Financial Analysis and Investment Decision: Pizza Franchise Project

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Added on  2019/09/25

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This assignment presents a comprehensive financial analysis of a potential investment in a pizza franchise. The analysis includes detailed calculations of variable and fixed costs, contribution per unit, and projected financial statements over a four-year period. Key financial metrics such as EBITDA, EBT, PAT, and free cash flows are calculated. The project assesses the cost of capital, including cost of equity, cost of debt, and weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Furthermore, the analysis incorporates the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) to determine the expected return on investment. A net present value (NPV) calculation is performed, and the assignment provides a final investment recommendation based on the financial projections and risk assessment. The document also discusses the pros and cons of the investment, considering factors such as increasing demand, sales growth, and potential risks like changing customer preferences and alternative investment opportunities.
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Sensitivity: Internal & Restricted
Answer 1
S.No. Variable Component Cost per unit
1 Ingredients $ 4.91
2 Royalty $ 0.70
3 Marketing Expenses $ 0.60
Total cost per unit $ 6.21
Contribution per unit $ 3.79
S.No. Fixed Component Cost
1 Salary $ 247,509.60
2 Rent $ 66,000.00
3 Profit $ 80,000.00
Total amount to be recovered $ 393,509.60
Units to be sold in a year 103,957
Units to be sold in a week 1,999.18
Answer 2
S.No. Particulars Per unit amount Cost
1 Sales $ 10.00 $ 1,196,000
2 Variable Cost $ 6.21 $ 743,279
3 Contribution $ 3.79 $ 452,721
4
Fixed Cost excluding Interest and
Dep $ 313,510
5 EBITDA $ 139,212
6 Interest $ 9,750
7 Depreciation $ 44,000
8 EBT $ 85,462
9 Tax $ 25,639
10 PAT $ 59,823
S.No. Component Basis Cost
1 Interest bearing Debt
$15000
0 $ 150,000
2 Interest 6.50% $ 9,750.0
Annual Interest $ 9,750.00
S.No
. Component Basis Cost
1
Capital
Expense Average of $350000 and $450000 $ 400,000
2 Depreciation 11% $ 44,000
Annual Depreciation $ 44,000.00
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Sensitivity: Internal & Restricted
Answer 3
S.No. Particulars Amount
1 Net Income (PAT) $ 59,823
2 Add- Depreciation $ 44,000
3
Less- Increase in net working
capital $ -
4 Add- Interest Expense $ 9,750
5 Less- Capital Expenditures $ -400,000
6 Free Cash Flows $ -286,427
Answer 4
S.No. Particulars Per unit amount Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
1 Sales $ 10.00 $ 1,196,000 $ 1,231,880 $ 1,268,836 $ 1,231,880
2 Variable Cost $ 6.21 $ 743,279 $ 765,577 $ 788,544 $ 765,577
3 Contribution $ 3.79 $ 452,721 $ 466,303 $ 480,292 $ 466,303
4
Fixed Cost
excluding Interest
and Dep $ 313,510 $ 313,510 $ 313,510 $ 313,510
5 EBITDA $ 139,212 $ 152,793 $ 166,783 $ 152,793
6 Interest $ 9,750 $ 9,750 $ 9,750 $ 9,750
7 Depreciation $ 44,000 $ 44,000 $ 44,000 $ 44,000
8 EBT $ 85,462 $ 99,043 $ 113,033 $ 99,043
9 Tax $ 25,639 $ 29,713 $ 33,910 $ 29,713
10 PAT $ 59,823 $ 69,330 $ 79,123 $ 69,330
EBITDA in % of Capital Invested 35% 38% 42% 38%
S.No. Particulars Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
1 Net Income (PAT) $ 59,823 $ 69,330 $ 79,123 $ 69,330
2 Add- Depreciation $ 44,000 $ 44,000 $ 44,000 $ 44,000
3
Less- Increase in net working
capital $ - $ - $ - $ -
4 Add- Interest Expense $ 9,750 $ 9,750 $ 9,750 $ 9,750
5 Less- Capital Expenditures $ -400,000
6 Free Cash Flows $ -286,427 $ 123,080 $ 132,873 $ 123,080
Answer 5
1 Beta of DMP. AX 1.32
2 Beta of RFG.AX 1.46
Simple Average Beta 1.39
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Sensitivity: Internal & Restricted
Answer 6
Yield on 15 Year Australian
Government Bond 2.93%
Asnwer 7
Return as per CAPM
method
Risk Free Rate of Return+ Beta(Market rate of Return- Risk Free Rate
of return)
2.93%+1.39(6.5%-2.93%)
7.89%
Answer 8
Cost of Equity 7.89%
Cost of Debt 4.55%
Weighted Average cost of capital 6.99%
Answer 9
Particulars Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Initial Investment
$ -
550,000
Free Cash Flows
$ -
286,427
$
123,080
$
132,873 $ 123,080
Residual value $ 750,000
Total Cashflows
$ -
550,000
$ -
286,427
$
123,080
$
132,873 $ 873,080
Discount Factor
@6.99% 1
0.93466679
1
0.87360201
1
0.81652678
8 0.763180473
Cashflows
$ -
550,000
$ -
267,714
$
107,523
$
108,494 $ 666,318
NPV
$
64,622
Answer 10
While investing in any project, everyone wants to analyse the worth of investing the same. Is it
providing the adequate return on the investment? Adequate will refer to the return should be
greater than the risk free rate of return. Also we have to consider the return a particular industry is
giving. Also along with return one should also consider the NPV of a project which shows how much
a cash flows will accrue at the end of the project. Whether a person will be having something in
hand after completion of project. As per the above calculation and analysis, it can be suggested that
Tien should invest in Pizza Franchise as its NPV is coming out as positive. Even after investing huge
amount, he will earn something.
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Sensitivity: Internal & Restricted
Answer 11
Before investing a person should consider all the pros and cons of a project. After deriving so many
data above now we can analyse what are the major components that are in favour of investing on
pizza franchise. Below are the major points of investing in pizza franchise:
1. First of all, increasing demand of the pizza made it an attractive proposal as as there will be
increase in demand, increase in sales and ultimately will increase the profit of the Company
or the person investing in a particular business.
2. Secondly, after drafting the 4 years income statement, it can be seen that fixed expenses will
remain constant and also there is an increase in 10% sales every year which is a good sign for
investing in a particular business.
3. Also, we have calculated, number of units per week which are required to achieve 20%
return on the capital invested after recovering all the fixed costs. Per week sale units are
greater than the required return which also motivates one person to invest in a Company.
4. Also, as a thumb rule, EBITDA should be 33% of capital invested and as per calculation, it can
be seen that EBITDA is 35% of Capital invested in first year and after that it keeps on
increasing which also motivates a person to invest in this business.
Answer 12
In above answer we have stated the points which supports the investment decisions but there will
be some points which should be considered in a sarcastic way so that both pros and cons can be
analysed.
1. It is only an assumption that demand of pizzas will increase in future but it may be possible
that same thing happen in other way. If there is change in taste and preferences of customer
than one has to face losses as the sales will go down and will not be able to achieve the
targets on the basis of which investment is made.
2. While investing in a particular thing, one should consider other prospects of investment
options. If investing in other prospects may achieve more return than we have to choose
that particular option.
3. Other things that needs to be considered are the working environment in which a person
can work.
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