Impact of AI and Robotics on Professions: A Case Study
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This article discusses the impact of AI and Robotics on professions such as doctors, construction workers, and teachers. It analyzes the past demographics, future prospects, and employment trends in these professions. The article also explores the implications of AI and Robotics on present-day professionals and managers.
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Running head: PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT Performance Management Name of the Student: Name of the University: Author Note:
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1PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT Table of Contents Introduction............................................................................................................................2 Discussion..............................................................................................................................2 Doctors...............................................................................................................................3 Past Demographics of Doctors.......................................................................................3 Future Prospects............................................................................................................3 Construction Workers.........................................................................................................3 Past Demographics of Construction Workers................................................................3 Future Prospect..............................................................................................................4 Teachers.............................................................................................................................4 Past Demographics of Teachers....................................................................................4 Future prospects.............................................................................................................5 Conclusion.............................................................................................................................5 Recommendations.................................................................................................................5 References.............................................................................................................................7 Appendix 1.............................................................................................................................9
2PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT Introduction Artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming one of the emerging trends in today’s world. In the advent of modern era of information, the use of AI has become indisputable in many professional sectors. In sectors like aviation, healthcare, meteorology and space research and construction, the use of AI and robotics have increased efficiency in many aspects. Due to this reason, there has been considerable discussion whether AI and Robotics will replace Human resources in future (Müller and Bostrom 2016). Artificial Intelligence is concerned with the development of programs that can perform tasks without human assistance. They are algorithms that are used for learning, search engine optimization, problem solving, logical decision-making, and understanding of language understanding. Robotics on the other hand are completely different as they are just machines (Bradlow 2015). They are programmed in a certain way so that can carry out a set of predetermined tasks autonomously or with minimal human support. With the advancements of new technology, scientists have introduced Artificially Intelligent Robots. These robots are programmed with AI and have certain abilities to think, react, and make decisions based on the available data and logical algorithm. In most cases, the robots that are produced are only programmed in such a way that they can only produce one task repetitively. These are the robots commonly used in industrial purposes while sometimes Artificially Intelligent Robots are also used in some arenas. The use of these robots have made many jobs easier while has also threatened the employment percentage of the professionals. According to many specialists, the ear that Artificial Intelligence and Robotics have the capability to replace humans in their job positions have enough justified basis. In many sectors like construction, dispatch and factories Robotics have already replaced human labor while many believe that this is unlikely to happen in a large scale. They argue that the robots or AI may have certain thinking or decision-making capabilities but they do not have any emotional or moral compass that will direct them to proper decision when such situations arise. In many scenarios, only the humans are able to take fair and empathetic decisions (Luxton 2014). For example, in Aviation, the planes now mostly fly on automated pilot mode. All the programs are set and routes are pre mapped depending on the weather conditions and optimum utilization of fuel. It will seem that the pilot does not need to be present in the cockpit to fly the machine. In reality, more than one pilot are present inside the aircraft and assist in flying the vehicle. Their expertise and skill are indispensable when it comes to taking off and landing as well as disaster control. The effects of AI and Robotics on society is far reaching. With these technologies, we are already experiencing a faster pace of lives and services (Makridakis 2017). Sectors like transport, construction, dispatch and many more are likely to be affected positively due to this technology severely in the next 20 years. In this paper, the demographic and employment trends of Doctors, Construction Workers and Chefs will be discussed. How Human Resource Management frameworks and theory can assist in their employment retention will alsobeanalyzed. Dependingon those findings, theimpact of AI and Robotics in these professions in the future will be explored. Furthermore, the implications that AI and Robotics have on present day professionals and managers are also evaluated. Discussion The introduction and subsequent popularity of AI and Robotics in recent times have given rise to the fear among many thinkers that they threaten human employment. While many scientists support this belief, many vote completely against that. For the purpose of better
3PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT understanding, the professions of Doctor, Construction workers and Teachers are taken to evaluate the past job trends, present statistics and future prospect of them depending on the present condition. Doctors Past Demographics of Doctors The basic idea of general practice of medicine has always been the needs and expectations projectedby thesociety(Jianget al. 2017). Until1960s and70sthis phenomenon remained which changed post 1970s. The practice of medicine became more specialized and their scope has narrowed down. In the first approach it seems that the specialty care will be more valued while in reality the need for general practitioners have increased. With the widespread destruction of human lives and many more injured, the increased demand of doctors was seen post world war era. In 1972, according to statistics, only one specialist doctor was available for every 721 people. By 2012, the number of doctors increased in such exponential numbers that this count was changed to 281 people for every doctor in Australia when it comes to specialists (Harris and Zwar 2014). In general practice too, this trend was upheld. In 1970s, each general practitioner had 1700 patients, which declined to 895 patients in 2012. This clearly indicates that the numbers of doctors have increased at a steady pace in both specialist and general practice genre. Future Prospects The work process of a medical practitioner can be explained using the Standard Casual Model of Human Resource Management (Appendix 1). When a patient comes for any consultation or procedure, he automatically falls into the overall practice strategy of the medical profession. In the next step, the doctor first assess the medical and health related history of a patient. He creates a treatment plan depending on his understanding and diagnosis (Krittanawong 2018). He keeps in mind the quality of life of the patient and his well-being. He has some outcomes planned and if everything is executed as planned, the outcome is achieved. This rigorous practice ensures internal and financial performance enhancement of both parties. With the introduction of AI and Robotics, some menial tasks of the doctors might be taken away. In surgeries too, the use if AI programmed robots have shown results, which are unprecedented. Earlier, many surgeries had life threatening implicationsif doneintraditionalprocess.Now,thesesurgeries areperformedwith precision by AI robots that have reduced the mortality rate among terminally patients. In radiology and pathology too, the use of robotics have brought in a new era (Jha and Topol 2016). In spite of all these the requirements of doctors, be it specialists and general practitioners have not reduced at all. Robots cannot perform the empathetic aspects and moral decision-making that a doctor is able to perform. In future, too, the expertise of a doctor and specialists in this world is not going to reduce. The humanitarian aspects of any profession cannot be denied. In Australia too, where there are several different cultures, the doctors are especially needed. Thus, by 2060, it can be predicted that the occupation of the doctors will see much more improvement, where the AI robots will be able to work under direct supervision of the specialists and performing jobs that need precision at the level that is not possible for humans (Coiera 1996). The effect in employment in this case is not accountable to AI invasion. Rather the ever-increasing numbers of doctors since the last four decades might contribute to that phenomenon. Construction Workers Past Demographics of Construction Workers Construction workers are blue-collared workers that are mostly involved in menial tasks. They are involved with the construction of buildings. Earlier, all the works were done manually. Thus, a huge numbers of construction workers were available everywhere.
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4PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT Sometimes, shortages of workers were faced in remote places. In Australia too, the same scenario persisted. Just before the 1970s, 46% of workers were involved in construction industry. By the millennium, that proportion was reduced to a mere 28% ("4102.0 - Australian Social Trends, 1997", 2006). Many factors have contributed to this change. Earlier, the advancement of the tertiary sector had not happened and thus industry or the secondary sector was the place where most people were recruited. After the 80s though, this scenario changed. Tertiary sector or service sector now recruited most population and thus manyworkersshiftedtothatsector.Inthelastfewdecades,thewagesand incentives of the workers had also reduced which has subsequently led to the fall of number of workers in this sector. The companies generally like to recruit casual or part- time workers to reduce cost (Wyatt 2006). This is also another reason that workers are not interested in this job anymore. The risk factors that are involved in this sector is another reasonwhyworkershavemigratedtoothersectors.Moreover,theintroductionof machines much of the work that the workers earlier did have now been replaced (Borys 2012). Future Prospect The robots are extremely good for menial and repetitive tasks. They do not get tired, do not demand raise and leave. They are mostly on time investment with only minor maintenance charges. These are the reasons that the owners of construction companies are preferring the machines over humans in many cases (Petropoulos 2018.). The humans can do the planning and supervision but robots now generally carry out the basic tasks with only few workers operating the machines. The Standard Casual model of Human Resourcemanagementcanexplaintheworkprocessundertakenbyworkersina construction site (Appendix 1). They first build a strategy on how to execute the plan, they build according to that and the outcome improves the finance of the firm as well as their internal skill. From a futuristic prospect, it does not seem positive that the construction workers will have a much secured positions or growth opportunities for them. The use of robotics and its advancement will slowly replace all human involvement when it comes to construction industry. Thinkers are already claiming that AI is the future of construction. By 2060, it is probable that, the worker industry and union system will be almost abolished. Teachers Past Demographics of Teachers The teaching profession has it origin since the beginning of human civilization. In ancient times, the education system was quite different. In Australia, the education system changed due to colonization. The post-world war era brought with it the phenomenon of globalization. Since 1970s, the composition of teachers and student ratio have changed. In 1970s Australia, the teacher student ratio was 20.8, which decreased to 16.9 students per teacher in 2002. Keeping in mind the population increase and increased rate of inclusion of other communities in the education system, the recruitment rate of teaches have been quite high. The Australian government has always aimed to increase the number of teachers so that the student teacher ratio can be improved. Most teachers in Australian schools are full-time. In 1982, there were 181,500 full time teachers, which increased to 225,400 in 2002 ("Fast Facts: Teacher trends (28)", 2014). This growth of 24% is greater than the student inclusion growth, which was only 10% by that time. This growth was more prominent in primary schools rather than secondary schools where, in these 20 years, the decrease in student teacher ratio was 12.4 from 13.1. The private schools in Australia experienced more growth than public schools. Between the year 1982 and 2002, full time teachers in private schools increased by 84% and the students share also increased by 47%. The teachers recruited are mostly from Catholic background. The male female ratio is also unbalanced in Australia. Here, women teachers are mostly appointed on full time basis. Moreover, the male teachers are likely to work longer hours.
5PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT Future prospects The working process of the teachers can be explained using the standard casual modelofHRM(Appendix1).Theteachersdependingupontheschoolandclass curriculum prepares a lesson plan. This strategy helps him successfully manage the syllabus assigned to him. Following the study plan, the teacher looks forward to positive learning outcome and enhancement of the students as well as the institution. The overall performance of the students in turn enhances their own financial potential as well as the potential of the institution. Due to the use of machine learning using AI, many schools have now introduced smart classes (Jha and Ryan 2017). It is likely that, in next 20 years, the use of these learning machineries will increase and many aspects of a teacher’s job will be reassigned to them. In the next 60 year, predictably, use of Robotics might become popular in lecture sessions and lesson planning (Šafaričet al. 2013). However, the teachers are not only responsible for imparting knowledge but rather wisdom. They give teachings that go far beyond the given curriculum of the institution (Hajkowiczet al. 2016). Thus, it is unlikely that their demand will decrease due to the incorporation of AI and robotics. Conclusion From the above discussion, the conclusion that can be drawn is that, modern technologies, nodoubt,has becomeanindisputablepart of thepresent trend. The introduction of AI and Robotics has made work easier for many. While these technologies have many positive aspects, like, reduction of operational time, tirelessness and low maintenance, the importance of human presence, skill, analysis and morality cannot be denied any way. In most professions, even if the labor aspects are excluded, the aesthetic as well as sensory aspects will always be there. Like in Amazon, Robotics is widely used for locating and transporting the orders in the warehouses. The human employees work with them and supervise them in their work. When a breakdown occurs, it still needs a human mechanic and engineer to make it work again. The professions like doctors, nurses and teachers are based more on humanistic approach. They are extremely involved with people and their need. While machines may be able to deliver solutions speedily and accurately,mostpeoplegenerally,donotfeelverycomfortableininteractingwith machines and robots in the time of distress or need. The emotional support and caregiving of the doctors and the teachers are indisputable in these professions. Even in professions like construction, where labor that is more physical is involved, human supervision in needed. The example of Amazon shows us that robots can performed some preset jobs with extreme accuracy that is not possible for humans to achieve. Humans make errors even if it is minimal. Machines on the other hand do not. Neither are they demanding of any facility. In spite of that, companies use human supervision and brain, their morality and empathetic nature to carry out the operations of their business. This proves that the requirement of humans in any work field is not going to be replaced completely by humanoids any time soon. Recommendations In order to reduce the probability and risks of employment reduction due to AI and Robotics introduction, some measures might be taken. People must realize that the menial jobs will be over taken by machines at some point as there is no doubt that businesses will invest on equipment that will reduce production cost, time and increase efficiency. People must prepare themselves for this trend shift and acquire required skills that will be useful in future.
6PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT As the menial jobs will be replaced, jobs that have aesthetic and artistic aspects, special skill and ability will become much more sought after. Having those special skills will benefit everybody in future to work in collaboration with AI (Breazeal, Hoffman and Lockerd 2004). The government should make rules and laws that will create a ratio of automation versus human in any organization, to protect the interest of the people. The government must introduce programs that will help the younger generations to build skills that will be applicable and required for jobs in future. The organizations must make sure that that automation replacement should happen in a steady pace so that people who are left jobless are able to learn new skills or find new jobs. The government should also encourage its people to engage in self-employment activities and industries that will eventually reduce the unemployment scenario in the country.
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7PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT References Harris, M.F. and Zwar, N.A., 2014. Reflections on the history of general practice in Australia.Medical Journal of Australia,201(S1), pp.S37-S40. Makridakis, S., 2017. The forthcoming Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution: Its impact on society and firms.Futures,90, pp.46-60. Müller, V.C. and Bostrom, N., 2016. Future progress in artificial intelligence: A survey of expert opinion. InFundamental issues of artificial intelligence(pp. 555-572). Springer, Cham. Coiera, E.W., 1996. Artificial intelligence in medicine: the challenges ahead.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association,3(6), pp.363-366. Jiang, F., Jiang, Y., Zhi, H., Dong, Y., Li, H., Ma, S., Wang, Y., Dong, Q., Shen, H. and Wang, Y., 2017. Artificial intelligence in healthcare: past, present and future.Stroke and vascular neurology,2(4), pp.230-243. Krittanawong, C., 2018. The rise of artificial intelligence and the uncertain future for physicians.European journal of internal medicine,48, pp.e13-e14. Luxton, D.D., 2014. Artificial intelligence in psychological practice: Current and future applicationsandimplications.ProfessionalPsychology:ResearchandPractice,45(5), p.332. Bradlow,H.,2015.Theimpactofemergingtechnologiesintheworkforceofthe future.Australia’s future workforce, pp.38-47. Jha,S.andTopol,E.J.,2016.Adaptingtoartificialintelligence:radiologistsand pathologists as information specialists.Jama,316(22), pp.2353-2354. Petropoulos, G., 2018. The impact of artificial intelligence on employment.Praise for Work in the Digital Age, p.119. Wyatt, I.D., 2006. Occupational changes during the 20th century.Monthly Lab. Rev.,129, p.35. 4102.0 - Australian Social Trends, 1997. (2006).Abs.gov.au. AI Group, 2015. Australia’s Construction Industry: Profile and Outlook.Economics. Borys, D., 2012. The role of safe work method statements in the Australian construction industry.Safety science,50(2), pp.210-220. Hajkowicz,S.A.,Reeson,A.,Rudd,L.,Bratanova,A.,Hodgers,L.,Mason,C.and Boughen, N., 2016. Tomorrow’s digitally enabled workforce: Megatrends and scenarios for jobs and employment in Australia over the coming twenty years.Australian Policy Online. Šafarič, R., Truntič, M., Hercog, D. and Pačnik, G., 2005. Control and robotics remote laboratoryforengineeringeducation.InternationalJournalofOnlineandBiomedical Engineering (iJOE),1(1). Breazeal, C., Hoffman, G. and Lockerd, A., 2004. Teaching and working with robots as a collaboration. InProceedings of the Third International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems-Volume 3(pp. 1030-1037). IEEE Computer Society.
8PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT Fast Facts: Teacher trends (28). (2014).Nces.ed.gov. Jha, N. and Ryan, C., 2017. The Careers of Teachers in Australia: A Descriptive Study.
9PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT Appendix 1 The Standard Casual Model of HRM: Figure: Figure 1 Source: Created by the Author Overall StrategyHR StrategyHR PracticesHR Outcomes (improved) Internal performance (improved) Financial Performance