total EU rate (16.7%) in 2017 (Leonardi & Pica, 2015). Coincidentally, the youth unemployment rates in Italy have been followed by fluctuations in the economic growth of the country. For instance, the Italian economy has recorded no growth in the third quarter of this year, following a 0.25% expansion in the second quarter and below the market expectation of 0.1 % growth which was the very first time GDP stalled in the country since 2014 (Caporale, Di Colli, Di Salvo & Lopez, 2016). Italy’s GDP Growth Rate has, therefore, averaged 0.59% since 1960 until 2018, with an all-time high rate of 6% in the second quarter of 1970 and the lowest record of -2.80% in the second quarter of 2009 (Magazzino & Forte, 2016). Comparing these two records (youth unemployment & GDP growth rate) in the country indicates an inverse proportional relationship between the youth unemployment rate and the GDP growth rate. This paper discusses the consequences of high youth unemployment rates in the economy of Italy. First of all, high youth unemployment rates facilitate the breeding of highly energetic and potential youths with personal demands and bills to meet but with no income to enable them to
YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT & ECONOMIC GROWTH, CASE STUDY OF ITALY3 meet those demands. In such scenarios, they tend to get involved in criminal activities with an aim of making the ends to meet or in illegal trade deals (illicit brew, drugs, vigilante groups, and poaching) and the government is forced to spend resources in an attempt to curb the rising crime rates as well as illegal trade (O’Reilly, Eichhorst, Gábos, Hadjivassiliou, Lain, Leschke & Russell, 2015). Often, such kinds of trade deals are not taxed and therefore spending resources which could have been spending in other developmental agendas in the fight against them is a direct loss of revenue and that drags the economic growth rate. Also, a high youth unemployment rate implies that the dependency ratio is very high in the country. For that matter, in a family of more than three children and the only working people are the parents’ means that the earnings will only cater for basic needs of the family like food and shelter and cannot be invested (Papadopoulos, 2016). Considering the fact that investments and startups are the core to any growing economy, minimal or no investments at all due to the high dependency levels caused by the high youth unemployment will definitely translate into a stagnant economic growth as observed in the case of Italy. Some of the job vacancies demand the employee to have a high level of experience and that tends to trap fresh graduates lacking work experience into a vicious cycle. Lacking the experience needed in such positions prevent them from getting employed (Mankiw & Taylor, 2008). On the other side, a gap is created in the labor market because the people holding those positions keep on retiring and requires regular replacement with fresh minds that may lack due to inadequate experience (O’Reilly et al, 2015). To prevent a downfall in organizations, instead of letting the old folks retire their contracts are extended and that translates to a loss of skills and productivity as well as harming of the organization future prospects. This is in consideration of the fact that the productivity of employees tend to deteriorate as they grow old. Low productivity
YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT & ECONOMIC GROWTH, CASE STUDY OF ITALY4 by the business organizations translates into a stagnant economic growth rate and that means that the economy of the country will remain stagnant(Marelli & Vakulenko, 2016). Conclusion In summary, the rates of youth unemployment as compared to the economic growth rate in Italy have shown some kind of relationship in that, the high youth unemployment rates have played a major role in the stagnated economic growth rate of the country (Mankiw & Taylor, 2008). Among the many ways through which youth unemployment affects the economic growth rate of a country, this paper has identified three. The first way through which high unemployment rate affects economic growth is through the diversion of resources which would otherwise be used in other sectors to fight against crime and illegal trade among the youth, low productivity because of retained old workers and low investments due to high dependency level. References Caporale, G. M., Di Colli, S., Di Salvo, R., & Lopez, J. S. (2016). Local banking and local economic growth in Italy: some panel evidence.Applied Economics,48(28), 2665-2674. Dietrich, H., & Möller, J. (2016). Youth unemployment in Europe–business cycle and institutional effects.International Economics and Economic Policy,13(1), 5-25. Leonardi, M., & Pica, G. (2015). Youth unemployment in Italy.No country for young people. Marelli, E., & Vakulenko, E. (2016). Youth unemployment in Italy and Russia: Aggregate trends and individual determinants.The Economic and Labour Relations Review,27(3), 387- 405. Magazzino, C., & Forte, F. (2016). Government Size and Economic Growth in Italy: A Time- Series Analysis.
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YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT & ECONOMIC GROWTH, CASE STUDY OF ITALY5 Mankiw, N. G., & Taylor, M. (2008). Economic Growth I: Capital Accumulation and Population Growth.Macroeconomics, 202-231. O’Reilly, J., Eichhorst, W., Gábos, A., Hadjivassiliou, K., Lain, D., Leschke, J., ... & Russell, H. (2015). Five characteristics of youth unemployment in Europe: Flexibility, education, migration, family legacies, and EU policy.Sage Open,5(1), 2158244015574962. Papadopoulos, O. (2016). Youth unemployment discourses in Greece and Ireland before and during the economic crisis: Moving from divergence to ‘contingent convergence’.Economic and Industrial Democracy,37(3), 493-515.