Finding the Right Entry Point for Australian Real Estate

The assignment content discusses various aspects of the Australian real estate market, economy, and investment opportunities in 2016-2017. The sources include reports from CBRE, Global Property Guide, Financial Times, and others, which provide insights into the country's housing market, economic outlook, and foreign direct investment trends. Additionally, the assignment includes information on financial ratios, company performances, and industry analysis, such as those related to real estate services in Australia.

Fundamental Analysis 1
Principles of Financial Market

Fundamental Analysis 2
Executive summary
Top down and bottom down approach play crucial role to manage the project. Whereas, top
down analyses the project by its bigger level and bottom up approach directly focuses on the
financial performance of a particular organization. This report confers the analysis of Australian
real estate industry comparing two market leader Avjennings limited and Aveo group. From the
top down method evaluates the market growth of the business. In addition to this, Avjennings
and Aveo group contains the small market segment in Australian economy. In this analysis,
Australian real estate market is analyzed through comparing the Avjennings and Aveo group. At
the market situation is favorable for the property business leader.
Apart from this, bottom up analysis includes the financial analysis of Avjennings and Aveo
group. Financial position of Aveo group is better than the Avjennings in concern to profit for the
year. In addition to this, liquidity ratio profitability ratio, efficiency ratio, capital structure ratio
and market performance ratio has calculated to find out the capacity of both organization through
which investors can take a beneficial decision. At the end recommendation is proposed to
improve the market share of organization in Australian real estate business.

Fundamental Analysis 3
Table of Contents
Introduction......................................................................................................................................3
Industry profile................................................................................................................................4
Company profile:.............................................................................................................................4
Avjennings Limited......................................................................................................................4
Aveo group...................................................................................................................................5
Top down analysis of Avjennings Limited and Aveo group...........................................................6
Economic analysis........................................................................................................................6
Industry analysis..........................................................................................................................7
Company Analysis:......................................................................................................................9
Bottom-up analysis for Avjennings and Aveo group....................................................................10
Liquidity ratio of Avjennings and Aveo group..........................................................................10
Profitability ratio:.......................................................................................................................11
Efficiency ratio:..........................................................................................................................13
Capital structure ratio:................................................................................................................14
Market performance ratio:.........................................................................................................15
Conclusions:..................................................................................................................................17
Recommendations:.....................................................................................................................18
Reference:......................................................................................................................................19

Fundamental Analysis 4
Introduction
This report includes the top down and bottom down analysis for Avjennings limited and Aveo
group in real estate industry. On the basis of top down model, economic analysis, industry
analysis and company analysis has been discussed. It also focuses on the Australian real estate
market. On the other hand, financial performance of Avjennings and Aveo group is analyzed to
draw an effective decision. Both the organizations are compared on the basis of ratios calculation
such as liquidity, profitability and market performance.

Fundamental Analysis 5
Industry profile
Real estate industry of Australia is increasing very rapidly and it is the most attracting
investment sector in the country. It is a major contributor in the Australian economic growth as
compare to the other sectors. On the basis of market research it is reviewed that real estate
market has doubled in last 10 years. In addition to this, this industry contains 8% of market in
Australia. At the same time, this industry came out as the largest sector in the market to take over
the mining and financial industry. Further, it contributed with 11.5 % in Australian GDP which is
around $182.5 billion of national economy (Report Linker, 2017). It is a positive indication
because of the development of economy and it has created more job opportunities in the market.
Moreover, this industry is paying highest tax to the Australian government.
Company profile:
Avjennings Limited
Avjennings is leading real estate organization which deals in residential property development in
Australia. In addition to this, it offers land, towns, apartment and property investment to the
community. It is providing housing development service to the Australian market since last 80
years. At the same time, the financial position of the company is strong as per the performance in
last decade. Avjennings generated sales of A$421.88 million for the year 2016 and it is the
double growth rate as compare to year 2015 (Su, R2015). It captured the market cap as 226.81
million and net income as 40.91 million in year 2016. Moreover, it is operated in diverse range
of products in real estate such as buying, selling and construction but its major income source is
housing development. Avjennings ltd employed 457 people in this organization to deliver the

Fundamental Analysis 6
unique service to the community. Many institutional shareholders hold the share in company like
colonial first state asset management, dimensional fund advisors and perennial investment
partners with 12.97%, 1.95% and 9.22% respectively (financial times, 2017).
Aveo group
Aveo group is an organization which deals in property investment, asset management property
development and in construction of apartment in Australia. Headquarter of this group is located
in Sydney, Australia under the supervision of CEO Geoffrey Earl Grady. Further, it is operated
in two different segment of as per the nature of people such as retirement and non- retirement.
The market cap of this company is underlined as $1.92 billion in fiscal year 2016 (Aveo, 2016).
At the same time it employed 1640 people in organization to care the retired people for village
community and for development of residential commercial and retail property. Many substantial
shareholders invested in FKP group such as Mulpha international group, perpetual limited and
vinva investment with the holding as 22.60%, 10.30% and 5.06% respectively. Aveo group
earned the profit of 89.0 million in year 2016.

Fundamental Analysis 7
Top down analysis of Avjennings Limited and Aveo group
Top down is a famous method which seeks to analyze the economy, industry and then
organization for the purpose of investment (Hopkinson, 2012). This approach assists an investor
to evaluate the specific industry to capitalize the fund for gain better return. Top down analysis
of Avjennings limited Aveo group is as follows:
Economic analysis
Economic analysis is a marginal analysis of economic factors that influence the growth of a
particular economy. Economic analysis comprises the different economic aspects like GDP,
inflation, interest rate, monetary policy, fiscal policy, and economic recession in an economy.
Australian economy is the mixed market economy on the globe. Australian economy is
performing as stable growth rate. Australian GDP is growing consistently with the growth rate of
2.4% in year 2016. At the same time, employment in this economy has increased as compare to
the OECD countries. On the other hand, unemployment rate has decreased from 5.7% to 5.6% in
year 2016. Australia is considered as the largest private sector business economy. Recently,
Australian economy experienced the better growth in the market due to the booming in property
investment and exports (Habc, 2017). In addition to this, Australia’s interest rate is very low
which influence the investors or exporters to deal with the economy, whereas it is measured as
1.5% and it is stable from the last quarter of 2016. It is stated that Avjennings and Aveo group
can invest in this country because of the high market growth from last five years. Further,
Australia is an attractive place to explore the business lines and it is best performing industrial
country since last decade. Service sector and agriculture industry are contributing in the
Australian economy with 68.8% and 27.3% respectively. Further, it is the best place to do

Fundamental Analysis 8
business because of the stability in political era, rich natural resource. Along with this, Australian
economy is not influenced by financial crisis in 2008 and 2012 (habc, 2017). In this economy,
lowest government debt is measured. Population of Australia is increasing slowly but it is the
sixth populated country on the globe. Population of Australia is measured as 24.1 million in year
2016 and it was the 1.4 increment from last year (Trading Economics, 2017). Moreover,
Australian currency has devaluated by 0.38% in starting of year 2017, it occurs due to the
fluctuation in various economic transactions. Foreign investment is a key growth factor in
Australian economy and it is increasing gradually (Dixon, 2016). In addition to this, foreign
investment is calculated as $38.4bn in 2015. Low interest rate for capital borrowing in market
attracts the investors to seed fund in various business segment.
Industry analysis
Real estate industry is evaluated on the basis of porter’s five forces model. Australian real estate
industry analysis is as follow:
Competitive rivalries: Real estate industry is considered as the highest revenue generator
industry as compare to the other industries in Australian market. Real estate industry of Australia
is growing steady but the overall performance of this industry is attractive because the other
geographic state boomed in last 3 years (CBRE, 2016). Competition level in property industry is
very high. Avjennings and Aveo group are the prominent leader in Australian real estate
industry.
Bargaining power of the buyer: Bargaining power of Australia people is high. Australian real
estate industry is affected by the increment in property price, interest rate, economic growth and
employment growth. Further, increment in housing price can affects the buying behavior of the
property purchaser and customer can switch the property agent as per the market price

Fundamental Analysis 9
(Dalmendo, 2016). Further, there are many property and housing development leaders in the
market which also influence buying intensity of people.
Bargaining power of suppliers: Bargaining power of suppliers of suppliers is high in Australia.
Price of supplied items that are used as raw material in real estate industry has increased. At the
same time, demand for the housing development has increased so it affects the decision of
buyers. Property agent wants to purchase the raw material at low price in highly demanded
market but the suppliers also wants to gain the more profit out of market, it can affects the supply
side of property market.
Threats of new entrants: Australian industry is not influenced by the new entrants. In real
estate industry new property investors are entering in the market steadily because it requires
large investment in this sector to tap the new customer. In real estate sector many high revenue
generator business leaders existing, along with this, Avjennings and Aveo group are the leading
housing development agents in the market and they are meeting the demand of retired or non
retired people in the country.
Threats of substitutes: Threats of substitute is moderate as the level of demand increases in the
economy. Real estate industry may be affected by the various economic aspects in the economic
downturn. Further, substitutes of real industry cannot be beneficial for long time such as buying
with other, off the plan and reinvesting (Cahill, 2017). On the other hand, competitor’s policy
like affordable housing, low interest rate, and low material price can affects the market
movement in real estate industry.

Fundamental Analysis 10
Company Analysis:
Avjennings and Aveo groups are the real estate market participant in Australian economy.
Avjennings is committed to offer affordable housing property such as town, rental, community
development and residential property (Avjennings, 2016). At the same time, Aveo group
provides the housing development facilities to retires and non- retires people in the country
(Aveo, 2017). Further, Avjennings focus on the development of community and it deals in
diverse range of property business which is competitive advantage for the business. On the other
hand, promotional strategy of Aveo group is strong in the market.
Apart from this, financial movement of both the organization has been increased. Aveo group
gained more profit as compare to the Avjennings as $89m which is approx double than
Avjennings in year 2016. Australian property market dubbed in last two years but the businesses
are going to grab the market share. Further, the market value of Avjennings has increased from
last 5 years. Aveo group employed more human resource as compare to the Avjennings.
Avjennings and Aveo group are gaining the market share through its competitive strategy to
attract the different group of people from community. Aveo group is older property developer
than Aveo group.

Fundamental Analysis 11
Bottom-up analysis for Avjennings and Aveo group
Bottom up investment approach is considered as macro- economic level prospects. This
approach helps the investors to analyze the preferred market by individual level organization
(Robinson et. al, 2015). Bottom up analysis of Avjennings and Aveo group is as followed:
Liquidity ratio of Avjennings and Aveo group
Liquidity Ratio
Ratios Formula Avjenning
s
Aveo
Group
Current
Ratio
Current Asset/Current Liability 3.95 4.69
Current Asset 351580 397875
Current
Liabilities
89024 84753
Quick
Ratio
Current Asset-Inventories/Current
Liabilities
1.58 2.53
Current Asset 351580 3.97
Inventories 211073 1.82
Current
Liabilities
89024 8.47
Liquidity ratio:
This ratio evaluates the organization’s capabilities to pay the short term debt which indicates
financial position of the company that the business is able to meet the financial obligation arises
over this (Brigham, E. and Houston, J. (2012). Liquidity of business is measured to find out the
current ratio and quick ratio which are as follow:
Current ratio: current ratio measured the ability of organization to pay the short term liabilities.
Higher the ratio stronger the financial capabilities of company to builds safe itself from debts
that arises due to operational activities of business. From the above calculated ratios it can be

Fundamental Analysis 12
said that the current ratio for Aveo group better than Avjennings as it depicted by 3.95% and
4.69%is calculated as 2.45 and 0.17 which indicates that the Aveo group has much capacity to
meet the short term debt over the company.
Quick ratio: Quick ratio is also known as acid test ratio which point out the ability of company
to pay the debt with the assets capacity (Magad, 2013). Along with this, quick ratio also indicates
the enhanced financial ability of Aveo group rather than Avjennings and it is differentiated by
0.95% which derives good value for the company among shareholders and external investors to
pay the quick liability over the company by asset proportion.
Profitability ratio: Profitability ratio indicates the level of profit that can be generated by
company in a financial year. At the same time, all incurred expenses are reduced from the
calculated profit. It is used to evaluate the efficiency of organization to earn the profit.
Profitability Ratio
Ratios Formula Avjennings Aveo Group
Gross profit margin Gross profit/Revenue*100 24.05 39.52
Gross Profit 96,579 198,000
Revenue 401,632 501,000
Net profit margin Net profit/Revenue*100 8.89 50.50
Net profit 35717 253,000
Revenue 401632 501000
Gross profit margin ratio: Gross profit ratio portrays the efficiency of the company to lowering
the cost for its stock (Russell, re.al, 2013). The above cited diagram depicts the gross profit for
Avjennings as 24.05% and 39.52% for Aveo group, through which it can be interpreted that the

Fundamental Analysis 13
Aveo group of company has more ability to earn the profit with respect to the total revenue
earned by the business in a financial year. The ratio determines the turbulent growth of company
in its financial performance.
Net profit margin ratio: Net profit ratio is calculated after the deduction of taxable income.
From the above table, net profit ratio for the real estate company’s namely Avjennings and Aveo
is calculates as 8.89% and 50.50% respectively. It shows that the business is able to minimize the
expenditure and gain more profit out of the bubbled market. Along with this, Aveo group would
attract the customers through surging the net profit in a yearly performance so, it can be stated
that Aveo business has developed its market in the Australian property market.
Efficiency ratio: Efficiency ratio indicates the capability to effectively use the available resource
and assets with the company.
Efficiency Ratio
Ratios Formula Avjennings Aveo
Group
Inventory Turnover ratio Average inventory/Cost of sales*100 69.006 65.47
Average inventory 210506 146000
Cost of sales 305053 223000
Trade Receivable ratios Trade receivable/Cost of sales 0.40 0.46
Trade receivables 121872 102000
Cost of sales 305053 223000
Inventory turnover ratio: Inventory ratio is used to measure the company’s efficiency to use
the inventory and generate more revenues for business (Tracy, 2012). Inventory turnover ratio
for Avjennings is high with respect to the Aveo group as 69.006% and 65.47% respectively. So,
it can be predicted that Avjennings is capable to meet the unexpected demand for the property in

Fundamental Analysis 14
Australian market. On the other hand, excess inventory is not good for the company because it
possess high capital of business which can dub the market development.
Trade receivable turnover ratio: This ratio indicates the ability of company to collect the fund
from the market which is distributed. Trade ratio for Avjennings is 0.40 and Aveo has .46 which
indicates the Avjennings company policy is better than the Aveo group so it can collect the debts
from the perspective Australian market in short time duration.
Capital structure ratio: It is also called the leverage ratio which comprises the equity and debt
in a business.
Capital Structure Ratios
Ratios Formula Avjennings Aveo Group
Equity Ratio Total equity/Total asset 0.53 0.35
Total equity 381003 32.71
Total assets 712781 100
Debt to equity
ratio
Total liabilities/total debt 8.86 7.21
Total liabilities 331778 67.29
Total Debt 37449 9.33
Equity ratio: Debt to equity ratio is used to find out that how much of company’s asset is
financed by the creditors or shareholders. Higher the ratio is beneficial for the company to get
more profit from the creditor’s fund (Brag, 2012). The equity ratio for the Avjennings and Aveo
group is calculated as 0.53% and 0.35% which states the assets of Avjennings is financed by the
shareholder in high percentage as compare to the Aveo group. It is assessed that there is a
difference of 0.15% between the capital structure ratios (Avjennings, 2017). It can be interpreted

Fundamental Analysis 15
that the Aveo group’s shareholder are not much interested to provide the financial support to
capitalize the asset as compare to the Avjennings.
Debt to equity ratio: This ratio identifies the relationship between total liability and total equity.
It also indicates the solvency ratio of company (Investing answers, 2017). From the table’s figure
it is assessed that the ratio for debt to equity is calculated as 8.86% and 7.21% for Avjennings
and Aveo group which states that Aveo group is much stronger than the Avjennings business in
concern of shareholder’s equity dependency. At the same time, less dependency over the
shareholder’s funds reduces the chances of bankruptcy and brings out in a secure position to the
business (Morningstar, 2017). On the other hand, it can also be depicted that the debt/ equity
vary from industry to industry because of nature of business as property business is highly
sensitive industry.
Market performance ratio: Market performance ratio is an important measurement ratio for the
marketers or external investors to effectively review the results of company’s market value.
Market Performance Ratio
Ratios Formulas Avjennings Aveo Group
Earnings per
share
Net income for shareholder/average share
outstanding*100
0.011 0.14
Net income 35717 253000
Average share outstanding 332945715 1812000
Price earnings
ratio
Market price per share/Earning per share 8.56 -31.38
Market price per share 0.77 2.51
Earnings per share 0.09 -0.08
Earnings per share ratio: Earning per share refers that how much of money of company is
earned by the outstanding shares from the market. It is a valuable financial indicator of business

Fundamental Analysis 16
about the earnings of distributed shares (Gibbons, et.al, 2014). Further, this amount of profit is
available to distribute to the shareholders and it is the actual profit of the company’s. Moreover,
earning share ratio for Avjennings and Aveo group is calculated as 0.01 and 0.14. So, it can be
concluded that Aveo group has higher income with respect to the Avjennings business. Along
with this, it can also be said that higher the P/E ratio betters the position of company in
perspective industry to give significant return to the shareholders (Investsmart, 2017). It is also
measured that Avjennings has issues more share as compare to the Aveo business that may
influence the profit margin for shareholders.
Price earnings ratio: This ratio measures the value of the shares of the company. The financial
data for both of the companies are equated with the calculation than it is found out the price
earnings as 8.56% and -31.38% (Rist, et. al, 2014). On the basis of data interpretation it can be
said that the financial performance of Avjennings is 100 times better that the Aveo group
because Aveo indicated the negative return over the market price with relation to earning prices
of the shares over a particular time duration. So, it can also be declined that the Avjennings is
good from the investor’s perspective to hold the shares of company (WSJ, 2017). It can be
summed up with the positive note for the Avjennings to possess the significant market support
from the valuable declaration of new shares for capital gaining purpose.

Fundamental Analysis 17
Conclusions:
From the analysis of real estate market of Australia, it can be concluded that property segment is
a large contributor in the nations’ economy. At the same time, Avjennings and Aveo group are
the market competitors in this industry. From the above evaluation it is concluded that overall
financial position of Aveo group is sound in terms of liquidity ratio, market performance ratio
and profitability ratio. On the other hand, it can also be concluded that the price earnings ratio for
Avjennings is better as compare to the Aveo group which can influence the marketers and
shareholder to take effective decision after depth evaluation of financial measures of both the
companies.

Fundamental Analysis 18
Recommendations:
Avjennings and Aveo group possess the small part of market share as compare to the overall
industry. On the basis of above analysis it can be recommended to the property business
companies’ that it should focus on improving the financial performance in this industry. Further,
the net profit of Avjennings is lower than the Aveo group so it should analyze the organization
financial performance for 3 years and improve the market cap in Australian market. It can also
be recommended to the real estate business leader to offer the residential property at lower rate in
high demand market. At the same time, the property market is growing constantly so, companies
should control the inventories, operational expenses and target the retired and non- retired
people.

Fundamental Analysis 19
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Fundamental Analysis 20
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Fundamental Analysis 21
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Fundamental Analysis 22
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Fundamental Analysis 23
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