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Econometrics and Business Statistics: Analysis of Interest Rates and Stock Prices

   

Added on  2023-06-12

15 Pages1572 Words369 Views
Running head: ECONOMETRICS AND BUSINESS STATISTICS
ECON634: Econometrics and Business Statistics
Name of the Student:
Macquarie University
Take-home Test
Econometrics and Business Statistics: Analysis of Interest Rates and Stock Prices_1
2ECONOMETRICS AND BUSINESS STATISTICS
Table of Contents
Question 1........................................................................................................................................3
Part 1a).........................................................................................................................................3
Part 1b).........................................................................................................................................3
Part 1c).........................................................................................................................................3
Part 1d).........................................................................................................................................4
Part 1e).........................................................................................................................................4
Part 1f).........................................................................................................................................5
Question 2........................................................................................................................................6
Part 2a).........................................................................................................................................6
Part 2b).........................................................................................................................................6
Part 2c).........................................................................................................................................8
Part 2d).......................................................................................................................................10
Part 2e).......................................................................................................................................11
Part 2f).......................................................................................................................................11
Question 3......................................................................................................................................12
Part 3a).......................................................................................................................................12
Part 3b).......................................................................................................................................12
Part 3c).......................................................................................................................................12
Part 3d).......................................................................................................................................14
Part 3e).......................................................................................................................................15
Question 4......................................................................................................................................15
Econometrics and Business Statistics: Analysis of Interest Rates and Stock Prices_2
3ECONOMETRICS AND BUSINESS STATISTICS
Question 1
Part 1a)
99% Confidence Interval for the population mean weight-loss
Records of Weight loss
Mean 16.37
Standard Deviation 5.375675668
Standard Error 1.699937907
Count 10
Confidence level = 2.58*(Standard
Deviation/SQRT(Count)) 4.385839801
Upper limit = Mean + CL 20.7558398
Lower Limit = Mean - CL 11.9841602
Part 1b)
Ho: μ = 20
H1: μ ≠ 20 (Two tailed test)
t = (x-μ)/standard error
T-statistics = 2.135372112
T critical value (α=0.01, 2 tailed) = 2.58
At 1% significance level, T statistics < T critical value stating that the null hypothesis will be
accepted that the population mean equals 20 against the two-sided alternative.
Part 1c)
Ho: μ = 20
H1: μ < 20 (One tailed test)
Econometrics and Business Statistics: Analysis of Interest Rates and Stock Prices_3
4ECONOMETRICS AND BUSINESS STATISTICS
t = (x-μ)/standard error
T statistics = 2.135372112
T critical value (α=0.05, one tailed) = 1.645
At 5% significance level, T statistics > T critical value stating that the null hypothesis will be
rejected that the population mean weight-loss is lower than 20 pounds at the 5% level against the
one-sided alternative hypothesis.
Part 1d)
P value results based on excel
=1-NORMDIST(X, Mean, Standard Deviation,TRUE)
=1-NORMDIST(20,16.74,1.699,TRUE)
p value = 0.016365313
Part 1e)
P value results based on excel
=1-NORMDIST(X, Mean, Standard Deviation,TRUE)
=1-NORMDIST(20,16.74,1.699,TRUE)
P value = 0.016365313
The calculated p-value of .0164 is the probability of committing a Type I Error (chance of
getting it wrong). A p-value of .016 is a considerable low probability of making a mistake, so it
Econometrics and Business Statistics: Analysis of Interest Rates and Stock Prices_4

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